Free Football Picks


NBA  |  Dec 19, 2014
Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Boston Celtics
Minnesota Timberwolves
+6-108
  at  PINNACLE
in 6h

Jack's Free Pick Friday: Minnesota Timberwolves +6

The Boston Celtics are in a very tough spot tonight.  They just traded Rajon Rondo to the Dallas Mavericks in return for Brandan Wright, Jae Crowder, Jameer Nelson, money and draft picks yesterday.  With this huge distraction, I don't look for them to put forth a very good effort tonight.

I realize that the Minnesota Timberwolves are not playing well at all right now, and as a result they are tough to back, but there's no question that they are showing value here as 6-point underdog to the Celtics given the situation.

A lot of time, when a bad team from the Western Conference plays an Eastern Conference foe, they tend to exceed expectations in terms of the point spread.  That's because the Western Conference is so stacked that almost any team from the East is going to be a step down in competition.  That's certainly the case here against the 9-14 Celtics.

Boston comes in overvalued as it is off two straight wins over Philadelphia and Orlando.  Plays against home favorites (BOSTON) - off a home win by 10 points or more, on Friday nights are 82-43 (65.6%) ATS over the last five seasons.  The Celtics are 7-20 ATS in their last 27 home games after scoring 55 points or more in the first half of two straight games. 

Boston is 29-48 ATS in its last 77 games off a game where it made 55% or more of its shots.  Minnesota is 2-1 in its last three meetings with Boston with its loss coming by four points.  The Celtics are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games following a SU win of more than 10 points.  Boston is 1-5 ATS in its last six vs. Western Conference foes.  Bet the Timberwolves Friday.

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NBA  |  Dec 19, 2014
Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Boston Celtics
Minnesota Timberwolves
+6-108
  at  PINNACLE
in 6h

FREE PLAY for 12/19

Minnesota Timberwolves +6

The Key: I think this will be a tough game for the Celtics as it will be their first without Rajon Rondo, who has been moved to Dallas. Almost everything Boston got offensively was set up by Rondo, who leads the NBA with 10.8 assists per game. It will be a big change for Boston not having him on the floor. The Celtics are 1-5 ATS in their last six versus the Western Conference, 3-7 ATS in their last 10 home games versus a team with a road winning percentatge of less than .400 and 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games following a win of more than 10 points. Fading Friday night home favorites that are off a home win of 10 points or more has produced an 82-43 ATS mark the last five seasons. Take Minnesota.

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NBA  |  Dec 19, 2014
Brooklyn Nets vs. Cleveland Cavaliers
Cleveland Cavaliers
-11½-115
  at  BMAKER
in 6h

 

On Friday the free NBA Play is on the Cleveland Cavaliers. Game 510 at 7:35 eastern. The Cavs will look to bounce back from a terrible blowout loss here to Atlanta tonight. There is a solid league wide system in this game that applies and plays against the Nets and any team as a road dog of 5 or more with rest if they are off a road dog ats loss and scored 90 or less in their last game, vs an opponent off a home favored spread loss by 14 or more points, like the Cavs, that scored 90 or more. These road dogs are 1-16 and 3-14 to the spread the last 20 seasons. The Nets look to be in the wrong place at the wrong time here as the Cavs should be ready to play tonight. Tae Cleveland. On Friday a powerful card takes center stage led by the Eastern Conference Total of the Month and the 100% Never lost Dominator system. In College Hoops the lead play is the 94% Dog of the Month system play. Hoops has been rolling. Jump on and start the week big as our first Bowl release is also released tonight. Thursday card sweeps. For the free play take the level and Cavaliers. RV

NHL  |  Dec 19, 2014
Anaheim Ducks vs. Ottawa Senators
Anaheim Ducks
+101
  at  5DIMES
in 6h

Anaheim +101

The Anaheim Ducks are a solid road team. I think we see the visitors win 3-2 so take them to win at plus money.

Free play on Anaheim +101.

Be sure to check out our college basketball total on St. John's and St. Mary's and check back here for more FREE PLAYS as well as PREMIUM PICKS.

NCAA-F  |  Dec 20, 2014
Western Michigan vs. Air Force
Air Force
+1-106
  at  PINNACLE
in 1d

Air Force Falcons +1

The Famous Idaho Potato Bowl brings together Western Michigan and Air Force. The Falcons should feel very comfortable on the blue turf in Boise and a very nice season in the Mountain West including beating Boise State.

Western Michigan was solid in the MAC but I think they will find that the long layoff won’t help them solve that option attack and that Air Force will have plenty of fight as they strive for double digit victories.

Good Luck, Razor Ray.

