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The College football comp play is on Air Force at 2:00 eastern. The fly boys have covered 12 of the last 15 at home and fit a solid system here today that plays on favorites in this range vs an opponent off 2 favored losses the last one by 10 or more like Hawaii. These favorites cover over 80% long term. The Rainbow Warriors were upset last week and now travel to the main land. They have failed to cover 6 of 7 vs winning teams and 10 of 12 off a conference loss. Look for Air force to emerge with a win and cover. On Saturday a massive college card takes center stage and is led by the Mountain West Conf. Game of the Year, afternoon and evening 5* Perfect system blowouts and the SEC Game of the Month. In MLB the Game 6 Historical League championship system is up too. We continue to rank #1 on several leader boards. Jump on now and Roll your book like wholesale carpet all day and night. For the College football free pick. Play on Air Force. RV
1* Free Play on Air Force -17 +100
Jeff Allen's Free Play is UTSA over UTEP
The Miners had a bye week last week which couldn't have come at a better time after five straight double-digit losses. The UTEP season is circling the drain and they run into a surging UTSA team that suddenly has Bowl aspirations. The Roadrunners got an important road win over Rice on the road in last. Last two here were a mauling of Southern Miss and a close loss to a then healthy and 100% Arizona State team. UTSA has circled the wagons for HC Frank Wilson and to take the next step, need to beat downtrodden teams playing out the string like this UTEP squad. USTA 38-14.
World Champion handicapper Jeff Allen has had a big football season and is now 12-5 in the MLB playoffs after 2-0 Thursday sweep with V Tech and the Cubs. Allen college football Personal Bests are 6-1 this year. All sport subscriptions guarantee that you'll get every play in every sport.
Ohio State is coming off a tough 30-23 overtime win at Wisconsin last week in which the Buckeyes were outgained 450-411 in total yards. Ohio State must now travel again and face a rested Penn State squad that is coming off their bye week after back-to-back home wins. Penn State has a solid 4-2 SU record this season with only one loss coming by more than three points. The Nittany Lions have a strong offense that is averaging 30.5 points per game and 5.9 yards per play (versus opponents that allow just 22.5 ppg and 4.8 yppl). The Nittany Lions also took Ohio State to overtime in a close 31-24 loss on this field two years ago.
10* Free MLB Pick (Cubs +122)
Chicago responded just as I expected with their backs against the wall, taking both Game 4 and Game 5 to pull ahead 3-2 in the series. The assumption here is that Dodgers will even things back up with Kershaw on the mound, but I don't think that's going to be the case. Chicago has all the momentum and unlike that first game against Kershaw, they at least now have a better idea of what to expect. That was the first time the Cubs had faced Kershaw since August of last year. I also don't think one start changes things for Kershaw and his postseason struggles. It wouldn't surprise me at all if Chicago found a way to get to him early and rattle in his confidence. Let's also not forget they have the likely Cy Young winner on the mound in Kyle Hendricks, who has a 1.41 ERA and 0.889 WHIP in 16 home starts this season. Chicago's bullpen is also fresh after Lester gave them 7 strong on Thursday. It's time to put the curse to rest. Give me the Cubs +122!
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Saturday College Football FREE Play
#372 - Memphis @ Navy +2 *3:30 EST
On the Middies for homecoming off a bye week and with a win over Houston under their belt as well. Navy is ranked 25th in the country and this is a huge game for them. Memphis allowed 374 yards rushing last year to Navy and had serious issues beating Tulane last week as well. This is not the same Memphis team that rolls over everyone as in years past under a new coaching staff this year. No protection for the QB for the Tigers with a weak OL, and Navy has a very aggressive defense that kept QB Ward from Houston in check to some degree and we are catching points with a live dog at home here fully capable of winning this game by a TD +.
Navy will allow some points here but has an offense that can put up points (46 on a good Houston D) and QB Worth no joke at throwing the ball which is something new for Navy since all world QB Reynold graduated last year. Memphis 0-2 ATS on the road this year against a rested and prepared Navy team who won this game 45-20 last year on the road, and while it will be closer than that, give me the Middies!
