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Jack's Free Pick Saturday: Oklahoma/Texas Tech OVER 63.5
Both Oklahoma (6-5) and Texas Tech (6-5) clinched bowl eligibility last week with wins over Oklahoma State and Iowa State, respectively. Now I think this is a care-free game that will result in a shootout in Lubbock. There is zero chance of precipitation and only 10 MPH winds in the forecast so the conditions will be ripe for it.
This 63.5-point total looks pretty low when we examine the head-to-head history. Indeed, the OVER is 10-1 in the last 11 meetings. Texas Tech and Oklahoma have combined for at least 68 points in each of the last nine meetings. They have averaged a whopping 85.7 combined points per game in those nine meetings with none of them going to overtime. That's over 22 points higher than this posted total of 63.5.
Oklahoma's offense has been hitting on all cylinders since getting QB Dillon Gabriel back from injury the past five games. The Sooners have averaged 32.4 points and 478 yards per game in those five games. Texas Tech has really lit up the scoreboard at home this season. The Red Raiders are averaging 40.2 points and 495 yards per game in Lubbock.
The OVER is 34-16-1 in Sooners last 51 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The OVER is 7-1 in Red Raiders last eight games on fieldturf. The OVER is 5-1 in Red Raiders last six home games. The OVER is 37-18 in Red Raiders last 55 games following a win. Expect a shootout between two bowl eligible teams in their final regular season game with nothing but pride at stake. Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.
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HUGE Saturday card up and has a Last home game play the Year (5-1 last 6 years) and Executive Level TIER 1, a TOP BIG 10 Play and 3 more best Bets. We also have NCAAB and NBA. Friday early card goes 5-0. CFB comp play below.
The Comp play for Saturday in College Football is on San Jose St at 3:30 eastern. The Spartans will want this one after last weeks close road loss to Utah St. They are ranked 34th in total defense and much rougher at home. Hawaii comes to the main land with their 0-5 road record and will likely get smokes here as we note that game 13 or later road dogs of 14 or more that are under .500 and arrive off a home dog win as a dog of 10 or more have failed to cover 86% long term. Look for San Jose to pull away to a win an d cover. For the CFB Comp play. Go with San Jose S. Rob V-
1* FREE INFO PLAY on Iowa State vs TCU under 47½ -110
*3 Star Free Play Under* The Washington Huskies and Washington State Cougars will meet in the Apple Cup late on Saturday night. Washington State has been an absolute under machine. 9-2 to the under so far this year. We’ve talked about it before, but Washington State was expected to be this high flying passing attack with shootout scores. They have been anything but, and this defense is very solid.
Washington's defense does give up some big plays, but they have looked improved in recent weeks allowing 24 points or fewer in three of their last four games. Washington State hasn't consistently.
Washington's secondary should be helped by the Huskies pass rush. Washington State's offensive line is terrible, and the Huskies are +22 in sack margin this year.
Washington State has the secondary to at least slow down Michael Penix Jr. and company.
Take the under.
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1* Free Sharp Play on Panthers -160
Free Play from Doc’s Sports. Take #269 Over in Los Angeles Rams @ Kansas City Chiefs (4:25p.m., Sunday, November 27 FOX) This is not a marque game anymore, as the Rams have fallen flat on their face in 2022. They have the worst record of any defending champion and things will likely not get any better for the rest of the season. The only chance that they have to be competitive in this game is to score close to 30 points and outscore the Chiefs. Los Angeles has gone over the posted total in 10 of their last 14 road games against teams with a winning home record. Kansas City has gone over the posted total in 5 of their last 6 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game. Do not miss out on Doc’s Sports Holiday card featuring winners in football, basketball, hockey, and World Cup Soccer. Sign-up now and let 51 years of handicapping experience work for you.
UTEP +17 1.1% FREE PLAY
UTSA already in the conference championship and have nothing to play for here, while UTEP trying to get to a bowl game for the second season in a row, which is a big deal for them. UTSA last year in a similar role with a lot more to play for as they were undefeated fighting for an undefeated season. They were already going to the Conference Championship, went on the road to face North Texas as a 9.5 point favorite and left getting blown out 23-45.
