Weekly Free Football Picks & Predictions

Jack's Free Pick Wednesday: Rays/Guardians UNDER 7

The forecast will aid us in cashing this UNDER 7 ticket between the Rays and Guardians this afternoon.  Temps will be in the 50's with double-digit winds blowing in from center field and the possibility of rain to boot.  Conditions will certainly be favorable for these two solid starting pitchers.

Drew Rasmussen is 2-0 with a 2.45 ERA and 0.70 WHIP in five starts for the Rays this season.  He has allowed just 7 earned runs and 18 base runners in 25 2/3 innings with 26 K's.  Rasmussen has owned the Guardians with a 1.69 ERA and 0.81 WHIP in four career starts against them, allowing just 3 earned runs in 16 innings.

Gavin Williams is 4-1 with a 3.28 ERA and 1.09 WHIP in six starts for the Guardians this season.  He has allowed just 13 earned runs and 39 base runners in 35 2/3 innings with 44 K's.  Williams has thrived against the Rays, going 1-1 with a 2.42 ERA in four career starts against them while allowing just 6 earned runs in 22 1/3 innings.

The UNDER is 6-1-1 in the last eight meetings between the Rays and Guardians with 7 or fewer combined runs in seven of those eight meetings, and 6 or fewer in six of them.  They have combined for 5 runs or fewer in four consecutive meetings, including the first two meetings in this series.  It should be more of the same in Game 3 today given the forecast.  Bet the UNDER in this game Wednesday.

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1*

Dave's Wednesday Free Play:

1* on Nationals/Mets OVER 7.5

The Key: This is a pretty low total given the quality of these 2 starting pitchers plus the fact that the wind is expected to be blowing out at Citi Field Wednesday night.  David Peterson is 0-3 with a 5.06 ERA and 1.65 WHIP while yieldng 15 ER in 26 2/3 innings this year.  Cade Cavalli is 0-1 with a 4.01 ERA and 1.66 WHIP in 6 starts this year, and 0-1 with a 5.73 ERA and 1.73 WHIP in 3 road starts.  The Nationals are 19-9-2 OVER in all games this year.  Take the OVER.

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1* Free Sharp Play on Rangers +110

Canadiens +150

Montreal and Tampa clash in a pivotal Game 5 and this is too nice of a price on Montreal. The first 4 games have all been close and Montreal has already proven they can win in Tampa. They coughed up a 2-0 lead in Game 4, but they still have plenty of good takeaways from that game. This defense is one of the best at clearing the zone and they can beat this Lightning side on the counter attack. Ray’s daily FREE plays are meant to be cheap bankroll plays. Money management is everything in this game, and these freebies are designed to keep you moving in the right direction. Tonight’s FREE selection is a strong lean on the HABS ML. The number makes sense, the spot is right, and it’s a play worth taking. You know what to do. Good luck — Razor Ray.

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My selection is on Detroit over Orlando at 7 pm et on Wednesday.

The straight-up winner has covered the spread in all four games in this series with the Magic holding a 3-1 lead entering Wednesday's Game 5 in Detroit. Note that the Pistons have now dropped consecutive games and that's notable as they've lost more than two games in a row only once previously this season. Meanwhile, the Magic have covered the number in more than two straight games only once going back to March 12th. Facing elimination at home, I'm confident we'll see Detroit bounce back with a convincing victory in this spot. Take Detroit (8*).