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Jack's Free Pick Saturday: Boston College +20.5
The Boston College Eagles started the season 1-3 SU & 0-4 ATS. They were catching too many points against Louisville last week and pulled the 34-33 upset as 13.5-point home underdogs. I still think we are 'buying low' on this team after that disastrous start, catching three touchdowns at home against Clemson this week.
There was nothing fluky about that win over Louisville. The Eagles outgained the Cardinals by 102 yards and racked up 454 total yards. Phil Jurkovec finally played up to his potential, completing 18-of-21 passes for 304 yards with three touchdowns and one interception. They also rushed for 150 yards as a team. They held a very good Louisville offense to just 352 total yards and 4.7 yards per play.
This is a terrible spot for Clemson. The Tigers are coming off their two biggest games of the season, beating Wake Forest 51-45 (OT) and NC State 30-20. They have another huge game on deck against Florida State next week. That makes this a sandwich spot for the Tigers, and those two hard-fought wins will have taken a lot out of them. Look for them to let up enough this week to allow Boston College to hang around.
The Eagles have had no problem hanging around with Clemson the past two seasons despite playing both games on the road. They only lost 28-34 as 26.5-point road underdogs in 2020, and 13-19 as 14.5-point road underdogs in 2021. In fact, 13 of the last 17 meetings have been decided by 20 points or less.
This is the famous 'Red Bandana Game' for the Eagles. It is dedicated to Welles Crowther, a former lacrosse player at Boston College who spearheaded a rescue effort inside the World Trade Center on 9/11. His heroic efforts saved many lives on that day, and his legacy lives on with this game. The Eagles will give their 'A' effort in his honor as they do every year, and it won't be a problem for them getting up to face Clemson as it is.
Clemson is without two starting defensive linemen in DT Bryan Bresee and DE Xavier Thomas. Both were the top recruits in the entire country at their positions. Plays on home underdogs (Boston College) - off a close home win by 3 points or less in the first half of the season are 65-30 (68.4%) ATS since 1992. Bet Boston College Saturday.
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1* FREE INFO PLAY on Colorado State vs Nevada over 44 -110
1* Free Pick on Houston/Memphis over 57½ -110
All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
The free play takes place in Italy on Saturday. Be sure to check us out as we are #1 in soccer at +3454 and most BEST BETS are $20.
1* Free Sharp Play on Sungjae Im +115
Stanford +7 1.1% Free play
Oregon State off back to back brutal loses to USC and Utah, and I don’t know how they get up for this game. Stanford is one of the only teams that have not covered a spread this season, and we are clearly getting some extra line value because of it. Stanford has not been bad this season but have had poor turnover luck with 8 fumbles lost. Part of it is their offensive line has faced some very good defensive lines that cause havoc, but Oregon State’s defensive line is not the defense that’s going to cause those issues ranking outsid ethe top 100 in sack %, and they’re on the road again, I just think this is a nice spot for Stanford to threaten for a win as Oregon State could be without their starting QB, and have had turnover issues of their own.
Free Play from Doc’s Sports. Take #337 TCU Horned Frogs over Kansas Jayhawks (12p.m., Saturday, October 8 FS1) This is a surprise battle of unbeaten teams taking place at Memorial Stadium in Lawrence, KS. Kansas is becoming a media and fan darling, and I expect the public to be all over them in this game. The line is set high and the oddsmakers want you to take the underdog in this game. TCU has the better resume at this point of the season with wins against Oklahoma and SMU. They are coming off a dominating performance last time out and look for them to follow that up with a double-digit win in this game. Kansas has been getting by with close wins, but their luck will run out on Saturday. Kansas is 17-37 ATS in their last 54 games against teams with a winning record. Do not miss out on Doc’s Sports weekend football card. 7-2 in winning weeks to open the season and now is the time to jump on board with a long-term package and receive all of our plays. Sign-up now and let 51 years of handicapping experience work for you.
FRANK’S CUTTING ROOM FLOOR FOR FRIDAY, 10/7:
My “Cutting Room Floor” plays are the situations I considered the closest to being worthy of investment but did not make the “final cut” for my official plays today for subscribers. The last play I cut for Friday is with the Nevada Wolf Pack minus the points versus Colorado State. Nevada (2-3) has lost three games in a row after their 48-20 loss at Air Force as a 24-point underdog on September 23rd. The Wolf Pack have bounced back to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 19 of their last 26 games after a loss by 20 or more points. They have also covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games in October. Colorado State (0-4) remained winless with their 41-10 upset loss to Sacramento State as a 4.5-point favorite on September 24th. The Rams have failed to cover the point spread in 8 straight games after a straight-up loss — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 9 straight games after a loss by 20 or more points. Colorado State goes back on the road where they have failed to cover the point spread in 5 straight games. Take Nevada minus the points. Best of luck — Frank.
