Weekly Free Football Picks & Predictions

1* Free Pick on Rangers -123

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

1* Free Sharp Play on Austin +114

Fresh off a 3-0 CFB SWEEP on Thursday, Sean has a loaded weekend of CFB action starting with a TOTAL DOMINATOR on Friday and keyed by TWO 10* TOP RATED big ticket releases on Saturday and Sunday (five plays in total)! Hop on board with a three-day pass and don't miss a single winner from Murph!

Saturday CFB Free play. My selection is on Utah State minus the points over UTEP at 7:30 pm et on Saturday.

There are plenty of question marks on defense in particular but Utah State draws a very manageable opening week assignment against UTEP on Saturday.

The Miners won only three games last year and will be hard-pressed to top that number in 2025. There are some intriguing new faces including transfer QB Malachi Nelson - a former five-star recruit - but there are also a lot of areas of weakness. With key losses across the board on offense this is a unit that Nelson could struggle to keep afloat early on.

Defensively, the Miners strength figures to once again be their pass rush but this is an undersized unit and one that I see struggling to defend any passing games with a pulse - a category I would put Utah State in.

The Aggies boast plenty of experience at the QB position with Bryson Barnes settling in as the starter. You may remember him from his time at Utah where he did enjoy some success. Barnes has just enough talent around him to come up with a big game on Saturday - I like the addition of veteran RB Miles Davis from BYU in particular. 

Utah State was a mess defensively last season but new coordinator Nick Howell should breathe new life into this sagging unit. There's in influx of talent and a lot of new faces and that certainly isn't a bad thing after the Aggies got torched on a seemingly weekly basis in 2024. The good news in the opener is that UTEP doesn't look to have the type of offense that can give Utah State fits. Look for the Aggies to jump ahead and ultimately salt away a convincing win on Saturday. Take Utah State.

1* Free Play on Cardinals +132

*3 Star Free Play* I love the hire of Tom Allen as the defensive coordinator for the Clemson Tigers. This is an ultra talented front seven that underachieved last year. They'll be much better under Allen this season. LSU's massive weakness is on the offensive line. That isn't a problem I'd want to have against the Clemson pass rush. 

LSU has fantastic skill position talent on their offense, but I think the OLine will have so many problems here it will be hard for the offense to operate.

While the LSU defense is definitely improving, I like the Clemson offense to have plenty of edges here. The Clemson wide receivers are top three in the country. The offensive line is a strong veteran unit. Cade Klubnik took that big step last season. 

Dabo and the Clemson Tigers should take care of business here. Take Clemson.

(61-33 last 94 CFB Plays. Grab my CFB Season Pass or individual packages today. Join in!) 

It has been at least 12 years since Nevada played a team this good and Penn State coach James Franklin is known to run up a score.

The Wolf Pack are totally outclassed in this game. The obvious big question is can Penn State cover a number this large?

I actually have Penn State power-rated higher than this point spread so my answer is yes.

The Nittany Lions have a dominant defense. Nevada couldn't score against Minnesota last year losing, 27-0. The Gophers are just a middle-of-the road Big Ten team. Penn State is elite.

Penn State could have the best running back tandem in the country with Nicholas Singleton and Kaytron Allen. The Nittany Lions averaged more than 200 rushing yards and 5.3 yards per carry last season. Their quarterback, Drew Allar, has a big arm and more explosive wide receivers this season.

About the only way a huge underdog can stay within this kind of point spread is to force turnovers. That's not likely to happen with the Wolf Pack. They forced just 13 turnovers in 13 games last season and had a minus-two ratio.

Jack's Free Pick Saturday: Virginia -13

Tony Elliott enters his 4th season at Virginia squarely on the hot seat.  He still hasn't made a bowl game yet, and their 1-5 finish last year had them sitting at 5-7 and on the outside looking in.  Four of the final six games came against ranked teams so it was a brutal stretch.

Look for the Cavaliers to be playing with a sense of urgency coming into 2025.  Elliott has his best team yet with 15 returning starters while ranking Top 10 in the country in returning experience.  I look for that experience to pay off early in the season.

The Cavaliers also upgraded at QB through the transfer portal by bringing in senior Chandler Morris.  He got nine starts at TCU before transferring to North Texas last year, where he shined throwing for 3,774 yards with a 31-to-12 TD/INT ratio.  He will be playing behind a very experienced offensive line with 182 career starts.  Seven starters and four of their top five tacklers are back on defense.