Free Play on Navy +2.5 - Outright Win
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Fresno St. has just one win this season and that was against Sacramento St. of the FCS. The Bulldogs have been competitive a couple of other times however in five of their six FBS games, they have been outgained by 132, 365, 164, 133 and 147 total yards so it has hardly been pretty. They have just one road win over their last 10 trips on the highway and they are coming into a bad situation here. Utah St. was supposed to contend in the Mountain Division of the MWC but it has dropped its first three conference games including a loss as a favorite at Colorado St. in their last game. The Aggies are coming off a bye week so they will be extra motivated to get into the win column and pile it on for that matter. Additionally, they have won and covered six straight games when playing with two weeks of rest. They are 2-1 at home and the lone loss came against Air Force in a game could have won as they outgained the Falcons by 88 yards but lost the turnover battle 2-0. Going back, they are 16-2 in their last 18 home games and covering this number should be a non-issue. Fresno St. is 2-9 ATS in its last 11 road games and going back further, the Bulldogs are 4-16 ATS in their last 20 road games following a home loss. Utah St. meanwhile is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 home games after scoring 24 or more in the first half last game. Play (410) Utah St. Aggies
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1* Free Play Seattle Seahawks.
Reasoning: We had a play on Seattle last weekend and the Seahawks would let a big lead slip away, only to then somehow find a way to win the game 26-24 SU, unable to cover the six points.
After losing three of its first four, the Cardinals have bounced back with consecutive victories. Last week they handled the toothless Jets 28-3 with Carson Palmer leading the way after he was sidelined with an injury for two weeks.
We think that ‘Hawks QB Russell Wilson is almost back to 100% health, which is going to be trouble for the Cardinals today. Note that Seattle is 9-5 ATS in its last 14 agains the division, while Arizona is just 5-10 ATS in its last 15 against teams with winning records.
We like the Seahawks in this matchup, despite Palmer being back, we think Arizona still has a lot of question marks on the offensive side of the ball, a unit which led the league in scoring last year. Consider a second look at the visitors in this one.
I'm backing Navy plus the points on Saturday. The Middies will look to extend their true home field run to 14 wins in a row and in the process, hold onto first place in the AAC West. Will Worth has proven his worth since taking over as starting QB in the Navy triple-option and will provide the Memphis Tiger defense with their toughest run-based test yet. We aren't firm believers in the Tigers quite yet, beating up on softies SE Missouri State, Kansas, & Bowling Green before conference season began. We give them credit for their come-from-behind win over Temple, after trailing by 13 points and they are in off a win over option-based Tulane. But there's a big difference between Tulane's option in its initial season and Navy's fierce and tough to prepare for attack. We also have a nice scheduling advantage for the Middies. Navy has not traveled since October 1 and had a chance to get a couple players healthy with last week's postponement against ECU. The unexpected week off also allowed the Middies to escape a potential flat spot after beating Houston the previous week. Navy enters on an 18-6 ATS run at home and they're 6-1 ATS in their last seven conference games, overall. Meanwhile, the Tigers have covered just six of their last 25 (3 pushes) on the road against teams with a winning home record. We'll back Navy plus the points on Saturday. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.
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Saturdays FREE college football winner is Utah over UCLA.
1:00 pm pst.
UCLA was a pre-season favorite by many to take the South. But are now dwelling next to last, having lost three of four in Conference play, and possessing and overall record of 3-4. Turnovers, injuries, and an inability to run the ball has crushed the Bruins. They rank 126th nationally, rushing for a mere, 91.1 yards per game. They have decimated bettors, covering just two games in 2016 and going back to last season, are on a 2-7 against the spread run. Utah is tied with Colorado atop the Pac 12 South, and now with the return of running back, Joe Williams (179 yards rushing and 1 TD and his return last week),their offense is starting to roll. Defensively, they own the # 17 stop-unit in the country, holding opponents to just, 18.3 points per game. The Road Team is 4-0 against the spread the last four meetings in the series. Take Utah. Thank you.
