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Dave’s Sunday Free Play:
1* on Arizona Cardinals +3.5
The Key: The Arizona Cardinals are one of the most improved teams in the NFL this season. They are off to a 4-2 start this year with 3 of those wins coming by 15 points or more. They are outscoring the opposition by an average of 9.0 PPG on the year. Compare that to Seattle, which is 5-0 despite only outscoring teams by 6.8 PPG, and you could make the argument that the Cardinals are the better team. They are out to prove it this week and there will be no letdown factor here facing a division rival who owns 1st place in the NFC West currently. The Cardinals have the way better defense in this matchup, yielding only 18.7 PPG and 346 YPG on the season. The Seahawks are frauds as they give up 27.0 PPG and 471 YPG this year. It’s just hard to see Seattle keep winning at this rate with such a soft defense even though they have the early MVP candidate in Russell Wilson. I like the price with the Cardinals catching more than a FG at home here Sunday. Take Arizona.
**4X Top 10 NFL Handicapper!** Dave was the #6 NFL Capper in 2012, the #6 NFL Capper in 2008, #7 NFL Capper in 2009 and the #10 NFL Capper in 2014! He is riding a solid 412-328 NFL Run over the long haul! That includes a more recent 166-122 NFL Run over the past four seasons! He is also the #2 Ranked Overall Capper in 2020 and riding a HOT 268-186 All Sports Run since December 28th! Hop on board for Dave's Sunday NFL 3-Pack for $49.95 and give your man the beating he deserves in pro football today! By doing so you'll earn access to his 7* Bucs/Raiders Sunday Night Game of the Year, his 6* Panthers/Saints NFC South *CA$H COW* and his 6* Jaguars/Chargers Non-Conference *CA$H COW*! Dave guarantees you'll cash in a profit or you get Monday's NFL pick for FREE!
1* FREE INFO PLAY on Giants vs Eagles over 44½ -105
1* Free Pick on Steelers/Titans under 52½ -109
All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
Free Play from Doc’s Sports. Take Cincinnati Bearcats +2.5 over SMU Mustangs (9p.m., Saturday, October 24 ESPN2) I really like this Bearcat team and anytime you get them as an underdog in conference play you must take note. Cincinnati has won 3 of the 4 meetings and I just believe they are much better on defense. Cincinnati is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games against teams with a winning record. SMU is just 2-5 ATS in their last 7 conference games. Do no miss out on Doc’s Sports weekend football highlighted by a top play winner on Saturday. Monster top play run in all sports and now is the time to jump on board with a veteran handicapper of 49 years.
This is a Free play on Arizona Cardinals.
The Seahawks are undefeated, and they come into Arizona as a significant favorite. This is a familiar spot for these NFC West rivals, and more often than not it hasn't worked out well for the Seahawks. Arizona has covered the spread in seven of the last 10 meetings, and the underdog is 9-1 ATS in the those games. The Seahawks 5-0 record doesn't seem as impressive when you realize that the only team they have beat that doesn't have a losing record is the Miami Dolphins. Arizona's defense was a problem for the Cowboys on Monday night, and they should make life tough on Wilson and the Seattle offense here at home. The Seahawks still rank dead last in total defense allowing over 470 yards per game. With the league's worst defense and not a single win against a team with a winning record, Seattle has no business being a favorite on the road here.
Rocketman Sports FREE NFL play Thursday 10-22-20
NY Giants @ Philadelphia (8:20 PM EST)
Play On: NY Giants +4.5 -105
The New York Giants travel to Philadelphia to take on the Eagles on Thursday night. NY Giants are 1-5 SU overall this year while Philadelphia comes in with a 1-4--1 SU overall record on the season. NY Giants are 8-1 ATS last 3 years as a road underdog of 3 1/2 to 7 points. NY Giants are 15-4 ATS last 3 years when playing on the road. NY Giants are 10-0 ATS last 3 years when playing on grass. NY Giants are scoring 27 points per game against division opponents this year. Philadelphia is allowing 29.2 points per game overall this year, 30 points per game at home this season, 29.3 points per game past 3 games overall, 29.2 points per game on grass and 27 points per game against division opponents. NY Giants got their first win of the season last week and maybe a little confidence boost. The Eagles are very banged up right now. We'll recommend a small play on the NY Giants tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky
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PICK - UAB Blazers -1.5
I feel really good about getting UAB at less than a field goal on their home. especially with this being a Friday Night Lights matchup that is one of just 3 games on the board. It's going to get a lot more attention than it normally would and while CBSSN is not ESPN, I think it's a big deal for these small schools to be in the spotlight.