While I'm high on Virginia and think they'll be one of the most improved teams in the country, I'm equally down on the Coastal Carolina Chanticleers.  Tim Beck has proven to be a poor hire and has this team headed in the wrong direction.  It appears the Chanticleers have their worst team in his third season on the job.

They return just nine starters.  Their defense allowed 31.6 points per game last season and will be even worse this season.  Only three starters return and they lose six of their top seven tacklers.  They will be breaking in a new QB in MJ Morris who never lived up to the hype in Maryland.  They do have some talent returning at receiver and on the offensive line, but there are a ton of holes on this team.

This will be a rematch from last year when Virginia crushed Coastal Carolina 43-24 on the road.  There was nothing fluky about that win as the Cavaliers racked up 525 total yards including 384 rushing.  Xavier Brown rushed for 171 yards on 9 carries and will be Virginia's featured back this season.  They should be able to get whatever they want offensively against this suspect Chanticleers defense and continue pulling away in the 4th quarter.  Bet Virginia Saturday.

No. 1 Ranked Football Capper All-Time! Jack Jones has SEVEN Top-10 Football Finishes (#1 2024, #3 2018, #3 2017, #4 2009, #5 2014, #5 2012, #10 2008) to his credit! Jack has put together a MASSIVE 1945-1608 Football Run long-term that has seen his $1,000/game players cash in $175,570! That includes a 1267-1002 Football Run over his last 2269 plays! He backed it up by finishing as No. 1 Ranked Football Capper in 2024-25 with a 217-150 Football Record since the start of last season with his $1,000/game players winning $50,070!

No. 2 Ranked College Football Capper All-Time! Jack has delivered SEVEN Top-7 CFB Finishes L13 Years (#1 2024, #2 2012, #3 2018, #3 2014, #5 2016, #6 2020, #7 2017) to really put a beating on the books on the NCAA gridiron! He is riding a 1089-879 CFB Run long-term that has seen his $1,000/game players cash in $127,250! He finished as the No. 1 Ranked CFB Capper in 2024-25 this past season thanks to his HOT 97-55 CFB Run since last year!

This money train stays right on track in Week 1 with Jack's Saturday College Football 7-Pack for $59.95! Leading the charge are a pair of top play winners in his 20* CFB BLOWOUT GAME OF THE WEEK along with his 20* CFB DOG OF THE WEEK! You'll also receive FIVE 15* Plays on the NCAA gridiron including the Texas/Ohio State winner upon purchase today folks!

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Dave's Saturday Free Play:

1* on Georgia Southern ML -120

The Key: I like the price we are getting on Georgia Southern to beat Fresno State Saturday night.  The Eagles went 8-5 last season and have 13 starters back including QB JC French and 2 of his top 3 receivers.  Georgia Southern nearly upset Boise State to open the season last year, and Boise State went on to be rank 4th heading into the 12-team playoff.  Fresno State is entering a new ere under 1st-year head coach Matt Entz, who comes over from the FCS ranks.  He only has 9 returning starters and this looks like one of the worst teams in the Mountain West.  That was on display when the Bulldogs lost 31-7 at Kansas in Week 0.  They rushed for just 37 yards on 29 carries and were outgained 383-206 by the Jayhawks.  Keep in mind Kansas was up 31-7 midway through the 3rd quarter before calling off the dogs.  Take Georgia Southern.

**5X Top 10 NCAAF Handicapper!** Dave was the #4 NCAAF Capper in 2011, the #7 NCAAF Capper in 2009 and the #5 NCAAF Capper in 2008! He had his best season to date finishing as the #2 Ranked NCAAF Capper in 2020! He also finished as the #4 Ranked NCAAF Capper in 2024 this past season! He is riding a 418-347 NCAAF Run over the past couple seasons along with a more recent 45-20 NCAAF Run since the end of last season! He is also on a 136-85 Run on NCAAF 7* Top Plays! Give your book the beating it deserves today and hop on board for Dave's Saturday NCAA Football 9-Pack for $49.95! By doing so you'll earn access to his 7* NCAAF Non-Conference Game of the Month along with eight 6* picks for you to crush your book with today ladies and gents! Dave guarantees you'll cash in a profit or you get Sunday's NCAA Football picks for FREE!

