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This is a play on the COLORADO ROCKIES for our Friday Free Play. Colorado is coming off a tough loss on Thursday against Arizona as it had a 4-2 lead in the seventh inning and eventually lost in the ninth inning. The Rockies have dropped four straight games and have a favorable matchup tonight. Kansas City was off Wednesday and Thursday following a two-game split with St. Louis to open the week and it has been a rough go for the Royals which are just 5-12 over their last 17 games and sit 22 games under .500 for the season. Chase Anderson goes for Colorado after getting bumped last night and he has regained some of early career magic from his days in Milwaukee. He has a 1.72 ERA and 1.09 WHIP in three outings and most impressive is that all three were at Coors Field. Jordan Lyles counters for Kansas City and you could not ask for a worst start to a season. Not only does he have a 7.01 ERA and 1.36 WHIP in 11 starts, the Royals have gone 0-11 in those games with Lyles possessing a 0-9 record as he has allowed four runs or more in seven straight outings. Play (975) Colorado Rockies
Fargo is coming off a pair of brutal ninth inning losses yesterday, part of a -$3,100 overall day, and he is 9-2 his L11 plays and it is now a 16-6 +$15,390 MLB run! Fargo is poised for a massive Friday night with an MLB Underdog Double Play as he goes for yet another PERFECT 2-0 SWEEP! The NBA is coming off a loss with the Heat on Thursday night and the NBA is on a 46-32-2 recent run. Going back, Fargo is on a 128-88-3 run and keeps it going in the NBA Finals which continue on Saturday.
Friday MLB Free play. My selection is on Minnesota over Cleveland at 8:10 pm et on Friday.
The Twins rallied to take last night's series-opener by a 7-6 score and I look for them to deliver another win on Friday. Aaron Civale will return to the Guardians rotation after an extended stint on the injured list. He pitched well in two starts back in early April but didn't look particularly strong in three rehab starts at the Triple-A level, recording a 4.91 ERA and 1.55 WHIP. Note that Cleveland has won just three of Civale's previous eight starts against the Twins. Bailey Ober will counter for Minnesota. He's come up empty in his last two trips to the hill. Still, he has recorded a 3.24 FIP and 1.02 WHIP on the season. In his last two outings against the Guardians, including one back on May 5th, he has logged 12 innings without allowing a single earned run. Both bullpens have been terrific this season so no real advantage in that department but we'll support the Twins at a reasonable price here. Take Minnesota.
Mike Lundin's MLB Free Pick
The Diamondbacks have averaged a solid 5.40 runs per game through a five-game winning streak.
Atlanta right-hander Charlie Morton (5-5, 3.59 ERA) has an ERA of 4.01 through 12 career starts against Arizona.
Arizona right-hander Merrill Kelly (6-3, 2.83 ERA) is 0-2 with a 4.05 ERA in three career starts against the Braves
Over is 20-7-1 in Braves last 28 games following an off day. Over is 15-5-3 in Braves last 23 Friday games. Over is 18-7-1 in the last 26 meetings in Arizona.
8* FREE PICK ON OVER.
The Braves probable starter Kelly had an outstanding May with a 2.59 ERA and 1.07 WHIP. By the same token the veteran Morton saw his ERA come in at 4.45 in May and his WHIP balloon to 1.55. Kelly won 4/5 starts in May with no decision in the other start. Morton had a 2-3 record in May. Morton’s game last year against the D-backs saw him surrender 4 runs in 5 innings while Kelly pitched 7 scoreless innings against the Braves last year.
The D-backs bullpen has had a 2.53 ERA in their last 10 and 1.80 in their last 5 while the Braves have had a 4.99 ERA in their last 10. The Braves bullpen had a night off on Wednesday while the D-backs was lightly used.
Also of interest is the Braves record of 3-7 against winning teams in their last 10 games against above .500 opponents. The D-backs are at .596. Go with the underdog and take Arizona on this one.
Jack's Free Pick Friday: Blue Jays/Mets OVER 8.5
The New York Mets have scored at least 4 runs in six of their last seven games overall. The Toronto Blue Jays have one of the most potent lineups in baseball and rank inside the Top 10 in scoring. Both Chris Bassitt and Justin Verlander are getting too much respect with this 8.5-run total Friday night.
Verlander is 1-1 with a 6.50 ERA in his last three starts while allowing 13 earned runs in 18 innings. He allowed 6 runs in 5 innings to the Rockies and 6 runs in 5 innings to the Rays in two of those three starts.
Bassitt is also coming off a pair of terrible starts. He has allowed 13 runs, 9 earned and 5 homers in 10 1/3 innings to the Twins and Rays in his last two starts. I expect both starters to struggle again tonight. The OVER is 12-4 in Blue Jays last 16 road games. Bet the OVER in this game Friday.
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Dave's Friday Free Play:
1* on St. Louis Cardinals -127
The Key: I like the price we are getting on the St. Louis Cardinals today. Jack Flaherty is 1-0 with a 1.93 ERA in his last 3 starts yielding only 4 earned runs in 18 2/3 innings without allowing a HR. Roansy Contreras is 3-4 with a 4.50 ERA and 1.42 WHIP in 9 starts this year, and 2-2 with a 5.54 ERA and 1.62 WHIP in 5 home starts. Flaherty is 9-1 with a 2.49 ERA and 1.06 WHIP in 14 lifetime starts against the Pirates. Contreras sports a 3.86 ERA and 1.55 WHIP in 4 lifetime starts against the Cardinals. St. Louis is 14-4 in Flaherty's last 18 road starts. The Pirates are 8-19 in their last 27 games overall. The Cardinals are 27-7 in their last 34 matchups in Pittsburgh. Take St. Louis.
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1* FREE INFO PLAY on
Ricky's 1* play on COL.
Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant.
- The Rockies are 8-3 in their last 11 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- The Royals are 1-5 in their last 6 interleague home games.
- The Royals are 1-10 in their last 11 games following an off day.
Verdict: The value is on the road underdog.
Red Dog Sports
West Ham 1
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1* FREE PLAY Pirates.
We think that the home field advantage will prove to be the difference today for Roansy Contreras (3-4, 4.33 ERA) and the Pirates. He'll be opposed by Jack Flaherty (3-4, 4.81.) Each starter has had success against his opponent in the past, but note that Pittsburgh is 3-1 in its last four as a home dog in the +101 to +118 range. Good overall value makes Pittsburgh worthy of a "second look" on Friday night!