UAB had a chance to make a statement earlier this year when they played at Miami in a Thursday matchup. They ended up losing 31-14, but it was a 14-17 game in the 3rd quarter. Head coach Bill Clark had to console his players because they were so upset for not winning the game.
The fact that they were playing Miami and expected to win, says a lot about this team in my opinion. Blazers have responded by winning 3 straight and have allowed no more than 14 points in any of those 3 wins.
The Ragin' Cajuns did what UAB was hoping to do against Miami in their opener, shocking everyone and beating a ranked ISU team on the road 31-14. That win propelled Lafayette into the Top 25.
I know a win is a win, but them beating the Cyclones was a fluke. Everything went their way in that game. They had both a punt and kickoff return for a TD. Ragin' Cajuns are 0-3 ATS and aren't covering by a mile.
They needed OT to beat Georgia State 34-31 as a 17-point favorite, a last second 53-yard FG to be Georgia Southern 20-18 as a 12-point favorite and lost outright 30-27 as a 9-point home favorite against Coastal Carolina. It's crazy how close this team is to being 0-4.
We saw Coastal Carolina control the clock with the run and I expect the same thing to happen here with UAB. Give me the Blazers -1.5!
FC Koln 1
The free soccer play takes place in Germany on Friday afternoon. We are #4 overall in soccer (15-7 last 22) and 58% overall in baseball, college football and NFL. Be sure to check out our Premium Picks for just $19.99 in October.
Jack’s Free Pick Sunday: Pittsburgh Steelers -1.5
The Tennessee Titans are one of the most fraudulent 5-0 teams in the history of the NFL. They have four wins all by 6 points or fewer against the Broncos, Jaguars, Vikings and Texans, who are a combined 5-18 on the season. And even their win over the Bills was misleading as they were outgained by 36 yards in that contest.
The Titans will get exposed this week by a legitimate 5-0 Pittsburgh Steelers team. The Steelers are 5-0 SU & 4-1 ATS this season with all five wins by 5 points or more and by an average of 12.4 points per game. They are outgaining opponents by 72.8 yards per game on the season, which is the sign of an elite team.
Pittsburgh’s offense is back to its offense of old with a healthy Big Ben running the show. The Steelers are averaging 31.2 points per game on the season. They have one of the best defenses in the NFL in giving up just 18.8 points and 285.2 yards per game. And they have the recipe to stop the Titans, which is stopping Derrick Henry. They give up just 66 rushing yards per game and 3.3 per carry.
And that’s the biggest difference between these teams. One has a defense and one doesn’t. The Titans give up 25.2 points and 409.8 yards per game this season. That’s 6.4 points and 124.6 yards per game more than the Steelers allow. The Steelers are rightful favorites here because of their edge on defense and should be 3-point favorites or more.
Pittsburgh is 9-1 ATS off a home win over the last three seasons. The Steelers are 10-2 ATS vs. terrible pass defenses that allow a completion percentage of 64% or higher over the last three seasons. Pittsburgh is 52-25-2 ATS in its last 79 October games. Bet the Steelers Sunday.
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The Friday Serie A Comp Totals play is on the over in the Torino at Sassuolo Calcio match at 3:00 eastern. Torino has the leagues highest Andrea Belloti who has 4 goals already. The Problem for Torino is their back line that is in disarray conceding 7 goals over the last two. That will be problematic against a Calcio team that ranks 2nd in efficiency so far in Serie A. Calcio really is an entertaining team to watch. They play a similar style to Atalanta, an attack that create many scoring chances. In the series between these two 7 of the last 8 matches have had at least 3 goals. Look for a higher scoring match here that plays over the total. Play Torino and Calcio over today.
My free play is on Wisconsin at 8:00 ET.
The Big Ten, CFB's oldest conference (established in 1895) announced it was canceling its fall football season back on August 11. However, a little over a month later (in mid-September), the conference announced that it had adopted “significant medical protocols” and would return to play the weekend of October 23-24. So here we are and someone had to be first. Kicking off the 2020 Big Ten schedule will be Illinois and Wisconsin, with the 14th-ranked Badgers hosting the Illini in front of an empty Camp Randall Stadium in Madison.