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This is a play on the LSU TIGERS for our Free Play For Saturday. We are going against the big public darling here as Tennessee has collected 73 percent of the early tickets and plain and simple is overvalued here. One major set of power rankings has Tennessee ranked No. 14 with LSU sitting a spot ahead of it and that is not taking home field into consideration. The Volunteers have a couple of scheduling advantages, one being that they are coming off a bye week following a hard-fought win over Florida to move them to 4-0 but this is just the second road game of the season and the first in a month which took overtime to defeat Pittsburgh. The offense has been as potent as any other team as Tennessee is ranked No. 1 in total offense and No. 3 in scoring offense so LSU will have a challenge but its defense has been great by allowing 17 points or less in four straight games. Unless someone appreciates what he accomplished at Notre Dame or if someone is an LSU fan, it might be safe to say that no one likes Tigers head coach Brian Kelly and they seem to be always on the short end of the betting volume because of it. In this spot, we will take it as the value is on LSU even though it got a bad draw from the TV schedulers as kickoff is set for 12:00 ET, the worst possible time slot for an SEC home team. The Tigers are off to a 4-1 start as they have won four straight games following a tough opening loss against Florida St. as their late comeback fell short as a blocked extra-point prevented overtime in the one-point loss. LSU had a solid road win at Auburn last week despite getting outgained by 168 total yards as they took advantage of a fumble recovery returned for a touchdown to improve to 2-0 in the SEC. LSU has won four of its last five home games as an underdog with the lone exception being a three-point loss against Arkansas last season. A quick start is big as the Tigers have fallen behind by double-digits in three games, but have still won two and the other being a one-point loss. Play (378) LSU Tigers Fargo is riding a 26-8 Run in All Sports since 9/23 and he is looking to continue the MONSTER stretch with another MASSIVE weekend! It has been an EPIC run in football as Fargo is a SWEET 18-6 over his last 24 plays including a 9-4 CFB run over his last 13 CFB plays and has brought home +$11,020 in college football profits the last 2 years! Week Six continues Friday night with a Top Play and SIX Winners Saturday so do not miss out on these MASSIVE Winners! After a Wednesday Win in MLB, Matt is looking to open the baseball playoffs with a Winner on Friday! He has a Top Play with his MLB Sweet Spot that he loves so do not miss out! Following a profitable Week 4, Matt is on a 9-2 NFL run and he is 18-7 to start the NFL and has profited long term for a lengthy time! Over the last 10 years, he has profited in 8 of those, bringing home a SWEET $71,780 in profits!
Chip's NCAAF Power Play Winner
Las Vegas Hilton Handicapping Champion Chip Chirimbes the 'Big Game Player' was a Power Play winner last Saturday with Auburn (+8) 17-21 over LSU and is 11-4 72% ATS the last three Saturdays. Friday, Chip has posted another Top-Rated 'Power Play' winner between Houston and Memphis. Cash-in on this NCAAF Best Bet winner for only $39.
Chip's FREE MLB Winner
San Diego at New York Mets 8:05 ET
Mets over Padres- The Mets spent 175 days in first place and reached 100 wins for the first time since 1988 and still didn't win the NL East. Max Scherzer (11-5, 2.29 ERA in the regular season) is scheduled to start for the Mets against Yu Darvish (16-8, 3.10 ERA) in a battle of All-Star right-handers. The Mets (101-61) earned the top wild card in the NL and are in the playoffs for the first time since 2016. The Padres (89-73) are the fifth seed after finishing second in the NL West, 22 games behind the Los Angeles Dodgers. Scherzer is 6-3 with a 2.88 ERA in 17 career starts against the Padres. He took the loss in his lone meeting this season with San Diego on July 22, when he allowed two runs over six innings as host New York fell, 4-1. Scherzer is 7-6 with a 3.22 ERA and one save in 26 postseason games (21 starts) while Darvish is 5-0 with a 2.56 ERA in eight starts against the Mets, including 2-0 with an 0.64 ERA in two starts this season. He out-dueled Scherzer when Darvish allowed one run over seven innings. Darvish is 2-5 with a 5.18 ERA in seven postseason starts. Take NEW YORK METS!
Chip's Highest-Rated MLB Megabucks
Chip Chirimbes, the 'Big Game Player' and Award Winning Handicapper is now a 'Documented' 28-16 (64%) with his last 44 MLB Megabucks releases and is 61-40 (61%) overall in MLB action in the past 57 days. Friday, Chip has posted his 'Highest-Rated MLB Megabucks Best Bet winner between Tampa Bay and Cleveland. Get this 'Highest-Rated' Megabucks Best Bet winner for $49.