Ricky's 1* play on Vandy.
Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the history of these teams is quite significant.
- The Volunteers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games in November.
- The Commodores are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games in November.
- The Volunteers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
Verdict: The value is on the home underdog.
Saturday's Free NCAAF Pick: Louisville Cardinals +3
I'll take my chances with Louisville as a 3-point dog against the Wildcats. The only real thing that's keeping this from being a premium play is we just don't know for sure if Louisville star quarterback Malik Cunningham is going to play. He's still listed as questionable. However, reports seems to be pretty optimistic that he will take the field.
I got to think he's trying to find a way onto that field against rival Kentucky. Keep in mind, Cunningham has not beaten the Wildcats in his time there. He played sparingly in their 10-56 loss to Kentucky in 2018. Was the starter in their 13-45 loss in 2019 and last year's 21-52 loss at home to the Wildcats.
A lot of these Louisville players have not experienced success in this rivalry, which is what really makes me like the Cardinals. Louisville has been playing well down the stretch. They are 5-1 in their last 6 with the only loss coming at Clemson. As for Kentucky, they have really struggled after a great start to the year. Wildcats are just 2-5 in their last 7 and aren't exactly in an ideal spot here coming off a huge home game against No. 1 ranked Georgia. Give me Louisville +3!
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1* NCAAF - Wake Forest/Duke FREE Pick on Duke +3.5
Saturday's Free NCAAF Pick is on the Duke Blue Devils as a 3.5-point home dog against the Wake Forest Demon Deacons. Duke has been one of the most undervalued teams in college football this season. The Blue Devils come in at 8-3 ATS. Most of those covers have come at home, where the Blue Devils are a perfect 5-0 ATS. It's easy to see why Duke has been so good at home against the number. The Blue Devils are scoring 35.2 ppg at home and giving up just 16.4 ppg. Wake Forest comes in scoring 37.4 ppg, but that drops to just 29.5 ppg on the road. Demon Deacons are also giving up 31.0 ppg on the road. There's also a little extra incentive here for Duke playing their final home game of the season. Bet the Blue Devils +3.5!
Dave's Saturday Free Play:
1* on Pittsburgh -6.5
The Key: The Miami Hurricanes just want this dreadful season to be over with. Most teams at 5-6 would be wanting to win that final game to make a bowl game, but that's not the case for the Hurricanes. They are coming off a 40-10 loss at Clemson last week which was pretty much their final stand. They also lost by 42 to Florida State three weeks ago. The Hurricanes are now 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games overall and have been overrated all year. Pittsburgh will have no problem coming in and kicking Miami while it's already down. The Panthers are 3-0 in their last 3 games while outscoring the opposition 84-42 in the process. Pittsburgh is a perfect 7-0 ATS in its last 7 games as a road favorite. The Hurricanes are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games. Fans won't be showing up to this game as they have quit on this team as well, so there will be zero home-field advantage for the Hurricanes. Take Pittsburgh.
**4X Top 10 NCAAF Handicapper!** Dave was the #4 NCAAF Capper in 2011, the #7 NCAAF Capper in 2009 and the #5 NCAAF Capper in 2008! He had his best season to date finishing as the #2 Ranked NCAAF Capper in 2020! He is riding a 197-169 NCAAF Run over the past couple seasons! He is also on a 88-49 Run on NCAAF 7* Top Plays! Give your book the beating it deserves in rivalry week and hop on board for Dave's Saturday NCAA Football 7-Pack for $49.95! By doing so you'll earn access to his 7* NCAA Football Total of the Year along with six 6* picks for you to crush your book with! Dave guarantees you'll cash in a profit or you get Sunday's NFL picks for FREE!
Play - Auburn (Game 221).
Edges - Tigers: 4-2 ATS last six games in this series … Crimson Tide: 0-7 ATS as conference favorites of more than 14 points; and 1-4 ATS versus SEC foes seeking double revenge-exact … With the Tigers looking to earn a sixth win to become bowl eligible this season, recommend a 1* play on Auburn. Thank you and good luck as always.