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NBA  |  Dec 19, 2014
Charlotte Hornets vs. Philadelphia 76ers
Charlotte Hornets
-4½-103
  at  PINNACLE
in 5h

Free Pick on Charlotte Hornets -

It's been no where close to the season that the Hornets anticipated, but I believe their poor start has them showing some decent value here as a mere 4.5-point favorite at Philadelphia. The 76ers are the least talented team in the league and are winless at 0-13 at home and just 2-22 overall. This team's only hope of winning is to catch their opponent not giving them their full attention. That's not going to be the case tonight, as Charlotte is desperate for a win after dropping 4 straight.

We saw a similar scenario earlier this week, as the Celtics went into Philadelphia as a 5-point favorite off 3 straight losses. Boston was all business and destroyed the 76ers 105-87. Last time the Hornets visited Philadelphia, they won 123-93 as a 8-point favorite, which just so happened to follow a 6-game losing streak.

Charlotte is 11-5-3 ATS in their last 19 road games against a team with a losing home record and 19-9 ATS in their last 28 versus the Atlantic Division. Philadelphia is 9-21 ATS in their last 30 home games against a team with a losing road record and 1-5 ATS when playing with 3 or more days of rest.

Adding to all of this is a strong system. Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points that have been beaten by the spread by 24 or more combined points over their last 3 games are 29-7 ATS since 1996 against an opponent that has gone under the total by 54 or more combined points in their last 10 games. That's a 81% long-term system in favor of the Hornets. Take Charlotte!

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NCAA-F  |  Dec 20, 2014
Western Michigan vs. Air Force
Total
58 un-106
  at  PINNACLE
in 1d

Play on:  Air Force (208)/Western Michigan UNDER the total @ 5:45 Eastern

FAMOUS IDAHO POTATO BOWL

It’s been a difficult assignment trying to ascertain a major edge inside this Bowl game, but these two have key differentials that equally affect the bottom line indicating a dead even tie after four quarters!  Although one of the more disturbing angles is the fact the MAC did not win a bowl game last year just about…0-5 SU, gives us a good reason to look at the total here.  WMU shows 7-4 SU (10-1 ATS), Air Force comes in 8-3 SU (6-5 ATS).  The Falcons have a major edge running the football (248 yards per game), the Broncos field averaging 263 yards a game through the air.  The Broncos have a net +9.0 point differential overall, AF starts with a net +5.0 differential.  For the Falcons 8-3 SU is a monumental bounce back after a horrid 2-10 SU season last year, which left key injuries on the field and much discord.  No doubt Air Force illustrated difficulty stopping the pass this season, but the AF game plan will be to control the tempo with their running game, an edge in TOP.  From the technical standpoint, Western Michigan has shot UNDER 6-of-7 vs. a >.500 unit, while the Falcons show 6-1 UNDER the number in games with a winning school.  We close with AF 10-2 UNDER against non-conference entities….GO UNDER!

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NFL  |  Dec 21, 2014
Green Bay Packers vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Green Bay Packers
-10-115
  at  BMAKER
in 1d

1* Free Play Packers.

Last week I gave you a free play on the Jacksonville Jaguars, an easy winner that almost took the game outright. This week I’m looking at a larger favorite, but one which I think has a number of different situational, motivational and strong trend based reasons working in its favor; I definitely feel that the Green Bay Packers are worth a second look in this spot. 

The Packers five game win streak would get snapped in last week’s listless 21-13 setback at Buffalo, however take note that it was the second straight week that Green Bay failed to cover the spread. A date vs. the inconsistent Buccaneers is just what the doctor ordered to get untracked though in my opinion, Tampa is coming off its fourth straight SU loss in last week’s 19-17 setback at Carolina. The Packers are in a dog fight with Detroit for the NFC North’s top seed, added incentive today to take full advantage of their weaker opponent. Note that Green Bay is 7-3 ATS in its last ten off an upset loss as a favorite, while Tampa Bay is just 2-4 ATS in its last six after scoring 20 points or less in three straight games. At this time of year, “situations” become very a important tool for handicappers, consider a play on GREEN BAY this weekend.

AAA Sports

NBA  |  Dec 19, 2014
Washington Wizards vs. Miami Heat
Total
192 un-113
  at  PINNACLE
in 6h

FREE NBA Over-Under FRIDAY  (12-19-14)

WASHINGTON @ MIAMI  (7:35 PM EST)

PLAY ON: UNDER 192 -113  (NBA)

NCAA-B  |  Dec 19, 2014
Tennessee Tech vs. Tennessee
Tennessee
-13-105
  at  5DIMES
in 5h

We cashed a nice ticket against Tennessee a couple of days ago and now we’ll be looking cash with them. The Volunteers are coming off of a tough defeat at NCST. This is the perfect spot for them to bounce back against a much inferior Tennessee Tech squad. Tennessee’s record doesn’t impress many, but they have played the 5th toughest schedule in the nation. They’re also undefeated at home.

