Jack's Free Pick Friday: Niagara -1.5

The Niagara Purple Eagles are a team I've backed several times with success this season.  They returned all five starters from last year for head coach Greg Paulus.  And after a slow start to the season due to COVID, that experience and talent has been paying off here of late.

The Purple Eagles have gone 5-3 SU & 6-2 ATS in their last eight games overall.  Their three losses during this stretch all came by 6 points or fewer, while four of their five wins have come by double-digits.

Now Niagara takes on a Manhattan team that has been overvalued all season.  The Jaspers are 3-4 SU & 2-5 ATS this season with their three wins coming against Rider, Delaware State and Quinnipiac by a combined 19 points.  Their four losses have come by a combined 50 points.

Niagara and Manhattan have two common opponents this season in Marist and Rider.  Niagara is 2-2 against those two teams while outscoring them by 4.3 points per game.  Manhattan is 1-3 against them while getting outscored by 8.7 points per game.

The Purple Eagles are 6-0 ATS in their last six vs. poor 3-point shooting teams that make less than 31% of their attempts.  Niagara is 16-5 ATS in its last 21 vs. a team with a losing record.  The Jaspers are 0-5 ATS in their last five games following a win.  Manhattan is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games as an underdog.  Bet Niagara Friday.

No. 1 Ranked Overall Capper All-Time! Jack Jones has absolutely CRUSHED the books over the past 40 months! He is riding a 1838-1547 Run L1223 Days on all premium plays that has seen his $1,000/game players cash in $150,250!

No. 3 Ranked Basketball Capper All-Time! Check the long-term results and you’ll see that Jack Jones has put together a MASSIVE 2570-2236 Hoops Run since 2012 that has seen his $1,000/game players cash in a WHOPPING $171,110! He has delivered FIVE Top-5 Basketball Finishes L8 Years! (#1 2012-13, #3 2013-14, #4 2017-18, #4 2011-12, #5 2015-16)

Jack has delivered a 110-78 Overall Run since November 26th in all sports! This money train gets right back on track with Jack's Friday 5-Play Power Pack for $59.95! Leading the charge are a pair of top play winners in his 25* Big South GAME OF THE YEAR in college hoops and his 20* NBA No-Doubt Rout on the pro hardwood! You'll receive 2 CBB & 3 NBA winners in all upon purchase tonight!

It would cost you roughly $195.00 to buy all five plays separately, so YOU SAVE $135.00 with this 5-Pack! Sign up and bet with confidence knowing you are GUARANTEED PROFITS or Saturday's entire hoops card is ON JACK!

15* Wisconsin/Rutgers Big Ten ANNIHILATOR on Rutgers +3

This is a great time to 'buy low' on the Rutgers Scarlet Knights.  They are coming off three straight losses to Iowa, Michigan State and Ohio State.  And now they come back highly motivated for a victory and fresh with five days off in between games.

They take on a Wisconsin team that is far from fresh and still reeling from a 54-77 road loss at Michigan on Tuesday.  Now the Badgers only have two days to get ready for Rutgers.  The Scarlet Knights are 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS in their last three home meetings with Wisconsin.

Wisconsin is 0-7 ATS in its last seven road games after failing to cover three of its last four ATS coming in.  The Scarlet Knights are 5-0-1 ATS in their last six games as home underdogs.  The home team is 7-1 ATS in the last eight meetings.  Take Rutgers Friday.

25* Big South GAME OF THE YEAR on Longwood +17

It really appears that Winthrop is just getting bored at this point and going through the motions.  The Eagles are 12-0 SU this season, but they have gone 0-4 ATS in their last four games overall.  Each of their last eight wins have come by 18 points or fewer as well.

They only beat Gardner Webb by 10 as 12-pint favorites and came back and beat the same team by 8 points as 11-point favorites in the rematch.  They beat Charleston Southern by 16 in their first meeting and came back and won by 2 in their 2nd meeting as 16-point favorites.

After beating Longwood 72-61 yesterday as 17-point favorites, they come back as 17-point favorites here tonight.  This just looks like a dream spot to fade Winthrop as we've seen it happen on multiple occasions where the Eagles don't live up to expectations in the 2nd meeting of these 2nd of a back-to-back matchups.  They are simply getting bored and are OK with winning without getting margin.

