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Dave’s Friday Free Play:
1* on Iowa State +2
The Key: The Iowa State Cyclones should not be underdogs to the Texas Longhorns today. They have been the best team in the Big 12 all season with their only loss coming by 3 points to Oklahoma State. And their numbers are way better than that of Texas this season. The Cyclones are outgaining their opponents by 104 YPG behind a defense that yields just 333.9 YPG. Texas is only outgaining opponents by 36 YPG and its defense gives up 400.9 YPG. The Cyclones are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games after scoring 35 or more points in a win over a conference opponent. Iowa State is 20-8-1 ATS in its last 29 games as an underdog. Tom Herman is 0-8 ATS in home games with a total of 56.5 to 63 as the coach of Texas. Take Iowa State.
**2X Top 10 NCAAF Handicapper!** Dave was the #6 NCAAF Capper in 2011 and the #7 NCAAF Capper in 2008 as well! He is on a 63-34 NCAAF Run overall while also being ranked as the #1 NCAAF Capper in 2020! He is also the #3 Ranked Overall Capper in 2020 and riding a HOT 309-218 All Sports Run since December 28th! He adds to his 28-8 Run on NCAAF 7* Top Plays today! Hop on board for Dave's 7* NCAAF Friday Night Lights for only $39.95! He unveils an easy winner in college football today with TWO UNBEATEN 100% Angles in his game report! Dave's selection is guaranteed or you get Saturday's NCAA Football picks for FREE!
1* Free Pick on Wyoming/UNLV under 51½ -109
All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
1* Free Play on Levante +200
1* Free Sharp Play on Iowa State vs Texas over 56 -110
The OVER (56) is worth a look in Friday's Big 12 showdown between No. 13 Iowa State and No. 17 Texas. No need to overthink this one. The books have simply missed the mark with this total south of 60. The Cyclones come in averagine 34.4 ppg and 6.5 yards/play. The Longhorns are even more potent offensively at 40.4 ppg and are averaging 6.9 yards/play at home this season. ISU has score 52, 38 and 45 in their last 3 games. Play the OVER 56!
Free Play from Doc’s Sports. Take #192 Over in Maryland Terrapins @ Indiana Hoosiers (12p.m., Saturday, November 28 ESPN2) Indiana’s dream season came down to earth last week with a 7-point loss to Ohio State. They now cannot make the Big 10 Championship Game but still have an explosive offensive that will score close to 40 points in this game. Maryland is back on the field after two weeks off for COVID-19 issues. They have scored 40 points per game over their last two and if they hit the high twenties int his game it should easily go over the posted total. These two teams have played over the posted total in 5 straight games. Indiana has gone over the posted total in 20 of their last 28 Big 10 games. Do not miss out on Doc’s Sports weekend football card highlighted by a top play winner on Saturday.
PICK - Iowa -26
We played the Hawkeyes on Wednesday as our free pick and cashed in a winner at Iowa -24 in a 30-point (97-67) win. The thing with that final score, is it could have been even more lopsided if NC Central didn't run out 3/4 the shot clock every time they touched the ball (they were just standing at half court with the ball). Even with them doing that Iowa still managed to score 97 points.
I got not problem laying almost the same number with Iowa against Southern. Note that the Jaguars played NC Central yesterday and that game went to OT, as they fell 78-85 to NC Central. Southern had 3 guys play 30 plus minutes, with both guards going for 38+ minutes.
I just don't see the Jaguars putting up much of a fight in this one. One thing I will say about Iowa's opening win over NC Central is I came away really impressed with freshmen Keegan Murray and Patrick McCaffrey. Both guys are very active and can score both inside and out. It makes an already deep team that much deeper. Give me the Hawkeyes -26!
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The total is set at 2 so they are expecting a low score. I think it ends 1-1. This match takes place in South America on Friday.
Be sure to check out our Premium Picks for $19.99. Top basketball plays are 31-14 and NFL top plays are 56-34 (63%).
Jack’s Free Pick Friday: Wyoming -16
The Wyoming Cowboys are better than their 1-2 record would indicate. They have road losses to Nevada and Colorado State. But they are outgaining their opponents by nearly 50 yards per game this season. And they are ready to get back on the field after being off since November 5th.
They should make easy work of the rebuilding UNLV Rebels, who are 0-4 SU & 0-3-1 ATS this season. All four losses have come by 13 points or more and by an average of 19.0 points per game. The Rebels are getting outgained by an average of nearly 160 yards per game on the season with a terrible defense that gives up 36.3 points and 466.3 yards per game.
Wyoming beat UNLV 53-17 at home last year. They racked up 374 rushing yards on the Rebels and it should be more of the same this season. I think Wyoming is better than it was last year, and UNLV is clearly worse off with a new head coach and only 12 returning starters.
The Cowboys are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games following a loss and 4-0 ATS in their last four games following an ATS loss. Wyoming is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings. The Rebels are 5-12-1 ATS in their last 18 games as home underdogs.
Plays on road favorites of 14.5 or more points (Wyoming) - after a game with a turnover margin of -3 or worse are 52-21 (71.2%) ATS since 1992. Bet Wyoming Friday.
No. 5 Ranked Overall Capper All-Time! Jack Jones has absolutely CRUSHED the books over the past 39 months! He is riding a 1731-1469 Run L1174 Days on all premium plays that has seen his $1,000/game players cash in $128,480!