Rocketman Sports FREE CFB play Saturday 8-30-25

Colorado State @ Washington  (11:00 PM EST)
Play On:  Washington -21 1/2

The Colorado State Rams travel to Washington to take on the Huskies on Saturday night.  Colorado State was 8-5 SU last year while Washington was 6-7 SU overall last season.  Washington was 6-0 SU and 5-1 ATS at home last year.  Washington allowed only 12.3 points per game at home last season.  Washington is returning 12 starters from last year while Colorado State is returning only 6 starters.  Colorado State is 4-16 SU last 20 road games.  Colorado State is 0-6 SU last 6 games against Big 10 conference opponents.  Colorado State is 0-8 ATS last 8 games in Week 1.  Washington is 20-0 SU last 20 home games.  We'll recommend a small play on Washington tonight!  Thanks and good luck, Rocky

Rocky Atkinson has a TOP 8* CFB BEST BET for Saturday night.   One of the BEST HANDICAPPERS in the world is on an impressive 119-95 56% football run over his last 221 picks! Join the same handicapper that has made $1,000/game bettors $14,320 since October 06, 2018 with his Spread on Utah v. UCLA!

Rocky Atkinson has a TOP 8* WNBA BEST BET for Saturday. One of the BEST HANDICAPPERS in the world is on an impressive 45-27 63% WNBA run over his last 73 picks! Join the same handicapper that has made $1,000/game bettors $15,150 since February 13, 2025 with his Spread on Lynx v. Sun!

Saturday card is loaded. Rob has his TOP Opening Week 100% System Play at high noon up and a TOP TOTAL LSU vs Clemson tonight., MLB and SOCCER and U.S. OPEN Tennis up too.. CFB OFF TO A 2-0 Start this week- Comp Play below

The Saturday Comp play is on U. Mass plus the 2 points here at 3:30 eastern. We will back the Minutemen here as we play against a Temple team that is in a 4-19 week 1 system that plays against Saturday road favorites of 4 or less in a non conference game if they won less than 7 games last season. Temple has a better offense but has an under average run defense and U. Mass likes to run the ball and moves very methodical and will slow the game down. Both teams have a new coach and many new faces on both sides of the ball which makes it a bit difficult to lay any points on the road. Look for U. Mass to keep it close and at the very least cover. GL Rob V

This is a play on the CLEMSON TIGERS for our Saturday Free Play. Clemson is coming off a CFP appearance last season after winning the ACC Championship game but the Tigers were ousted in the first round against Texas. Big things are expected as the Tigers bring back 17 starters and ESPN has them ranked No. 1 in returning production. Quarterback Cade Klubnik is a legitimate Heisman candidate to lead an offense that averaged 34.7 ppg and 452 ypg and along with Klubnik, they bring back their top three receivers and have the No. 2 ranked offensive line in the country. The defense will be better with defensive coordinator Tom Allen who had that same title at Penn St. last season. Dabo Swinney is 17-0 in season openers. LSU has been solid under head coach Brian Kelly with a 29-11 record over three years but just 4-8 against ranked teams. Quarterback Garrett Nussmeier is also a Heisman candidate and the offense should be better after dropping off by 15 ppg last season. The defense will be stout again but Death Valley at night will be too hard to overcome. Play (220) Clemson Tigers

Giants vs Commanders
5-Unit bet on the Giants priced as 6.5-point dogs.

Live Betting Strategy: Consider betting 3.5 units on the Giants preflop (prior to the kickoff) and then look to add 1.5 units if the Commanders score first or they retake the lead during the first half of action. Betting in the second half has an increasing limitation of time remaining in order for that bet to win. You essentially need to be correct nearly immediately when making any 2nd half bet so be cautious whenever thinking of that strategy this season.

In each of the past four Circa Survivors and any survivor contest the most popular team choices to win in Week 1 have lost and by week 4 about 88% of the entries have been eliminated. This game has the potential to be the largest selected choice on the board for any survivor contest. The betting sentiment is largely positive for the Commanders and highly negative for the Giants based on their recent seasons. The fact that this game is only 6.5 points had me scratching my head from the opening. Of the tickets bet on this game, 55% of them are on the Commanders and accounts for a whopping 61% of the handle and the line has not moved from the opening price. In fact, there are some books that have moved their lines to 6 points.

The following betting algorithm has produced an exceptional 25-30 SU record and a 38-14-3 ATS record good for 73% winning bets since 2014. The required criteria are:

ü  Bet on road dogs priced between 3 and 6.5 points.