Friday's Free NCAAF Pick: Rutgers Scarlet Knights +132
You can take the +3 (-110) on Rutgers if you want, but I think the real value Friday night in this matchup is on the Scarlet Knights +132 on the money line. I just don't think the spread is going to come into play. Either Rutgers is the underrated team I think they are and are going to win this game outright or they aren't and Nebraska runs away with this thing.
I know Nebraska was able to snap their 9-game FBS losing streak with a 35-21 win at home against Indiana last week, but to me that's not a result I would get excited about. Hoosiers were limited offensively down two of their top wide receivers and Nebraska had a big edge in that game coming off of a bye week, where Indiana was coming off a tough game at Cincinnati.
It was still a lot of the same sloppy football for Nebraska. The Cornhuskers had stretches where the offense couldn't get anything going, they committed 12 penalties for 111 yards and turned it over twice.
Rutgers comes into this game at 3-2, but have failed to cover each of their last 3 games. The first being a mere 16-14 win at Temple as a 18-point favorite. They then lost by 17 at home to Iowa as a 7.5-point dog and lost by 39 as a 39 point dog at Ohio State. Losing like that to the Buckeyes is expected. The 17-point loss at home to Iowa doesn't look great given how bad the Hawkeyes offense has been, but keep in mind they outgained Iowa 361 to 277 in that matchup. The difference in that game was the Hawkeyes defense scoring two touchdowns.
Rutgers defensively is only giving up 283 yards/game, 4.8 yards/play and just 3.0 yards/carry on the ground. That defense should feed off what I think is going to be a decent crowd for a prime time game under the lights on Friday night. I also think the offense is going to have a bit of breakout game after facing two of the best defenses in the country the last two weeks. Give me the Scarlet Knights +132!
Romania Liga 1 Friday Free Pick UNDER 2 goals -125 in FC Voluntari vs CS Mioveni @ 11 AM ET - Look for goals to be tough to come by in this one. These are two of the lowest scoring clubs in the league and the last time they met it was a 0-0 draw. I know CS Mioveni has scored a little better last couple matches but this FC Voluntari club is on their home pitch and very hungry for a win. The hosts have gone undefeated last 3 matches but 2 of them were draws. FC Voluntari will give a very strong effort in the defensive end to try and win this match by a 1-0 count. I expect that type of match here and none of their last 4 have totaled more than 2 goals and those 4 matches averaged just 1.5 goals apiece. These teams have played a combined 24 matches and between them have totaled only 17 goals scored. This should be a defensive battle. Free Pick UNDER 2 goals -125 in FC Voluntari
Saturday CFB Free play. My selection is on Oklahoma plus the points over Texas at 12 noon et on Saturday.
Everyone is quick to write off Oklahoma off consecutive losses against Kansas State and TCU, especially given the nature of last Saturday's defeat at the hands of the Horned Frogs. I'm not so easily convinced. This is still a talented Sooners squad with everything to play for and I look for it to show up in Saturday's rivalry showdown against Texas. The Longhorns weren't really tested in last week's 18-point rout of West Virginia. They will be here. It's easy to forget that the Sooners started the season with a perfect 3-0 record, scoring a whopping 127 points in the process. There's really no shame in either of their last two losses as Kansas State and TCU have combined to go 8-1 to start the campaign. Last week's game against TCU was over before it had barely started as a couple of defensive breakdowns led to the Horned Frogs running out to a 21-3 lead midway through the first quarter. Here, I look for the Sooners to be the ones that deliver the first blow. A similar, perhaps inferior, offense to that of Oklahoma's laid out a pretty good blueprint for giving the Longhorns defense fits in Texas Tech two weeks ago. The Red Raiders scored touchdowns in all four quarters and ultimately prevailed by a 37-34 score in overtime. Even last week, we saw Texas lack that true finishing ability late as it gave up two fourth quarter touchdowns against West Virginia. Remember the Longhorns are also just two games removed from being in a battle against UTSA - that was a four-point game before a pick-six that proved to be the back-breaker at the end of the third quarter. Oklahoma has the type of relentless offense that should thrive in an underdog environment such as this, capable of staying on the field for extended stretches with an explosive ground game. It has the ability to effectively shorten this game - something you always want to see in an underdog side. Here, we'll note that the Sooners are a perfect 7-0 ATS the last seven times they've come off a loss by 10+ points as a road favorite, as is the case here. What better way to answer back following an embarrassing loss than with a strong showing against the rival Longhorns? Take Oklahoma.