Free soccer play is on the draw in the match taking place in Russia between Lokomotiv and CSKA Moscow. I think it ends 1-1 and has nice value at +190.
CSKA Moscow 1
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This is a Free play on Texas A&M.
The defending champions are rolling, coming off back-to-back blowout wins on the road versus Arkansas and Tennessee. With their "air of invincibility" firmly intact, I think they are due to suffer a let down here against the Aggies. Texas A&M is coming off a bye week, allowing them to put everything they've got into preparing for this game.
Alabama is asked to cover an enormous spread here at home, even greater than the 18-point margin they defeated the Aggies by last year. Texas A&M is a far better team since the addition of Trevor Knight at quarterback, and the former Oklahoma Sooner has accounted for 12 touchdowns in four games in conference play.
The best game of Trevor Knight's career came in the 2014 Sugar Bowl, throwing for 348 yards and four touchdowns in a 45-31 win over Alabama. He's got a talented group of wide receivers here at A&M, and one of the best defenses in the country behind him. Don't be surprised if history repeats itself here in Tuscaloosa.
The Cougars head into SMU here and laying the points is the way to go with the visitors.
Houston has oddly had some struggles defensively over the past few weeks, but that will change here against SMU. The Mustangs offense is one dimensional and doesn't have many explosive plays in their playbook. This is the perfect offense for the Cougars defense to get back on track.
Offensively, scoring hasn't been an issue for Houston. They're averaging 42 points per game behind Greg Ward Jr. They'll find plenty of success against SMU here, who is giving up 32 points per game.
Some trends to note. Cougars are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 games after allowing more than
280 yards passing in their previous game. Cougars are 23-5-1 ATS in their last 29 road games.
Given the Cougars success on the road, combined with how bad this SMU defense is, this is a nice spot for Houston.
Back Houston ATS.
Good Luck, Razor Ray.
Saturday 5* CFB ATS FREE Play
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Tulane got the backdoor cover last week at home against Memphis and is a double digit underdog again on Saturday. They are one of the poorest offensive teams in the country, but should be able to get healthy against a Tulsa team allowing 33 points per game. The Golden Hurricane aren't very good at slowing down the run and are coming off a tough loss to Houston last time out. The Green Wave are very good against the pass and that will be needed against Dane Evans. The one concern is that they haven't really been tested outside of last week against the Tigers. Tulsa has been crushed by teams the last few weeks giving up 119 points in their last three games. Tulsa has covered just four of their last 15 home games.
355 UL Monroe at New Mexico
The Warhawks enter play at 1-4 on the season against FBS opposition. Last week the team got its first win by beating Texas State. While the final scores show a 1-4 team when looking at yards per play ULM should be 2-3 on the season. Against Idaho the team beat the Vandals 6.9 ypp to 5.8 but a negative four turnover margin cost them the win.
This is a major sandwich game for the Lobos after knocking off fellow option offense Air Force last week in Dallas, and flying to the islands to take on Hawaii next week. While New Mexico 2-3 on the season against FBS opposition, it’s also 2-3 in yards per play. And take a look at the schedule this team has faced. New Mexico State, Rutgers, San Jose State, Boise State and Air Force. The first three opponents could be considered the very bottom 10 of a lot of peoples power ratings. Boise State is the only very good team the Lobos have played and it lost by 28 at home in that contest. ULM on the other hand has faced both Oklahoma and Auburn on the road. Simply put these two teams are much closer to even than this line dictates. In fact, when analyzing explosive plays per game the Warhawks are the better club. We are aware of the quarterback situation for the Warhawks and it has been figured into our handicap. This one is decided late.