ü  The game occurs in the first three weeks of the regular season.

ü  That team struggled on defense allowing 5.7 or more yards per play in their previous season.

Now, sit down and read this fact. If the game has a total of more than 45 points, this system has gone an amazing 14-18 SU and 23-7-2 ATS good for a highly profitable 77% winning bets since 2014.

P-Value Calculation for the NFL Betting System
The P-Value measures the probability of observing the system's winning record (or better) under the null hypothesis that it's no better than random chance. For ATS betting, we test against two nulls: 

We use a one-tailed binomial test (alternative='greater'), assuming independent bets (a common but debated assumption in sports betting due to potential correlations). Pushes (2) are excluded, focusing on decisions (wins + losses). Data: Overall, 39 wins / 53 trials (73.58%); Divisional 12 wins / 15 trials (80%).

Results

Metric

Wins/Trials

Win %

P-Value vs. 0.5

P-Value vs. 0.5238

Overall ATS (since 2014)

39/53

73.58%

0.000401 (highly significant)

0.001304 (highly significant)

Divisional ATS (since 2014)

12/15

80%

0.017578 (significant)

0.027176 (significant)

Interpretation: Both are statistically significant (P < 0.05), meaning the results are unlikely due to luck alone—even against the tougher breakeven threshold. The overall system's low P-Value strongly rejects the null, supporting its profitability claims (e.g., consistent wins over 11 seasons, 8 bets lined up for 2025 Weeks 1-3).

#175 ASA FREE PLAY ON Old Dominion +24 over Indiana, Saturday at 2:30PM ET - ODU started last season with a near upset over South Carolina in week 1 as a +21 point underdog. Can they repeat that performance and beat this Indiana team to open the season? It’s unlikely they can win this game, but they don’t have to when they are getting +24-points. The Monarchs played 9 one-score games a year ago and had a net average point differential of 0.0ppg. ODU is projected to be one of the best pass rushing teams in the Sun Belt and have players (linebackers Henderson and Naotala) capable of pressuring a new QB in Indiana (Fernando Mendoza - Cal). Despite Indiana’s dominant 11-2 season in 2024, their offense faces uncertainties with a new quarterback and a rebuilt running back unit. Old Dominion, coming off a 5-7 season, excels in close games (20 one-score games in the last two seasons). ODU Dual-threat QB Colton Joseph could exploit Indiana’s thin defensive line, keeping the game competitive. Indiana had one of the best +/- averages in college football at +21.7ppg but that’s still not enough to get a cover in this one.

Ricky's 1* play on BAMA.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant.

- Alabama is 15-5 SU in its last 20 games.

- Florida State is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games.

- Alabama is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games on the road.

Verdict: The value is on the Road favorite.

Chip’s FREE NCAAF Best Bet winner

California at Oregon State 10:30 ET

Golden Bears (+) over Beavers - I have been staring at this game for weeks and have had trouble understanding why so many of my peers run to Oregon State from the git-go. California waa good to ‘us’ last season and they are on the upswing…take the GOLDEN BEARS!

Chip’s Triple-Play Round Robin

Chip Chirimbes, the Las Vegas Hilton and Stardust Champion has added two more College Football handicapping titles to his resume, winning both the 2024 Las Vegas South Point Bowl Challenge and the Las Vegas Review-Journal NCAA regular season title. Chip Highest-Rated NCAAF Megabucks closed the 2024-24 season a ‘Documented’ 17-4 81% going 7-2 78% with Game of the Year. Don’t miss Chip’s Top-Rated Vegas Hotline winner between LSU and Clemson, hos Power Play between Utah and UCLA and his Power Play between Alabama and Florida State. Chip’s Round Robin ‘Guaranteed’ to turn a profit! Only $69!

UNDER 57

LSU and Clemson have value to the under. This game is going to be a grind and both teams are going to lean on their run games. This will be the kind of game where these two teams look to set the tone early and try to run it downhill at the opposing defense and wear them down as this game goes on. Grab the under as this should be a slower developing game throughout, with neither team pushing the issue down field. My daily free plays are meant to be cheap bankroll plays. Remember folks, money management is the key to profits when it comes to sports gambling. Strong lean on the UNDER tonight. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray.

$ATURDAY 5* FREE CFB O/U Play

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Saturday's CFB Free Pick

PLAY ON: Oregon State Beavers -1.5