Longwood has been a lot more competitive of late than its 3-12 record on the season would indicate.  Indeed, 11 of their 12 losses have come by 13 points or fewer.  So they have only lost one of their 15 games by more than this 17-point spread, making for a 14-1 system backing the Lancers pertaining to this spread.  Longwood has only lost one of its last six meetings with Winthrop by more than 17 points.  Bet Longwood Friday.

15* Pelicans/Lakers ESPN ANNIHILATOR on New Orleans +10

This is a great time to 'buy low' on the New Orleans Pelicans.  They are 0-4 SU & 1-3 ATS in their last four games overall with all four losses by 8 points or fewer.  That includes their 106-111 loss at the Clippers as 11.5-point dogs last time out.  But they didn't have Zion Williamson in that game and still only lost by 5 points.  Williamson returns to the lineup tonight.

It's also time to 'sell high' on the Los Angeles Lakers.  They are 8-1 SU in their last nine games overall and have covered three straight coming in.  But those three ATS wins came against a gutless James Harden and the Houston Rockets (twice) as well as the Thunder, who are one of the least talented teams in the league.

The Pelicans have played the Lakers very tough in recent meetings.  In fact, they haven't lost any of the last four meetings by more than 10 points.  So getting double-digits here with the Pelicans is a tremendous value, especially considering they are a much better team than they were in their four meetings last year.  It's also worth noting that both Lebron James and Anthony Davis are listed as questionable tonight so there's a chance that one or both sit.

Plays on road underdogs of 10 or more points (New Orleans) - after going over the total by 30 or more points in their last five games against an opponent that went under the total by 54 or more points in their last 10 games are 72-32 (69.2%) ATS since 1996.  The Lakers are 2-6 ATS in their last eight home games.  Take the Pelicans Friday.

15* NBA Friday Undervalued Underdog on Sacramento Kings +7

It's a great time to 'buy low' on the Sacramento Kings after going just 2-5 SU & 1-6 ATS in their last seven games overall.  This team is tough to defend as they have shot 51.6% or better in four of their last five games overall.  And they come in highly motivated for a victory against the Los Angeles Clippers tonight.

The Clippers have been consistently overvalued of late.  They are 4-3 SU & 2-5 ATS in their last seven games overall.  All four of their wins came by 7 points or fewer over the Pelicans (by 5), Bulls (by 3), Warriors (by 7) and Suns (by 5).  So asking them to cover a 7-point spread on the road here is asking a lot based on how they have been playing of late.

Sacramento is 2-0 SU & 2-0 ATS in its last two meetings with the Clippers winning 124-103 as 14-point road dogs and 112-103 as 9-point road dogs.  The Kings are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games after losing six or seven of their last eight games coming in.  The Clippers are 2-8 ATS int heir last 10 games playing on one days' rest.  Los Angeles is 0-4 ATS in its last four games following a win.  Roll with the Kings Friday.

20* NBA Friday No-Doubt Rout on Minnesota Timberwolves -2

I love the spot for the Minnesota Timberwolves tonight.  They blew a 10-point lead in the 4th quarter and lost to the Grizzlies at home on Wednesday.  Now they'll be out for revenge as they get to face the same Grizzlies team just two days later here tonight.

Karl Anthony Towns made his return from a seven-game absence and played well with 25 points and 14 rebounds.  Malik Beasley had 28 points and D'Angelo Russell had 25 and eight assists.  These guys should gel even more tonight and I like the quotes I'm seeing from them following that defeat.

"It's very frustrating to say the least," Towns said. "I'm more disappointed with our disipline than our effort.  We've got to do better than that in the fourth quarter.  We can't have three quarters and be up by 10 and be like 'Cool'. That's not how the NBA works.  But it's the NBA.  No boys allowed.  So we've got to be grown men and be ready for the next one."

Russell didn't want to hear any chatter about individual performances.  "That's irrelevant. We lost," Russell said.  "We stopped scoring points in the fourth.  It's that simple.  Stopped getting stops.  Stopped scoring."

Plays on any team (Minnesota) - off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a losing record are 37-12 (75.5%) ATS over the last five seasons.  The Grizzlies are 0-5 ATS in their lsat five games following a win by more than 10 points.  Bet the Timberwolves Friday.