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Jack's Free Pick Wednesday: San Diego Padres -131
The San Diego Padres had won five consecutive games prior to losing to Milwaukee ace Corbin Burnes yesterday. Look for them to start a new winning streak tonight as they have the advantage on the mound this time around.
Yu Darvish is 4-1 with a 3.91 ERA and 1.130 WHIP in eight starts this season, including 2-0 with a 1.37 ERA and 0.661 WHIP in three home starts. Darvish is also 2-2 with a 2.13 ERA and 0.921 WHIP in seven career starts against Milwaukee.
Aaron Ashby will be making a spot start for the Brewers today. He has been poor on the road, going 1-4 with a 4.54 ERA in 37 2/3 innings pitched away from home in his career. Ashby is 0-1 with a 6.51 ERA and 1.655 WHIP in two road starts this season alone. He has walked 13 batters in 13 2/3 innings as a starter this season with control clearly being an issue for him.
The Padres are 11-2 following a loss this season. The Brewers are 3-8 in their last 11 games as road underdogs. San Diego is 12-2 in its last 14 games vs. a left-handed starter. Bet the Padres Wednesday.
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1* Free Sharp Play on Braves -138
The Braves (-138) are worth a look as a home favorite against the Phillies in Wednesday's MLB action. This feels like a great price to back Atlanta. The Braves will have Charlie Morton on the mound. He's got a very mediocre 4.95 ERA in 8 starts, but owns a strong 2.89 ERA and 1.018 WHIP in 4 home starts. He's also got a 2.20 ERA and 0.980 WHIP over his last 3 starts. Morton made 5 starts against the Phillies in 2021. He allowed just 6 ER in 24 2/3 innings. Allowing 2 or fewer ER in each of his last 4 starts vs Philly. Play the Braves -138!
Club Atlas 1
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1* Free Pick on Orioles +149
All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
1* FREE INFO PLAY on Reds -122
#965 ASA FREE PLAY ON Oakland +155 over Seattle, Wednesday at 4:10 PM ET - Seattle starting pitcher Robbie Ray continues to get too much respect in our opinion. He is a former Cy Young award winner but he’s not been great this season. His ERA on the season is near 5.00 and that’s not due to 1 or 2 bad outings. Over his last 4 starts alone, Ray has allowed 15 ER’s in 23 innings of work. He’s facing an Oakland team that has 18 wins on the season, however 12 of those have come on the road. The A’s are a better hitting team on the road this season and vs lefties away from home they are averaging 6.7 RPG. As a whole, Oakland has been much more successful this year vs southpaws. The A’s are sending their ace Blackburn to the mound this afternoon. He has an ERA of just 1.91 and is a perfect 4-0 on the season. He has allowed 3 ER’s or less in all 8 of his starts and 2 ER’s or less in 7 of those outings. The A’s have come out on top in 7 of Blackburn’s 8 starts this season. On top of that, Oakland has the stronger bullpen with an ERA of just 3.30, which is a full run less than Seattle’s relievers. These two teams have split the first 2 games of this series with Oakland winning 7-5 last night and Seattle 7-6 the night before. The A’s have outhit Seattle in both games by a combined total of 25 to 17. We like the way Oakland has played on the road and their bats are coming alive. Solid money line underdog here.
Mike Lundin's Rangers vs Angels MLB Free Pick May 25, 2022
The Texas Rangers are averaging 5.47 runs per nine innings against left-handers on the season. Here they get another look at Angels southpaw Reid Detmers (2-1, 4.15 ERA) who gave up three runs in 3 2/3 innings of a 10-5 Angels loss to Texas on May 17. Rangers righty Glenn Otto (1-2, 5.55 ERA) did not pitch in that series, but he has allowed 10 runs over 10 innings in his last two starts combined.
FREE PICK ON OVER.
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1* MLB - Cubs/Reds FREE PICK on Cubs +130
Wednesday's Free MLB Pick is on the Chicago Cubs as a +130 road dog against the Reds. I just love the price here with Chicago. I get that Kyle Hendricks hasn't been great, but it's been more about consistency. He's given up 2 or fewer ER in 5 of his 9 starts. This feels like a good matchup for him. Reds are only scoring 3.1 runs/game over their last 7. I also think you got to look at the forecast. Rain is expected and there could be a delay that forces the bullpens to take over. Edge Chicago. Cubs relievers have a 3.29 ERA and 1.201 WHIP in 172 1/3 innings. Reds relievers have a 4.82 ERA and 1.404 WHIP in 171 2/3 innings. Chicago is also swinging a hot bat. Cubs scored 11 runs yesterday and have now scored 5 or more in 5 straight games. Bet the Cubs +130!