**Selection ratings are:
1* free play,
2* quality opinion play,
3* top quality selection,
4* top quality strong selection,
5* top quality exceptional selection,
10* top quality highest rated selection.
Note: the majority of top selections appear on Marc’s Preferred Picks Executive LTS Service.
> Like last Saturday with Iowa, Marc’s powerful ‘Well Oiled Machine’ has isolated another live dog that should be favored on Saturday afternoon’s college Football card. Best of all this is his College Football False Favorite Play of the Year and its backed with powerful 100% ATS winning angles inside the game. Don’t let it win again without you being there - get it now!
USC looks to break a four-game losing streak to Notre Dame here on Saturday. Both teams come into this game strong. USC rejuvenated under HC Lincoln Riley and looks forward to next week's PAC-12 Championship game. The Trojans also poised to get into the College football playoff picture. However, standing in their way is their rivals from South Bend, Notre Dame. USC is ranked 6th in the Playoff rankings with two more games before the final four are announced. Notre Dame is 8-3, but after a slow start the Irish have won weight of their last nine games including a big win over Clemson. The Irish are 15th in the Playoff rankings and a win by USC would be bolstered by the Irish ranking. Notre Dame has beaten the Trojans four straight, but his is no longer Brian Kelly's team. The question is whether USC is looking past the Irish to next week's PAC-12 Championship in Las Vegas. USC had their hands full last week with rivals UCLA, just getting by the Bruins, 48-45. This looks to be a great game and for me, I'm taking the points with the Irish. Your free play is on Notre Dame.
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Chip’s FREE NCAA Winner
Auburn at Alabama 3:30 ET
Crimson Tide (-) over Tigers- With the Tigers waiting for Lane Kiffin or not will enough of a distraction against this underachieving Alabama squad. Most likely no CFP for the Tide but against a one dimensional offense like what Auburn has will be cake for Saban. Lay-it...take ALABAMA!
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Las Vegas Hilton Handicapping Champion Chip Chirimbes the 'Big Game Player' releases are 11-2 ATS L-13 overall and 14-4 78% with his Highest-Rated’ Megabucks. Saturday, receive his 'Highest-Rated' Megabucks winner between Oklahoma and Texas Tech, his Power Play winner between Notre Dame and USC, his Heavy Hitter winner between Oregon and Oregon State, his Vegas Hotline between Washington and Washington State and his Vegas Insider between Kansas and Kansas State. Get this 'Guaranteed' to 'Profit' FAB-5 of NCAAF Best Bet winners for only $99.
World Cup Saturday Free Pick Denmark +0.5 goals +115 vs France @ 11 AM ET - With Denmark off a scoreless draw to Tunisia, most are not even giving them a fighters chance here after France demolished Australia 4-1 this week. However, lets not forget Australia is one of the weakest clubs in the field of 32. Also, Tunisia rates more in the middle of the pack so they are a decent club. Last but not least, this Denmark club has enjoyed surprising success against France so don't be surprised if they pull off the shocker here. I expect they will at least be able to earn a share of the spoils in his one. So outright win or draw puts us in the winners circle here. Free Pick DENMARK +0.5 goals +115
Saturday CFB Free play. My selection is on the 'under' between Kansas and Kansas State at 8 pm et on Saturday.
Kansas enters this matchup off consecutive 'over' results. In fact, the Jayhawks allowed a season-high 55 points in last week's rout at the hands of the Longhorns in Texas. Meanwhile, Kansas State is coming off an 'over' result of its own as it matched a season-high, scoring 48 points in a double-digit win over West Virginia last week. Note that last year's meeting between these two teams saw a closing total of 55.5 and ultimately finished with only 45 total points. I'm confident we'll see the Wildcats defense bottle up the Jayhawks offense, noting that we haven't seen Kansas score more than 20 points against Kansas State since way back in 2011. On the flip side, it's highly unlikely we see the Wildcats offense explode the way it did against a hapless Mountaineers defense last week. I'm comfortable calling for a lower-scoring game than most are expecting here. Take the under.