Jack’s Free Pick Monday: Boston Celtics +3 

The Boston Celtics will be highly motivated for a win Monday night.  They have lost three straight coming in and haven’t lost four in a row all season.  They would love nothing more than to halt this losing streak against the rival Los Angeles Lakers tonight. 

Both Jaylen Brown and Kemba Walker sat out last game with injuries.  There’s a good chance that both return tonight.  There’s also a good chance that the Lakers will be without Anthony Davis again.  Plus, Rajon Rondo is questionable tonight. 

The Celtics are 14-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record this season.  Boston is 12-3 ATS in its last 15 games as a home underdog.  The Celtics are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games as an underdog overall.  The Lakers are 15-29 ATS in their last 44 vs. Eastern Conference opponents.  Bet the Celtics Monday.

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15* Warriors/Blazers TNT Late-Night BAILOUT on Golden State +6.5 

The Golden State Warriors have been much more competitive here of late.  They have recent losses to the Bucks and Clippers by single digits as double-digit dogs.  They upset the Magic last time out as 6-point dogs and they took the Nuggets to overtime as dog. 

I think the Warriors can hang with a depleted Portland Trail Blazers team that is missing Nurkic, Hood, Collins, Labissiere, McCollum and Ariza.  These injuries are a big reason the Blazers are just 4-10 SU & 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games overall.  And it’s a tired Blazers team that hasn’t has two consecutive days off since Christmas, making matters worse. 

The Warriors are 20-9 ATS in road games revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points over the last two seasons.  The Blazers are 0-5-1 ATS in their last six home games.  Portland is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games off a loss.  Take the Warriors Monday. 

20* Oklahoma/Baylor ESPN No-Brainer on Oklahoma +10 

The No. 1 ranked Baylor Bears have won 14 straight to improve to 15-1 on the season.  They have started 5-0 SU & 5-0 ATS in Big 12 play as well.  With all this success comes expectations from oddsmakers that are hard to live up to, and thus we’ll ’sell high’ on the Bears. 

Baylor had no business covering against Oklahoma State on Saturday.  They trailed the entire way against a Cowboys team that had previously been 0-4 SU & 0-4 ATS in Big 12 play with blowout loss after blowout loss.  But they pulled away in the closing minutes to win 75-68 and covered as 5.5-point favorites. 

Oklahoma has opened 3-2 in Big 12 play with an impressive upset win at Texas by 10 as 3-point underdogs.  They blew out TCU 83-63 at home on Saturday and should still be fresh for this game against Baylor because of it.  The Sooners are just 3-10-1 ATS in their last 14 games overall, though, so I think this is a good opportunity to ‘buy low’ on them. 

Plays on road dogs of 10 to 19.5 points (Oklahoma) off a blowout win by 20 points or more over a conference opponent against a team that is off two straight conference wins are 59-28 (67.8%) ATS since 1997.  The road team is 6-1-1 ATS in the last eight meetings.  Bet Oklahoma Monday. 

15* NBA Monday UPSET SHOCKER on Charlotte Hornets +4.5 

The Charlotte Hornets are highly motivated for a victory tonight.  They have lost six straight coming in against a brutal schedule with home games against the Pacers and Raptors, as well as four road games against the Jazz, Nuggets, Blazers & Suns.   

Not to mention, the Hornets had road games against the Cavs and Mavericks in the two games prior where they pulled off two upsets.  They get a break in their schedule here hosting the Orlando Magic and coming in on four days’ rest having last played on January 15th. 

The Magic are in a very tough spot.  They will be playing their 6th straight road game tonight and their 4th road game in 6 days.  They are without starting PG D.J. Augustin right now while the Hornets are fully healthy.  I really believe the wrong team is favored in this matchup. 

The Hornets simply own the Magic.  Charlotte is 13-2 SU & 12-3 ATS in its last 15 meetings with Orlando.  The Hornets are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games vs. a team with a losing record.  Take the Hornets Monday. 

15* NBA Monday Total DOMINATOR on Thunder/Rockets UNDER 230 

There is definitely some bad blood between the Oklahoma City Thunder and Houston Rockets due to the teams swapping Russell Westbrook and Chris Paul in the offseason.  That bad blood shows more with the effort on the defensive end than anything. 

The Thunder and Rockets have played twice this season already, so they are very familiar with one another.  And both games went UNDER this 230-point total with a 116-112 final in the first meeting for 228 combined points and a 113-92 final in the 2nd meeting for 205 combined points. 

In fact, 13 of the last 14 meetings between the Thunder and Rockets have resulted in 229 or fewer combined points.  That makes for a 13-1 system backing the UNDER pertaining to tonight’s 230-point total.  Roll with the UNDER in this game Monday. 

20* Pelicans/Grizzlies TNT No-Brainer on Memphis -2.5 

The Memphis Grizzlies are 7-0 SU & 6-1 ATS in their last seven games overall.  They are playing their best basketball of the season as they’ve upset the likes of the Clippers by 26 on the road as well as the Spurs by 13 and the Rockets by 11 at home during this stretch. 

It’s going to be a great atmosphere on Martin Luther King Day in this home game against the New Orleans Pelicans tonight.  No city celebrates MLK day quite like Memphis does as it means a lot more to their community than most with his assassination taking place in Memphis. 

The Pelicans are also playing well, but this is a very tough spot for them.  They are coming off an OT win against the Jazz followed by a 3-point loss to the Clippers at home.  They won’t have much left in the tank for the Grizzlies, who are playing on two days’ rest and just their 2nd game in 6 days. 

Memphis is 8-0 ATS off two straight games where they made at least 50% of their shots over the last two seasons.  The Pelicans, who ranks 29th in scoring defense at 117.7 points per game, won’t be able to cool off the Grizzlies tonight.  Bet the Grizzlies Monday.