I bounce back large this weekend with picks coming in the NBA, College hoops and in the NHL. Note I already have my 10* Army/Navy selection ready to go and my NFL will be posted this afternoon. Time to BOUNCE BACK!
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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
PICKS IN PROGRESS
My 10* BIG TIGER is on Wisconsin Green Bay.
Evansville has the better record at 7-3, but 3-6 Wisconsin Green Bay is favored slightly at home in this one. And for good reason in my estimation as I look for the Phoenix to take advantage of familiar surroundings and to post a big and much needed win in front of the home town crowd.
The Purple Aces average 80.6 PPG, but they concede 78.1. Yes they're 2-0 on the road, but now they face a Green Bay team that returns home hungry after a four-game road trip. The Phoenix are 2-1 at home so far.
Key Trends:
- The Purple Aces are just 2-7 ATS in their last nine off a home win by ten points or more.
- The Phoenix are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 as a home favorite of six points or less or pick.
The verdict: After defeating Kentucky in their second game of the year, I believe that the Purple Aces are vastly over-rated and will continue to be so. They're horrible defensively and I think they stumble here vs. this hungry home side; lay the short points!
My 10* BIG TIGER is on the Brooklyn Nets.
Brooklyn's won eight of its last 11 games, seemingly playing a lot better without Kyrie Irving in the line-up. However after winning three in a row, the Nets come to Canada off a loss at home to Charlotte.
A date vs. the suddenly floundering Raptors is just what the doctor ordered to get untracked as well, as the defending champs have lost four of their last five. Spencer Dinwiddie led the Nets with 24 points, game-high six assists, and five rebounds in a losing cause vs. the Hornets last time out.
The Raptors have only allowed 105.5 PPG, but the Nets are averaging 112.4 PPG this season.
Key Trends:
- Brooklyn is 7-1 ATS in its last eight after a SU loss.
- Toronto is a terrible 0-5 ATS this season when playing with two days rest.
The verdict: Teams are throing everything they have at the defending champs, who continue to slide back into mediocrity. Outright upset? Possible, but in the end I'll recommend to grab the points!
My 10* TOTAL CLASH OF THE TITANS is on the OVER Army/Navy.
Army got destroyed 52-31 at Hawaii in its regular season finale to finish the year 5-7. The Black Knights will be laying everything they have on the field of play today as they look to pull off the big upset and to erase the frustrations from a poor overall campaign. Navy finished 9-2 and it ended the regular season on a two-game win streak.
Both teams run the triple option. Both teams have been decent on both sides of the ball, but especially on the offensive side. The Golden Knights average 30.3 PPG and they concede 22.3, while the Midshipmen average 39.3 PPG and concede 24.2.
Key Trends:
- Army has seen the total go over the number in five of its last six when playing with two weeks rest.
- Navy has seen the total eclipse the posted number in eight of its last ten vs. teams with losing records.
The verdict: Malcom Perry is one of the most dynamic QB's in the nation and I expect the Navy veteran to push the pace. Both teams know how to move the ball on offense and I look for that to translate into production on the field of play today; play the over!