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Dave’s Friday Free Play:
1* on Utah Jazz -10.5
The Key: The Utah Jazz are desperate for a win after dropping 4 straight games since the All-Star Break. This is their final home game before going on a 4-game road trip, so I look for the Jazz to be playing with a sense of urgency tonight against the Washington Wizards. They face a Wizards team that is just 7-21 on the road this year. The Jazz are 8-0 SU & 7-1 ATS in their last 8 matchups with the Wizards. Washington is 12-28-1 ATS in its last 41 road games against a team that wins more than 60% of their home games. The Jazz are 9-0 ATS in their last 9 home games against a team that wins between 25% and 40% of their games on the season. Take Utah.
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1* Colorado over ‘Canes
NHL KEY FREE ANGLE
CASHED TORONTO LAST NIGHT
This is a 1* free play on the DC Defenders.
This team came into last week's game against LA with a 2-0 record, and they looked like they might be the team to beat. They were exposed by a high flying LA Wildcats offense in a 39-9 loss. The game got out of hand partially because Cardale Jones threw four picks. It was a terrible game for a Jones, but based on his performance in the first two weeks, you have to like his chances of taking advantage of the Vipers defense that hasn't stopped anybody. The Vipers offense has failed to impress, but they have looked better when Quinten Flowers has been under center. He's apparently taking a leave of absence, leaving the Vipers in rough shape. Their running game has looked decent, but DC ranks first in the XFL in run defense. This looks like a get right game for the visitors.
1* Free Play on Nets -2 -110
10* NCAAB FREE PICK (Dayton -10.5)
I'll take my chances here with the Flyers and lay the big number. This line has dropped some from the opening mark of 12. That could be viewed as a sign to take Davidson. I just think the Wildcats are a team that people thought was going to be a lot better than they are and because they have won 4 of 5 we are seeing some interest spark back up as a double-digit dog.
There's just no way I would bet against Dayton in this spot. Flyers have won 17 straight overall and are 15-0 in A-10 play. They have made it pretty clear they want to go undefeated and there's talks now of them maybe getting a No. 1 seed. I think this team will be extremely motivated to show up and show out tonight. Game will be played on ESPN2 and with a weak Friday card they know a lot of eyes will be on this game.
Davidson has not been a good road team. They are a mere 4-12 ATS away from home. They have just one cover in their last 5 on the road vs a team that's won more than 60% of their home games. Dayton is 15-0 at home, outscoring opponents by 19.5 ppg (82.0 -62.5), and shoot 53% while allowing just 41%. So far they have won 6 of their 7 home conference games by double-digits. Give me the Flyers -10.5!
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Rocketman Sports FREE NBA play Friday 2-28-20
Sacramento @ Memphis (8:05 PM EST)
Play On: Memphis -3 -115
The Sacramento Kings travel to Memphis to take on the Grizzlies on Friday night. Sacramento is 24-34 SU overall this year while Memphis comes in with a 28-30 SU overall record on the season. Memphis is 13-3 SU and 12-4 ATS this year as a favorite. Memphis is 4-0 ATS last 4 games as a home favorite. Memphis is 6-2 ATS last 8 games after a SU loss of 10 or more points. Memphis is 5-1 ATS last 6 games at home vs Sacramento. We'll recommend a small play on Memphis tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky
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Rennes at Toulouse
Rennes is #3 of the 20 teams in League One while Toulouse is #20. They are 3-19-4 with a -33 goal difference.
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Friday NHL Free play. My selection is on Carolina over Colorado at 7:05 pm et on Friday.
The Avalanche have won six straight games away from home but let's not get too excited as those victories came against Buffalo, Ottawa, Columbus, Minnesota, Anaheim and Los Angeles. The Hurricanes are coming off a 4-1 loss at home against Dallas and have now dropped three straight games at home. This is a critical spot as they'll head out on a long road trip after wrapping things up against the Avalanche. Despite their recent struggles on home ice, the Canes remain a winning team in Raleigh, where they've gone 19-13 this season. We'll play on Carolina noting road teams off three straight wins by one goal against opponents after scoring one goal or less in their previous game have gone a miserable 5-20 since 1996. Take Carolina (8*).
Play - Oklahoma City Thunder (Game 537).
Edges - Thunder: 7-1 ATS without rest versus non-conference opponents … Bucks: 0-5 ATS versus unrested non-conference foes … We recommend a 1* play on Oklahoma City. Thank you and good luck as always.
> > Marc’s Famous 10* Qualified Last Home Game Plays are here. The next one goes Friday night, and like Boise State last Sunday, it’s supported with a 100% ATS perfect winning situation. Best of all it’s locked and loaded now - don’t miss it!
1* Free Sharp Play on Wolves vs Magic over 235 -106
My money is on the OVER 235 in Friday's NBA action that has the Magic hosting the Timberwolves. Orlando is far from a high-scoring team, but they have been in a lot of high scoring games since the break. Each of the Magic's first 3 games back have seen a combined score of 228 or more, including 250 last time out at Atlanta.
Minnesota is shooting 3-pointers like crazy. They attempted 46 in their last game at Miami, which they won by a final of 129-126. That's 4 straight games since the break where they have attempted 40 or more 3-pointers. All 4 saw a total of 244 or more. BET THE OVER 235!
Jack’s Free Pick Friday: Timberwolves/Magic OVER 234
The Minnesota Timberwolves have been an OVER bettors' dream this month. The Timberwolves are 7-1 to the OVER in their last eight games overall with combined scores of 244 or more points in seven of those contests.
The Timberwolves and their opponents are averaging 249.4 combined points per game in their last eight games and none of those were due to overtime. They rank 28th in defensive efficiency, 5th in offensive efficiency and 1st in pace during this stretch. They have pushed the tempo even more since trading for De’Angelo Russell.
The OVER is 5-0 in Orlando’s last five games overall. They are averaging 239.0 points per game combined with their opponents during this stretch. They just combined for 250 points with Atlanta last time out, a team that plays similar to the Timberwolves with a fast pace, no defense and a great offense.
Plays on the OVER on any team (Minnesota) - after going over the total by more than 12 points in three consecutive games against opponent that went over the total by 42 points or more total in their last seven games are 29-9 (76.3%) over the last five seasons. The OVER is 5-1 in the last six meetings. Bet the OVER in this game Friday.
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1* NCAAB - Free Pick on Texas State/UT-Arlington OVER 131.5
I like the value here with the OVER in Friday's Sun Belt matchup between Texas State and UT Arlington. These two played back in late January and combined for just 126 points, but that was with both teams shooting poorly.
Both of these teams average over 70 ppg in conference play. Texas State only managed 62 in that upset loss at home to the Mavericks. They just put up 86 in their last game against Georgia State and will be facing a UT Arlington defense that just gave up 81 at home to Georgia Southern.
Also that low scoring game in the first meeting was an outlier in the series, as each of the previous 9 had seen at least 135 points with the previous 3 all combining for 150+. OVER is 23-10 in Bobcats last 33 on the road off a home win and 6-1 in the Mavs last 7 vs a team with a winning record. Take the OVER!
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