Lovie Smith, who spent 11 seasons as an NFL head coach (nine years with the Bears and two with the Bucs) was surprisingly hired (my words) as Illinois' head coach in 2016. He went 9-27 in his first three seasons but the team's 6-6 regular season mark in 2019 earned the Illini a RedBox Bowl bid, where Illinois lost 35-20 to Cal. Paul Chyrst was hired at Wisconsin in 2015, after leading Pitt to three straight bowls from 2012-14 but note his overall record was only 19-19. He's led the Badgers to FIVE straight bowl games, winning the first four, before losing 28-27 to Oregon in last season's Rose Bowl. His overall record with Wisconsin is 52-16 (.765).
Freshman Brandon Peters completed only 55.3 percent last season for a modest 1,884 yards but did have 18 TDs against eight INTs. He's back as a sophomore but leading rushers Reggie Corbin (675 yards / 4.7 YPC / 7 TDs) and Dre Brown (584 yards / 5.2 YPC / 5 TDs) are no longer around. Smith is hoping RBs Mike Epstein and Chase Brown can stay healthy or that freshman Reggie Love can make significant contributions. Last season's leading pass-catcher is also gone, as Imatorbhebhe (try spell checking that name!) caught a modest 33 passes but for a 19.2 YPC with nine TDs. Lovie Smith has always been known as a defensive coach but last year's team allowed 26.2 PPG. Is that good news? Maybe so, as his first three teams allowed 31.9, 31.5 and 39.4 PPG.
Wisconsin expected RB Jonathan Taylor (2,003 rushing yards in 2019) to leave a year early for the NFL but Paul Chryst couldn't have planned for the loss of QB Jack Coan (69.6% / 2,727 yards / 18 TDs and just five INTs in 2019) to a foot injury on Oct 10, meaning that redshirt freshman Graham Mertz will get the start. Speaking of being a defensive coach, note that in the first five seasons of the "Chryst era" in Wisconsin, his 'stop units' have allowed 13.7, 15.6, 13.9, 22.6 and 16.9 PPG.
Yes, Wisconsin faces some real challenges in what will only be an eight-game regular season schedule. However, it's hard to imagine that opening with Illinois is "just what the doctor ordered." Heading into last season's game with Illinois at Champaign-Urbana, the Badgers had won the last nine meetings and 13 of the previous 14. Wisconsin had outscored Illinois by a combined 145-46 in the four meetings since Paul Chryst took over the Wisconsin program in 2015. So what happened? James McCourt converted a 39-yard FG as time expired. Illinois upset Wisconsin 24-23 as a 30 1/2-point underdog. Lay the points!
360 Kansas at Kansas State
The Jayhawks won three games before the big signing of Les Miles in Lawrence. In his first season here the team won the same number of games. Money well spent from the Kansas athletic staff. Oh, did we mention that after he left LSU the Tigers won 34 of 41 games and an NCAA Championship? The Jayhawks are 0-4 this year being outscored by 109 points in those games.
Kansas State has owned this series, winning the past 11 meetings. Victories by 28, 4, 10, 15 and 31 points the past five years. Chris Klieman is a head coach on the rise after posting an 8-5 record a year ago, and 3-1 this season. That includes three straight outright upset victories. Look for the streak to continue.
PLAY KANSAS STATE
Friday MLB Free play. My selection is on Los Angeles over Tampa Bay at 8:08 pm et on Friday.
I hesitate to call it a throw away game but let's face it, the Dodgers didn't put their best foot forward in Game 2 of this series, sending Tony Gonsolin to the hill in what amounted to a 'bullpen game' - a game that they dropped by a 6-4 score (we won with the 'over'). Here, I look for the Boys in Blue to get back in business with Walker Buehler on the mound against Charlie Morton of the Rays. We saw Los Angeles struggle to get to lefty Blake Snell in Game 2 but it is well set up to inflict enough damage against the right-handed Morton to get to the Rays bullpen on Friday. While Clayton Kershaw is still the Dodgers ace by reputation, Buehler seems to be taking over that role in reality and I'm confident he can silence the Rays inconsistent bats in Game 3. Take Los Angeles (8*).
Sean is a PERFECT 2-0 in the World Series, cashing with the Dodgers in Game 1 and the 'over' in Game 2! Don't miss his Game 3 winner on Friday! But first he's targeting his 10* NFL Thursday Night Football Game of the Year featuring the Giants vs. Eagles! Don't miss out as Murph extends his AWESOME 98-67 NFL sides run!