PLAY UL MONROE
Big time game for both teams as the 6-0 Texas A&M take on the 7-0 Alabama. Boy take a look at this spread here that should tell you all you need to know about how good the Tide are this year. Texas A&M has had two week to prepare for Alabama but I think it's pretty clear who Vegas wants you on in this game. 61% are backing the road team here and this is the definition of a public trap game as they are seeing a 6-0 team getting a ton of points and jumping all over it but not us. Nick Saban does not like the Aggies and will not take the foot off the gas. I see a big blowout here. Take Alabama minus the big number for a easy 15* winner. ***Don't miss out on my SEC GOY today***
10* graded play on Utah State as they take on Fresno State in NCAAF the action set to start at 10:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that USU will win this game by at least 21 points.
Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. FSU is an imperfect 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in road games when they allow 28 or more points over the last 2 seasons; 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) when they allow 500 or more total yards over the last 3 seasons; 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) when they are outgained by their opponents by 2 or more yards/play over the last 2 seasons; USU is a near-perfect 15-2 ATS (+12.8 Units) when they are outgain their opponents by 200 or more yards.
Fundamental Discussion Points This next matchup we head to Utah for a Mountain West matchup between Utah State Aggies and the Fresno State Bulldogs. Utah State sits at 2-4 and Fresno State at 1-6, both teams at the bottom of the Mountain West Conference. Although both of these teams are the bottom of the barrel in the Mountain West Utah St. is the better team. The Fresno State defense has given up 235 total points this year compared to Utah state who has just given up 150. Utah St. should have no problem at all moving the ball against this horrid Fresno State defense. Utah state averages a solid 5 yards per carry and their QB Kent Myers has a 60% completion percentage. Look for Utah state to move the ball well all game and cover the 16.5 point spread at home. Take Utah state at -16.5.
8-0 RUN IN COLLEGE FOOTBALL (10-1) AND LOOKING TO GO 7-0 SATURDAY
SWEPT FRIDAY NIGHT WITH TEMPLE AND COLUMBUS (NHL)
Play on: LSU (400) over Ole Miss @ 9:00 Eastern
SEC GAME OF THE WEEK
Not oblivious to the fact, the Tigers are off back-to-back wins versus struggling Missouri and Southern Miss. We will point out that LSU had just one more first down than the Golden Eagles. And, that QB Etling threw an interception, but was fairly-consistent in the short range. Therefore, we are counting on the LSU defense to come up with the game changing plays against talented QB Kelly, and the Mississippi offense that is ranked #44 scoring 39.7 points per game. While possessing the #21 passing offense nationally. Remember, though, the Tigers defense is ranked #10 in the country holding the opposition to just 312 yards per game. Just as critical from the emotional standpoint, this is a major revenge game for LSU after pasted last season 38-17 after falling behind early. Also, the other emotional angle for the Tigers brings their current interim coach Ed Orgeron to the forefront as he coached the Ole Miss for three seasons, but was let go. There is one game that you can count on for sheer emotion, it will be Saturday night in Death Valley. Granted recent series techs point to Mississippi, but the home team is 6-1 SU. In addition, the Tigers have covered 5 straight in the month of October.
Free Play from Doc’s Sports. #345 Take Hawaii Warriors over Air Force Falcons (Saturday 2 pm the MWC) I just do not believe Air Force is good enough to be laying this big of a number against conference foes. The Falcons are coming off back to back losses against fringe bowl teams (New Mexico & Wyoming) and now they are set to take on another fringe bowl team in Hawaii. The Warriors were on their way to becoming bowl eligible before taking a step back last week blowing a late lead to UNLV in the fourth quarter. That being said Hawaii has won two of their last three games including a road win at San Jose State. This team has been rejuvenated under a new coach and I do not see them getting blown out in too many games this season. Take the points as we expect this game to go down to the wire. Do not miss Doc’s Sports Weekend Football card featuring top plays on Saturday and Sunday. Jump on board now and let 45 years of handicapping experience work for you.
