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1* Free Pick on Chiefs/Ravens over 52½ -108
All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
1* Free Sharp Play on MIllwall +190
Small play on under 77 in this early (12 noon) start on Saturday in Greenville, NC. The Pirates are playing their opener and may get off to a slow start. There are going to be plenty of points scored but a 45-28 type of game still goes under by a few points.
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474 Cincinnati at Philadelphia
Despite the cover on Thursday night the Bengals did not look impressive. The Browns won the yards per point battle by a whopping 3.0 ypp. The problem was the Browns couldn't get the Bengals off the field. Cincinnati was a perfect 5 for 5 on fourth downs.
Philadelphia has looked bad the first two weeks and now the press is really coming down on Carson Wentz. The Eagles are a much better team than what it has shown, and is getting healthier by the week. Despite the extra days to prepare we simply want no part of the road underdog here.
Thursday NFL Free play. My selection is on Jacksonville minus the points over Miami at 8:20 pm et on Thursday.
I'll gladly back the Jaguars laying under a field goal on Thursday night (I would still play them at -3). Despite facing two terrific stables of running backs in Weeks 1 and 2, the Jaguars still managed to earn a split thanks in large part to some stout run defense, giving up just north of 3.5 yards per rush. Now things get a whole lot easier as they host the Dolphins, who due to injuries and otherwise, haven't had a great deal of success moving the football on the ground. That leaves this game in the hands of mistake-prone QB Ryan Fitzpatrick, who continues to play on borrowed time with Tua Tagovailoa waiting in the wings. Offensively, the Jags appear to be in good hands with Gardner Minshew as he continues to exceed expectations and silence his doubters. Here, Minshew should feast on a Dolphins pass defense that has been virtually non-existent through the first two weeks of the season. Note that Miami has recorded only three sacks so far this season so Minshew should be able to operate in a clean pocket for much of the night on Thursday. I'm higher on the Jags receiving corps than most and expect another big performance from them on Thursday night. Take Jacksonville (8*).