![Sean Murphy](https://www.sportscapping.com/images/sportscapping/services/17660_service_photo_t1712081077.jpeg)
Sean has been handicapping professionally since 2003 and at SportsCapping since 2016. Check out his track record for yourself and see why so many clients are putting his 20+ years of experience to work for them!
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*This subscription currently includes 1 NCAA-F pick but more may be added during the term of the subscription.
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*This subscription currently includes 1 NCAA-F pick but more may be added during the term of the subscription.
If you're serious about winning at the lowest-price possible, this is the package for you! Murph has been handicapping professionally since 2004 and this is your opportunity to put him to work for you, gaining access to each and every one of his premium best bets, including his popular, high-percentage 10* TOP RATED big ticket releases for a full 365 days at just over $4 per day; punch your ticket today!
*This subscription currently includes 1 NCAA-F pick but more may be added during the term of the subscription.
YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
PICKS IN PROGRESS
My selection is on the 'under' between Ottawa and B.C. at 7 pm et on Saturday.
These two teams were involved in a high-scoring affair last week as Ottawa rallied for a 34-27 victory. I look for a different story to unfold in Victoria on Saturday as B.C. looks to snap its five-game skid and that should come by tightening things up on defense.
The Lions offense has looked out of sync lately and you can be sure Ottawa isn't going to simply roll over on Saturday. I do think the RedBlacks recent offensive production (30+ points in consecutive games) is unsustainable, however. Take the under (8*).
My selection is on Philadelphia over Atlanta at 7:15 pm et on Saturday.
As I noted ahead of Thursday's series-opener - a game the Phillies won in come-from-behind fashion, this is an important series for Philadelphia. After dropping a 7-2 decision last night, I look for it to bounce back behind ace Zack Wheeler on Saturday.
Atlanta will start its own ace in left-hander Max Fried. But Fried has struggled against the Phillies in his career. Current Philadelphia hitters are a crisp 80-for-258 (.310) off of him with an .868 OPS.
Wheeler on the other hand has held current Braves hitters to 54 hits in 235 at-bats (.230) with a .657 OPS.
The Phillies bullpen is in good shape entering Saturday's contest while the Braves' could be short Joe Jimenez and Pierce Johnson after the duo combined to throw 57 pitches last night. Take Philadelphia (8*).
My selection is on Virginia Tech minus the points over Vanderbilt at 12 noon et on Saturday.
Vanderbilt is coming off another disastrous season and has basically gone back to the drawing board in advance of the 2024 campaign, making near wholesale changes in terms of both player personnel and coaches. QB Diego Pavia joints the team from New Mexico State but you have to wonder what sort of impact he'll make in the opener as the Commodores haven't even named their starting QB (Utah transfer Nate Johnson has been competing with Pavia for the starting job). I wonder whether either QB has a good handle on the offense right now, with so many new faces in the mix.
Virginia Tech got off to a predictably strong start last year, routing Old Dominion in its season-opener. Things went sideways from there but a funny thing happened down the stretch as the Hokies offense ignited and their defense came together, winning five of their final seven games including a Bowl rout of Tulane.
Expectations are high for the Hokies heading into 2024 but that's not necessarily a bad thing. I like the fact that they're opening the campaign on the road and fully expect them to make a statement against a beatable SEC foe.
Unlike Vandy, Virginia Tech boasts a ton of returning talent on both sides of the football. The continuity between QB and receivers can't be understated with Kyron Drones coming off a breakout campaign and in line for more success with the likes of WRs Ali Jennings and Jaylin Lane and TE Nick Gallo back as weapons. Also note that four of five starters return on the offensive line.
Defensively the Hokies are loaded. I like the matchup here as they have the athleticism to contend with Pavia should he end up being Vandy's starter under center. This isn't an overly big defense but that's not a bad thing against a dual-threat QB like Pavia. Take Virginia Tech (8*).
My selection is on the 'under' between Miami University and Northwestern at 3:30 pm et on Saturday.
Miami is known for its slow starts offensively - at least in recent years. The Redhawks have scored 14 points or less in their season-opener in three straight seasons and they draw another tough defensive opponent in Northwestern on the shores of Lake Michigan this year.
Yes, Miami is brimming with potential offensively. QB Brett Gabbert is back to lead the offense for what seems like a 10th straight year (he's back for his sixth and final season). Last year, Gabbert missed the stretch run as the Redhawks ended up winning another MAC Championship. The offense does have to replace some key parts and Gabbert's number one job will be taking care of the football against a Wildcats defense that was among the nation's most opportunistic last year.
Northwestern is hoping to take a step forward offensively this season but I'm expecting more of the same. The Wildcats haven't named a starting quarterback for Week 1 and I don't need to tell you that's not a good thing. Whoever starts under center will undoubtedly be looking to manage the game and limit mistakes rather than unlock an explosive offensive attack. Keep in mind, Miami returns a ton of experience and talent defensively - a big reason why this pointspread is as short as it is.
Last year, the Redhawks opened the campaign with a 38-3 beatdown in a Friday night game in Miami (Florida). The defense did what it could in that game but the offense simply couldn't stay on the field, gaining just 215 total yards. This figures to be a slightly more forgiving matchup. I expect both offenses to move the football at times and both should enter with a similar mindset of looking to effectively shorten proceedings in an effort to secure a victory - for Miami out of respect for the Northwestern defense and for Northwestern simply due to its lack of explosive playmakers on offense. Take the under (8*).
Underdog Game of the Month. My selection is on Old Dominion plus the points over South Carolina at 4:15 pm et on Saturday.
Last year, we successfully faded Old Dominion in Week 1 as it was in the wrong place at the wrong time, facing a revenge-minded Virginia Tech squad in Blacksburg, Expectations aren't all that high for Old Dominion this season, even if they've exceeded them time and time again. I like the continuity for the Monarchs with Ricky Rahne having been the head coach since 2020 and finally a carry-over at quarterback in Grant Wilson returning. Wilson is a standout but certainly not a household name. I like his chances of steadying the Monarchs offense and ultimately keeping his team competitive in this game.
South Carolina ushers in a new era at quarterback with LaNorris Sellers taking over. The redshirt freshman is loaded with potential as a dual-threat to ignite the Gamecocks offense. I'm just not sure an offense gets better by losing the likes of WR's Xavier Legette and Antwane Wells and TE Trey Knox. The fact that Sellers will be taking over the offense for the first time with a slew of other new faces is concerning from a pointspread perspective at least.
Much like Grant Wilson is the unquestioned leader on offense, the Monarchs boast a good one on defense as well in LB Jason Henderson. He led the entire country in tackles last season and is back to lead the way in 2024. Of course, there are changes to deal with on the defensive side of the football - par for the course in today's college football world. If there's a weakness or question mark on the Monarchs defense it's in the secondary, but I'm not convinced Sellers will be able to take full advantage right out of the gates.
I mentioned expectations are rather low for Old Dominion. Most have it pegged for sixth place (out of seven teams) in the ultra-competitive Sun Belt East Division. We're talking about a team that made great strides last season and narrowly missed out on a Bowl victory. I'm willing to give the Monarchs the benefit of the doubt, even against an SEC foe on the road in Week 1. Look for a closer game than most are expecting. Take Old Dominion (10*).