Take Arkansas (#401)
Fresh off a perfect sweep last Sunday, Teddy hitting 62% in the NFL through the first six weeks of the season, on the heels of last year's epic 65% campaign. He’s riding a long term 60% college football run that dates all the way back to bowl season! And Teddy has won his last three Big Ticket Reports, heating up with his strongest releases. Don’t miss a single winner all weekend long!
Arkansas has a reputation in the Brett Bielema era of being a pure smashmouth, run first squad. Part of that is true this year – the Razorbacks can certainly play some power football in the trenches – their top two backs are averaging close to six yards per carry between them, despite having faced TCU, A&M, Ole Miss and Alabama already. But the key to this bet is Hogs junior QB Austin Allen, who has superseded his older brother in his first year as the starter.
Allen is averaging 8.5 yards per pass, with a 18-6 TD-INT ratio and a 64% completion rate. He threw for 400 yards and three touchdowns against Alabama, but he threw three of his six interceptions on the year in that ballgame. No shame in that – Alabama’s defense is loaded with future NFL players. And he followed up that showing against the Crimson Tide with another three TD effort against Ole Miss last week. Arkansas has seven different receivers who have caught a 25+ yard pass this year, and their top three guys have at least four touchdown catches each.
The markets are down on Arkansas. After all, r ‘Bama whipped them on the heels of a three TD loss to Texas A&M in a previous ‘step-up’ game. But make no mistake about it – that A&M final score was as misleading as it gets. The game was tied at 17-17 late in the third quarter. Arkansas put together a 15 play, 89 yard drive, but they were stuffed at 4th and goal from the 1 yard line. Two plays later, A&M hit a 92 yard TD strike and the rout was on.
Had Arkansas gotten that single yard, they might well have won that game in SU fashion. Instead, they’re being priced like a team that can’t step up in class, despite that SU win over the Rebels last week.
Auburn is on a 2-6 ATS run as double digit favorites, the two spread covering wins coming against Arkansas State and Louisiana-Monroe. They’re getting a ton of credit in the betting markets for their supposedly improved play following three straight wins, all over VERY flawed opponents. Last week’s bye leaves the Tigers as the fresher of these two squads, but freshness alone does not equate to a victory by double digits. The Hogs won in quadruple overtime over Auburn last year, and I’m expecting another hotly contested battle this time around. Take Arkansas.
#NFL Free Pick from Mike Lundin
Play: Minnesota Vikings
The Minnesota Vikings are on an insane 19-3 ATS run, and they're the only team in the league with a perfect straight up and ATS record this season. They'll visit the Philadelphia Eagles Sunday afternoon, and this looks like a good spot to give the points to back the visitors.
Philly has been road favorites in each of its last two games, at Detroit and Washington, and lost both outright. The Eagles were outgained by a total of 254 yards in last week's 27-20 loss to the Redskins while the Vikings were at home practicing during their bye week. Minnesota is such a disciplined and solid team as it is, so one can only imagine how they'll play here coming off an extra week of preparations.
Rookie QB Carson Wentz has been a great find for the Eagles, but now he'll come up against arguably the toughest D in the league. Minny gave up 16 points in its season opening 11-point victory at Tennessee, and it has held each of its four opponents since to even fewer points.
Mike Lundin has a total of four premium NFL winners lined up for Sunday. The action starts early with his Top Rated 10* Super Early NFL *Giants/Rams at London* selection followed by a NFL 3-pack, covering Redskins vs. Lions, Chargers vs. Falcons and Patriots vs. Steelers.
Jack's Free Pick Saturday: TCU +6.5
The TCU Horned Frogs are being undervalued because of their result the last time they took the field. They only beat Kansas 24-23 as 30.5-point road favorites. But for whatever reason, the Horned Frogs have struggled for three straight years to put away Kansas. I simply believe it's an aberration.
Head coach Gary Patterson had a bye last week to right some wrongs. He called out his players for not being tough enough, and I certainly believe these two weeks will work wonders for them in that department. Patterson will have his players ready to go Saturday. After all, his teams are 12-1 SU & 13-0 ATS in their last 13 games off a regular season bye week.
