Sean Murphy

My selection is on the 'under' between Pittsburgh and Los Angeles at 8:20 pm et on Sunday.

Pittsburgh is in dire straits on offense right now with both Ben Roethlisberger and Mason Rudolph sidelined. Don't discount the loss of change-of-pace RB Jaylen Samuels either. Simply put, the Steelers offense has been a plodding unit at the best of times this season and now heads to the west coast with that is sure to be a conservative, run-based offensive gameplan. Los Angeles hasn't been great against the run but can focus its defensive focus on slowing RB James Conner and a one-dimensional offense here. The Chargers are somewhat committed to working RB Melvin Gordon back into the fold but there's no question, he didn't look great in last week's season debut. With key injuries on their offensive line the Chargers are limited in what they can do offensively right now. This isn't an ideal matchup against an underrated Steelers defense that can generate consistent pressure on opposing quarterbacks and while RB Austin Ekeler and WR Keenan Allen can inflict some damage, I still believe this total will prove to be too high. Take the over (10*).

My selection is on the 'over' between Atlanta and Arizona at 4:05 pm et on Sunday.

This game has true shootout potential as the Falcons travel to Glendale to take on the Cardinals. Atlanta was involved in a shootout last week in Houston, ultimately falling well short in a blowout loss. The Falcons offense continues to roll along with Matt Ryan airing it out more than any other quarterback in the NFL. Nothing changes this week as Ryan faces a less-than-imposing Cardinals pass defense that continues to play without corners Peterson and Alford. Not only that but Arizona isn't generating any pressure on opposing quarterbacks which means Ryan should have plenty of time to find his terrific wide receiving corps for big gains. On the flip side, this is a potential blow-up spot for Cards rookie QB Kyler Murray. Like the Cards, the Falcons aren't putting any pressure on opposing quarterbacks and Murray should have little trouble beating them both through the air and on the ground. There are questions whether RB David Johnson will be able to play through a bad back but even if he can't go, backup RB Chase Edmonds showed last week he's more than up for the challenge. Take the over (10*).

NFL NFC North Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between Cincinnati and Baltimore at 1 pm et on Sunday.

Both of these teams were involved in tightly-contested affairs last Sunday and while both games went 'over' the total, neither contest was a shootout. Here, I believe the potential is there for a shootout as the Bengals try to stay competitive, and should have a good shot at doing so against an injury-plagued, and struggling Ravens defense. On the flip side, this is a tremendous opportunity for the Baltimore offense to run wild against an awful Bengals defense. Teams have absolutely steamrolled Cincinnati on the ground this season and few teams are set up better to do exactly that than the Ravens. QB Lamar Jackson is coming off a good but not great performance in an overtime win over the rival Steelers last Sunday. Look for him to find the going a lot easier in this one. Take the over (10*).

Sunday NFL Free play. My selection is on the 'over' between Washington and Miami at 1 pm et on Sunday.

The matchups don't get much uglier than this as the Redskins travel to Miami to face the Dolphins on Sunday afternoon. With that being said, I do expect both offenses to finally find some success. Not unexpectedly, we're dealing with a relatively low total here as both teams carry extremely low expectations. But it's important to note that both defenses have been incredibly forgiving not to mention generous to opposing offenses. This is an excellent opportunity for QBs Case Keenum and Josh Rosen to pad their stats. Although new Redskins head coach Bill Callahan has talked about wanting to 'establish the run' - an archaic mindset in today's NFL - I don't think he'll be able to resist having Keenum attack a very beatable Dolphins pass defense through the air. This one won't be a true shootout, but it should climb 'over' the posted total. Take the over (8*).

Sean is riding a PERFECT 5-0 NFL run since last Sunday and now enjoying an INCREDIBLE 120-79 NFL tear! The WINNING continues on Sunday afternoon; don't even consider missing out!