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Dave's Wednesday Free Play:
1* on Chicago Cubs +135
The Key: I like the price we are getting on the Chicago Cubs today. The Cubs are mashing the ball as they have scored 5 runs or more in 5 straight games, including 18 runs in beating the Reds in the first two games of this series. Cincinnati can't be this big of a favorite against anyone as they are just 12-30 on the year. Luis Castillo is still working his way back from injury and has been limited and not very effective thus far. Castillo is 0-2 with a 4.59 ERA in 3 starts this year. Kyle Hendricks has yielded only one earned run in 14 1/3 innings in his last 2 road starts. Hendricks has yielded only 2 earned runs in 12 innings in his last 2 starts at Cincinnati. Take Chicago.
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The MLB Comp Play for Wednesday is on the Cincy Reds at 6:40 eastern. The Reds are 6-2 at home vs a team under .500 on the road and have Castillo going. The Cubs fit a play against system for road dogs that are off a road win scoring 10 or more runs and a prior road favored win scoring 6 or more runs. These road teams lose 75% of the time long term. Hendricks has lost 4 of 5 here and has a 4.89 era. Look for the Reds to take this one. On Wednesday Rob brings the Bang with a TOP MLB Platinum Supreme move, an NHL Historical System play and after last nights Top Totals Winner in the NBA We have the 2X Perfect Game 5 Side. Jump on now as we continue to cash. For the Comp Play. Take Cincy. Rob V- Golden Contender Sports
Play On: L.A. Angels w/Detmers vs. Otto (Game 974).
Edges - Angels: Detmers 1.96 ERA with 0.73 WHIP at home as opposed to 8.48 ERA with 1.54 WHIP away this season … Rangers: Otto 10 walks and 8 strikeouts last three starts; and 2-4 away career team starts … With that, we recommend a 1* play on the Angels. Thank you and good luck as always.
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1* Free Play on Reds -125
Wednesday's MLB Free Pick: San Diego Padres -119
I'll take my chances with the Padres as a slim -119 home favorite against the Brewers in Wednesday's series finale. This is just too good a price to pass up with San Diego at home given the big advantage they have on the mound.
Padres will send out Yu Darvish, who has a solid 3.91 ERA and 1.130 WHIP in 8 starts. SD has won 6 of those 8 starts, including a perfect 3-0 record at home, where Darvish has a sensational 1.37 ERA and 0.661 WHIP. Not to mention, Darvish owns a 2.13 ERA and 0.921 WHIP over 7 career starts vs the Brewers.
Milwaukee will counter with Aaron Ashby, who after a couple of decent starts, was rocked for 6 runs on 6 hits and 4 BBs in just 4 innings in his last start at Atlanta. Ashby has had major control problems. He's walked 13 guys in 13 2/3 innings, totaling at least 4 free passes in each of his 3 starts. Give me the Padres -119!
Confidence Rating: 5 (Scale of 1-10)
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Wednesday NHL Free play. My selection is on the 'under' between St. Louis and Colorado at 8 pm et on Wednesday.
The first two games of this series here in Colorado were relatively low-scoring with each contest totalling just five goals. The scoring picked up in St. Louis, however, with the two teams combining for 16 goals in Games 3 and 4. I expect a return to closer to what we saw in Games 1 and 2 on Wednesday as the Avalanche look to wrap things up against the Blues. Note that the 'under' has gone 84-56 with St. Louis seeking double-revenge against an opponent and also 12-4 when playing on the road off a loss against a division opponent over the last two seasons, as is the case here, resulting in an average total of just 5.6 goals in the latter situation. The Avs have posted a long-term 8-19 o/u record when playing at home off consecutive wins by 2+ goals, which is also the situation here and an even longer-term 52-80 o/u mark when coming off consecutive road victories of any kind. Take the under.
1* FREE PLAY WHITE SOX.
Here's a game where I feel that the favorite should in fact be favored by a LOT more. If you don't mind laying chalk, this play is as solid as it gets. The Red Sox are off the 16-3 win here yesterday, and Chicago is 7-2 in its last 9 in trying to revenge a 5 runs of greater home loss against an opponent. Rich Hill was shelled for 4 runs over 2 innings in a loss to the Mariners in his last outing for Boston, while Lucas Giolito gave up 2 runs over 5 innings in a no-decision to the Royals. Look for the home side to bounce back with its ace on the mound. Consider Chicago!