Tennessee Tech is an average team at best. They have shown the ability to score but haven’t faced a team like the Volunteers. It is going to be a very tough task for them to go on the road here and compete. I wouldn’t call this a full blown rivalry, however, these teams are from the same state so Tennessee sure won’t overlook them. Coming off of a loss in this spot at home makes this a sure play on the Volunteers. Take Tennessee

NFL  |  Dec 21, 2014
Detroit Lions vs. Chicago Bears
Detroit Lions
-7½+120
  at  5DIMES
in 1d

Detroit Lions -7.5

The Lions are playing a Bears team that is lifeless and is laying down. Jay Cutler was just reported to be benched. The Lions defense will own this one as Clausen is taking over for Cutler.

Pick= Lions -7.5

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NFL  |  Dec 20, 2014
San Diego Chargers vs. San Francisco 49ers
San Diego Chargers
+1-105
  at  PINNACLE
in 1d

7 FREE PICK WINNERS IN A ROW! 19-3 Run this week! 6-1 NFL!

Jacksonville Jaguars WIN the TNF Steamroller!

Where do I begin with the once mighty Niners, and their "Who's got it better than us" rally chant?

This is an organization that strangely reminds us of those Mcnabb led Eagles teams a decade ago; good but couldn't get over the hump. When the Eagles reign finally fell apart, it fell apart fast.

Harbaugh and company have given up, and are ready to end their relationship as soon as possible. The team's demise started when they lost to Navarro Bowman to a season long injury; then everything came apart and is still falling apart. I don't have the time to write about how bad their offense is, but their mentally fragile.

The Chargers are a team that feasts on teams they should beat. This Chargers team is better than most think, and they have a solid QB with weapons at his disposal. The Chargers are fighting to stay alive for a playoffs birth, and are a organize team without inner and outer distractions. San Diego is 7-3 ATS on the road while the Niners are 2-6 ATS at home. Take the Chargers.My stronger play is on the total: 10*'Saturday Night Score Prediction'($19.95)

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NFL  |  Dec 21, 2014
Seattle Seahawks vs. Arizona Cardinals
Arizona Cardinals
+9½-125
  at  5DIMES
in 2d

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Play Arizona, game 130.

At 11-3, Arizona owns the best record in the NFC with Seattle just one game behind them at 10-4. The Seahawks beat the Cardinals, 19-3 back on November 23. Since then, Seattle's defense has continued to dominate. The problem is that the Seahawks offense has sputtered, big-time. The Cardinals have backup QB, Ryan Lindley calling the plays here. Not a rookie anymore, Linley has become a mature, intelligent team player. With the NFC West lead on the line, I expect head coach Bruce Arians to get his chemistry-rich team up once again here. The Cardinals are 7-0 straight up at home, going 6-1ATS. With running back, Kerwyn Williams finding his stride, this will allow Lindley time to find his talented corps of receivers, Fitzgerald, Floyd, and Brown. The Arizona offense can eat up enough clock to stay in this game. On defense, the Cardinals will bring the sixth best rushing "D" in the league here and slow down the Seahawks only offensive threat in running back, Marshawn Lynch. With quarterback, Russell Wilson still struggling and the offense really spluttering in the pass, I don't expect Seattle to light up the scoreboard here. Arizona is 6-0 ATS their  L6 games played at home, 7-1 ATS their L8 games played in December, 12-3 ATS their L15 vs. the NFC, and 16-5 ATS their L21 games played overall. Take the points here. Play Arizona. Thank you.

NHL  |  Dec 19, 2014
Boston Bruins vs. Winnipeg Jets
Boston Bruins
-110
  at  BMAKER
in 6h

1* free play on the Boston Bruins...

The Boston Bruins are looking for a second consecutive win, their third for the month, as they're closing out a three game road trip in Winnipeg against the Jets tonight. The home team has split the first two games of a four game home-stand defeating the Sabres but losing to the Ducks. The Bruins won the first meeting between the two teams 2-1 in Boston, and I think they'll run away with the two points tonight as well. 

Here are my keys to the game:  

1. Injuries - The Jets will have to do without four of their best defensemen with Jacob Trouba joining Mark Stuart, Tobias Enstrom and Zach Bogosian on the injury list. The visitors on the other hand had David Krejci back against the Wild Tuesday after the Czech had been out for almost a month with a hip-injury. He has 10 points over 12 games this season and logged more than 18 minutes straight away in the comeback.     

2. Road Warriors - The Bruins have won seven of their last eight on the road versus a team with a losing home record. They're also on somewhat on a roll right now, going 2-0-1 over their last three away from home. 

