Brandon Lee

40* SUNS/THUNDER EARLY NBA WINNING TICKET (Thunder +5) 

I like the value here with OKC catching a decent number against the Suns. I'm aware some injury news came out after this pick was published and the line jumped. I still recommend it and bet it again myself at +8. 

I just think we are seeing a huge overreaction with the Suns, who are now the talk of the NBA after their perfect 5-0 SU and ATS start to the bubble. No question that Phoenix is playing great. I've been on them a decent amount during their start. I just think they might be overlooking a well coached Thunder team that showed us in their last game they can adapt by knocking down 18 3-pointers. Got 47 points from their bench in that game. Give me the Thunder +5! 

40* PADRES/DODGERS LATE NIGHT BAIL OUT (Dodgers -148) 

I'm all over the Dodgers at less than -150 at home, especially when you factor in the matchup on the mound. LA will be going with Dustin May, who has been incredible to start out the season. May has made 3 starts and has posted a 2.64 ERA and 1.171 WHIP (15 K's and only 3 BBs in 13 2/3 innings). 

Padres will start Luis Perdomo against the loaded LA lineup. This will be Perdomo's first start of 2020. He's made 3 appearances out of the bullpen with a 5.40 ERA and 1.20 WHIP. He has made 6 previous starts against the Dodgers. He's 1-5 with a 8.18 ERA and 1.727 WHIP. Give me the Dodgers -148! 

50* DBACKS/ROCKIES SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Rockies -125) 

I absolutely love the value here with Colorado at -125. It's simply too good a price to pass up with not only how well the Rockies have been playing, but they are at home where they thrive and got a clear edge on the mound (at least on paper). Colorado is 11-4 overall with 5-2 mark at home, where they are scoring 6.1 runs/game and hitting .293 as a team. That offense will be up against Robbie Ray, who in 3 starts has posted a 9.45 ERA and 1.949 WHIP. He's got almost as may walks (11) as he does strikeouts (17). He's also giving up a home run almost every other inning (allowed 6 in 13 1/3 innings). Jon Gray will go for Colorado and has a 3.30 ERA and 0.979 WHIP in 3 starts. Give me the Rockies -125! 

FREE MLB PICK: Milwaukee Brewers -105

Rating: 30*
Rot: 910
Time: 8:10 PM EST
Site (Opponent) : Home (Twins)
Starting Pitchers: Dobnak (Min), Houser (Mil)

This is too good a price to pass up with Milwaukee at home. I get Minnesota has the better overall record, but this is a lot of respect on the road against a playoff caliber team. Especially given the fact the Twins aren't playing well. Minnesota was just swept in a 3-game series against the Royals and have lost 4 straight overall. 

Starter Randy Dobnak is certainly playing into the line. He's been great in his first 3 starts. He's got a 0.60 ERA and 0.867 WHIP. However, the 3 teams he's faced are the White Sox, Indians and Pirates.

Chicago's offense is legit, but the other two aren't. Cleveland is the only team in the majors hitting on .200 at .196. Pittsburgh isn't much better at .209. That game against the White Sox was also the second game of the season when guys were just getting back into the swing of things. 

I'm not saying Dobnak isn't any good. There's going to be some regression from his great start. He's also a guy that doesn't strike a lot of people out. He's got 8 strikeouts in 15 innings. 

Minnesota also isn't the only team with a hot starter going. Milwaukee's Adrian Houser, who has allowed just 1 run in 12 innings with 9 strikeouts. He just posted 7 shutout innings on the road against the White Sox. Give me the Brewers -105! 

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