No. 3 Ranked Football Capper All-Time! Jack has put together a MASSIVE 1213-1015 Football Run long-term that has seen his $1,000/game players cash in $97,570! That includes a 537-418 Football Run over his last 955 plays!
No. 3 Ranked College Football Capper All-Time! Jack has delivered FIVE Top-9 CFB Finishes L8 Years (#3 in 2012-13, #4 in 2014-15, #8 in 2016-17, #9 in 2017-18, #4 2018-19) to really put a beating on the books on the NCAA gridiron! He is riding a 674-539 CFB Run long-term that has seen his $1,000/game players cash in $85,240!
Jack is coming off a 3-0 Thanksgiving Day SWEEP of the books with Washington +3, Texans -2.5 and Villanova -4.5 all cashing! This money train stays right on track with Jack's Friday College Football 3-Pack for $59.95! Leading the charge is his 20* Oregon/Oregon State Pac-12 No-Brainer! You'll also receive his 15* Notre Dame/UNC ACC Total DOMINATOR along with his 15* Nebraska/Iowa Big Ten Early ANNIHILATOR upon purchase!
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The comp play is an advance totals play for Saturday on the Under in the Troy St vs Appalachian St game in college football. This game fits a powerful totals system. The last 2 years these 2 have gone under. App St has a powerful defense and has gone under in 4 of the last 5 games. Troy has stayed under in 10 straight games. Look for this game to be lower scoring. Play Troy and Appalachian ST Under the total. Rob V- GC Sports.
Penn State vs Michigan
3:30 PM EST, Saturday, November 27, 2020
The better bet to post just might be which coach gets a pink slip first. Harbaugh must be down to his final days in Ann Arbor, but I do think James Franklin will be given a pass in light of his monster recruiting efforts and success. Nevertheless, it has been an extraordinarily difficult year for both teams and no one saw Penn State going 0-5 SU and ATS. My free pick last week, though, was on Iowa, who has risen to the upper tier of the Big-12 power ratings.
The betting flows so far show that 65% of the tickets are on Michigan, BUT 63% of the money bet is on Penn State. The current line in the market is offered with Michigan as a 2-point favorite. This betting trend can push the line to pick-em by game time.
No one saw Penn State, who was preseason Top-10 team and a dark horse in the futures market to win the Big Ten, getting off to an imperfect 0-5 SU and ATS start. However, road dogs, who have lost four or more consecutive games SU and ATS have earned a money-making 16-10 ATS record good for 62% winning bets since 2006. The ‘UNDER’ is also appealing I this matchup noting that road dogs that are winless in their first five conference games and have lost five or more consecutive games to the spread have seen the ‘UNDER’ produce a 15-6 record good for 71% winning bets.
By the way, Michigan is 1-12 ATS for 8% winning bets that failed to cover the spread by an average of 11 points in games played since 2006.
One more thing. The following betting system has earned a profitable ATS record over the last 15 seasons and underscores how cheap Penn State has become in the market. The requirements are to be on road teams that have failed to cover the spread by a total of 35 or more points over their last three games and is facing a team that has seen the total go ‘OVER’ by 28 or more points in their last three games.
Chip's NCAA Turkey Shoot-Triple-Play Best Bets
Chip Chirimbes the 'Big Game Player' and Las Vegas Hilton Handicapping Champion was 5-2 71% last week in NCAAF action going 2-1 67% w/Triple-Play releases. Friday, Chip's has his NCAA Triple-Play Turkey Shoot winners including his 'Highest-Rated' Megabucks winner between Notre Dame and North Carolina, his Pac-12 Rivalry winner between Stanford and California and his Money Game winner between Nebraska and Iowa. Cash-in on Chip's 'Guaranteed' to Profit 'Turkey Shoot' Triple-Play Best Bet Package only $99.
Chip's FREE NCAA Turkey Shoot Winner
Iowa State at Texas 12:00 ET
Longhorns over Cyclones- Iowa State leads the Big-12 at 6-1 in conference play with two regular season games to go and is sitting atop the league and boasting the NCAA's leading rusher is Breece Hall. The Cyclone workhorse has rushed for at least 100 yards in all eight games as they are off a 45-0 home win over Kansas State and now take to the road where they are 1-2 ATS. Texas has won three straight but are just 1-4-1 ATS in their last six games overall but have had two weeks to prepare and are 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings. Iowa State is just 1-5 ATS against teams with winning records. Take TEXAS!
Friday CFB Free play. My selection is on Central Florida minus the points over South Florida at 3:30 pm et on Friday.
I'm not sure the oddsmakers can set this line high enough as Central Florida looks to bounce back from a tough loss suffered at home against Cincinnati as it travels to Tampa to face the lowly Bulls of South Florida. It hasn't been a banner season for UCF, which has already lost three games including that narrow three-point defeat against a terrific Bearcats squad last week. I do like the fact that the Knights offense continues to score at will and their should have a field day against a very beatable Bulls defensive unit on Friday afternoon. Meanwhile, we can anticipate the Knights will be able to pin back their ears and feast on South Florida's inconsistent, mistake-prone offense as the Bulls simply play out the string at the end of what will amount to a one-win Covid-shortened season. Take Central Florida (8*).
Sean delivered a 3-0 FOOTBALL SWEEP (including free) on Thanksgiving Day and he's back to extend his PERFECT 7-0 college football run with his 10* Big Ten Total of the Year on Friday afternoon! Your best bet is a weekly or monthly subscription package, giving you access to ALL of Murph's winners every day!