3. X-Factor - Tuukka Rask is 9-4-0 with two shutouts and a 1.90 GAA in his career against the Jets.  

Selection: This is a play on the Boston Bruins (Free)

NCAA-F  |  Dec 20, 2014
Western Michigan vs. Air Force
Air Force
-1½-104
  at  PINNACLE
in 1d

Free Play from Doc’s Sports. #208 Take Air Force Falcons over Western Michigan Broncos (Famous Idaho Potato Bowl, Saturday, 5:45 pm ESPN) The Falcons continue to be undervalued by the bookmakers as this is far and away the best of the academy teams in 2014. The Falcons are 9-3 on the season and that includes wining five of their last six games including a victory over Colorado State. The MAC was not as strong of a football conference this season compared to the Moutain West and I just do not believe Western Michigan is excited to be playing this game in Boise, ID. The Falcons get their quarterback back for this game and he is the straw that stirs the drink. He has the ability to beat you with his arm or his legs and Air Force is not just a run on all downs team anymore. Air Force has covered the spread in 4 of their last 5 games. Do not miss Doc’s Sports Weekend Football Card featuring a monster selection on Saturday from the New Orleans Bowl and as well as our NCAA Game of the Year. Get all of the action now, right here and let 43 years of handicapping experience work for you. 

NBA  |  Dec 19, 2014
Toronto Raptors vs. Detroit Pistons
Detroit Pistons
+7½-109
  at  PINNACLE
in 6h

I'm recommending a play on the Pistons plus the points on Friday night. The natives are growing restless in Detroit and are hoping for their team's first win in Auburn Hills in more than a month. We don't need a SU win as we're getting more than three buckets with the home team. There were signs of improvement despite losing 117-106 to Dallas last time out. Detroit was within six points with just over three minutes to go in the game, but couldn't hang the number. However, they are better now than they were a few games ago, thanks in part to the return of Jodie Meeks. He'll play in his 5th game of the season tonight and already adds about 12 ppg to the attack. Meeks isn't the biggest "disher" but he will open the floor for guys like Andre Drummond, who's off a strong performance on Wednesday night when he scored 19 points and grabbed a whopping 24 rebounds. Meeks' 20 minutes per contest also makes life easier on the rest of the backcourt, including Brandon Jennings who gets the ball to the open man. I believe we're catching the Pistons in an "under the radar" situation tonight and I'm recommending a play on Detroit plus the points. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.

NFL  |  Dec 21, 2014
Minnesota Vikings vs. Miami Dolphins
Minnesota Vikings
+7-120
  at  BOVADA
in 1d

Only once in their last eight games have the Vikings lost by more than seven points and that was an eight-point loss.

The Dolphins are beat up physically and in a bad place mentally with their playoff hopes realistically dashed and third-year head coach Joe Philbin almost certainly out after missing the postseason once again.

Miami has been outscored by 56 points during the past seven quarters. The Vikings, on the other hand, are an improving team showing spunk under defensive whiz Mike Zimmer. He has greatly improved Minnesota's defense. Teddy Bridgewater is showing better command of the offense. The Dolphins' pass rush has ground to a near halt recording just two sacks during the last two games, while facing 69 pass attempts.

The Dolphins are averaging just 3.3 yards per carry during their last 31 rushing attempts. They are not a big-play passing team either. So this is too high of a spread for them to cover.  

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NBA  |  Dec 19, 2014
Brooklyn Nets vs. Cleveland Cavaliers
Cleveland Cavaliers
-11½-104
  at  5DIMES
in 6h

Friday's Free NBA Pick ---Cleveland Cavaliers -11.5---

I'm expecting max effort from the Cavaliers after Wednesday's ugly 29-point loss at home to Atlanta. Cleveland already beat the Nets by 22 in Brookyln earlier this season as an 8-point favorite. If you factor in homecourt advantage, the Cavaliers should be laying closer to 14 points at home. Don't let this double-digit spread scare you away from what should be an easy win and cover for Cleveland. Brooklyn is just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games against a team with a winning home record

System - Explosive offensive teams who are averaging 102+ ppg against an average offensive team that is scoring 92-98 ppg are 127-76 (63%) ATS after a blowout loss by 15 or more points. BET THE CAVALIERS -11.5!

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NCAA-F  |  Dec 24, 2014
Central Michigan vs. Western Kentucky
Total
66 ov-106
  at  PINNACLE
in 4d

30 DIME BAHAMAS BOWL GAME OF THE YEAR

TODAY'S WINNER: 66 OVERS

Central Michigan is averaging 38 points on the grass, and has allowed 30 points when playing on the road. Today they will face Western Kentucky who is averaging 38 points on the road, and surrendering 30 points on defense. Western Kentucky averaged 54 points in their last 3 games, and that caused a signal in the algorithms. Western Kentucky is 9-3 ATS on the over with a average score of 44 points. According to the algorithms, I have the total at 77 and 74. Lay the money on the 66 over for today's winner. Thank You

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