Sean has been handicapping professionally since 2003 and at SportsCapping since 2016. Check out his track record for yourself and see why so many clients are putting his 20+ years of experience to work for them!
PREMIUM PICK STREAKS
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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
Match Up | Pick | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Hurricanes vs Rangers | UNDER 5½ -108 | Premium | 4-1 | Win | 100 | Show |
A's vs Astros | A's +165 | Premium | 2-9 | Loss | -100 | Show |
Guardians vs Rangers | Rangers -112 | Free | 7-0 | Loss | -112 | Show |
Stars vs Avalanche | Avalanche -129 | Top Premium | 5-1 | Loss | -129 | Show |
Thunder vs Mavs | Thunder +1½ -115 | Premium | 100-96 | Win | 100 | Show |
PICKS IN PROGRESS
My selection is on the 'under' between New York and Washington at 7 pm et on Tuesday.
We've seen five straight meetings between these two teams go 'over' the total and that's notable as that's the longest streak of its kind in this series since 2015-16. On that occasion, the next matchup totalled just 137 points (easily staying 'under' the closing total of 165). This series obviously goes back a long way yet we've never seen six straight matchups go 'over' the total. I expect that to hold true as the Liberty and Mystics match up for the first time in 2024 on Tuesday. Washington continues its rebuild and will look to avenge last year's first round playoff exit at the hands of New York. The Mystics want to become more of a three-point shooting team but it's going to take some time to find success doing that. The Liberty are obviously loaded with talent and a true WNBA title contender after bowing out in the final last year. I'm not convinced we'll see them throw everything they have at the Mystics in this very winnable road game on opening night, however. Keep in mind, New York will be back at it for Caitlin Clark's home debut with the Fever on Thursday. Take the under (8*).
My selection is on Edmonton over Vancouver at 9:30 pm et on Tuesday.
The Canucks stunned the Oilers on Sunday and now have the opportunity to take full control of the series before it shifts back to Vancouver for Game 5. I don't expect Edmonton to go down without a fight, however, and look for it to rebound here at home in Game 4. Note that Vancouver is 8-13 (-6.2 net games) when coming off a one-goal victory over a divisional opponent over the last three seasons, as is the case here, including a 2-5 (-5.0 net games) record in that situation this season. Meanwhile, the Oilers are 68-37 (+18.6 net games) when seeking revenge for a loss against an opponent as a favorite including a 25-12 (+7.2 net games) mark in that spot this season. Take Edmonton (8*).
Northwest Division Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between Minnesota and Denver at 10:30 pm et on Tuesday.
We've stayed on the sidelines from a totals perspective in this series so far, watching as most have gotten it wrong with the 'under' cashing in Games 1 and 2 in Denver and the 'over' coming through in Games 3 and 4 in Minnesota. I expect that trend to continue as the scene shifts back to Denver for a pivotal Game 5 matchup on Tuesday. Note that the 'under' is 18-8 with the Timberwolves seeking revenge for a loss in which their opponent scored 110 points or more this season, as is the case here. The 'under' is also a long-term 24-20 with Minnesota coming off an upset loss including a 9-7 mark in that situation this season. Meanwhile, the 'under' is 30-22 in the Nuggets last 52 contests as a home favorite of six points or less including a 10-5 record this season. When coming off consecutive road wins, Denver has seen the 'under' go 7-0 this season. Take the under (10*).
My selection is on the 'over' between Chicago and Atlanta at 7:20 pm et on Tuesday.
We saw an exceptionally low-scoring game between these two teams last night as the Braves cruised to a 2-0 victory. While you wouldn't know it by the last few games, Atlanta has been trending back in the right direction offensively over the last seven days, ranking 12th in the majors in OPS over that stretch (it had been languishing in the bottom-third in previous weeks). I'm counting on the Braves bats to break out against veteran right-hander Jameson Taillon on Tuesday, noting they rank third in baseball in home OPS and eighth in OPS vs. right-handed pitching. The Cubs should be happy to see a left-hander opposing them on the mound on Tuesday, even if it is Chris Sale who is enjoying a renaissance season so far. Note that Chicago ranks third in the majors in OPS vs. lefties, trailing only Baltimore and Arizona. The two bullpens entered this series with a whopping 15 blown saves between them with neither in particularly solid form as a whole. Take the over (8*).
Eastern Conference Second Round Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'over' between Indiana and New York at 8 pm et on Tuesday.
This series has been a bit backwards as far as what most might have expected totals-wise. The two games played in New York sailed 'over' the total while the two contests in Indiana stayed 'under' the number. Here, I think we're seeing an over-adjustment to the total following those consecutive low-scoring affairs. The Pacers continue to push the tempo having gotten off 88 or more field goal attempts in all four games in this series. Meanwhile, the Knicks are quite simply coming off one of their worst offensive showings of the season, knocking down just 30-of-89 field goal attempts in a blowout loss in Game 4. Note that the 'over' is 84-69 in the Pacers last 153 games as an underdog including a 24-18 mark this season. The 'over' is also 20-14 in Indiana's last 34 games with the total set in the 210's, as is the case here, including a 4-2 record this season. Meanwhile, the 'over' is 11-4 with the Knicks playing at home with the total set in the 210's this season. They haven't seen three straight games stay 'under' the total since a five-game streak from March 8th to 16th. Take the over (10*).