Conversely, West Virginia comes in overvalued after stomping Texas Tech 48-17 on the road as 3-point favorites last week. However, the Mountaineers were coming off a bye and were primed for a big performance. Now they'll be up against a team coming off a bye in TCU this week.
Also, the Mountaineers may be 5-0, but they haven't played anyone as good as TCU. Their four wins have come against Missouri, Youngstown State, BYU (by 3) and Kansas State (by 1). If both BYU and K-State can hang with the Mountaineers, the Horned Frogs certainly can as well.
TCU stomped West Virginia 40-10 at home last year as 12-point favorites. They outgained the Mountaineers by 289 total yards in that win. The three previous meetings went right down to the wire. All three were decided by 3 points or less, and two of them went to overtime. I really look for this game to go down to the wire as well, so there's a very good chance this 6.5-point spread comes into play.
The Horned Frogs are 7-0 ATS versus good rushing teams who average 200 or more rushing yards per game over the last three seasons. TCU is 7-0 ATS off a close win by 7 points or less over a conference opponent over the last three seasons. The Horned Frogs are 8-1 ATS off a road win over the last three years. The Mountaineers are 1-7 ATS in their last eight vs. a team with a winning record. Bet TCU Saturday.
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1* Free Play on West Virginia -230
Play - Tulane.
Edges - Green Wave: 3-1-1 ATS versus FBS foes this season. Hurricane: 0-6 ATS home favorites off a loss; and 5-19-1 ATS home after allow 38 or more points. With the Wave owning nearly 100 YPG the better defense and playing with revenge from a season-ending 11-point loss that cost them a bowl berth last year, and Tulsa in the middle of a Houston-Memphis revenge sandwich, we recommend a 1* play on Tulane. Thank you and good luck as always.
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Free Pick on LSU -
A lot of people are going to look at this line and think the books have made a mistake. While LSU has won and covered their last two games, I don’t think the public is ready to back them. At least not against a top level team like Ole Miss. While the Rebels are 3-3, their 3 losses have all been close. The public just isn’t going to trust the Tigers laying over a touchdown.
This one is all about the situation. Any hope that Ole Miss had of sneaking into the playoffs is gone with their loss last week to Arkansas. The Rebels have "ZERO" to play for down the stretch. That’s a tough pill to swallow for a team that had such high expectations. They also beat LSU 38-17 last year, so there’s no revenge angle for them to play.
As for the Tigers, this team has looked like a different animal since they fired Les Miles. LSU beat Missouri 42-7 as a mere 12-point favorite in their first game without Miles. They followed it up by taking care of business against Southern Miss, in a 35-point win. What’s scary is they did that without star running back Leonard Fournette. Who is expected to be back this week.
Keep in mind, this is a team that still has a shot at winning the SEC West. While the Tigers are 0-1 in league play, they still have Alabama and Texas A&M left to play.
The big problem with LSU under Miles was the offense not producing at the level expected. For whatever reason, it’s been clicking since he left. A big party of that is the play of Danny Etling at quarterback, who has replaced Brandon Harris. Etling is completing 58.8% of his attempts. Not great, but a big improvement over Harris at 52.0. He’s also averaging 7.8 yards/attempt compared to Harris at 5.6. With the way this team can run the ball, that’s all they need out of the QB position to torment opposing defenses.
An uninspired Ole Miss defense could be in for a long night. The Rebels come into this game ranked 104th in the country against the run, allowing 212.8 ypg. They also have had their issues against the pass, allowing 233.2 ypg (74th).
What gets overlooked with LSU and their struggling offense is how good the defense has played. The Tigers are the only team in the country to hold all of their opponents under 21 points. They also have allowed a FBS-low 6 touchdowns (best red zone defense in SEC). Clearly they have talent on hand to slow down this Ole Miss offense.
The other key factor here is when this game is being played. It’s one thing to go to Memorial Stadium for 3:30 afternoon kickoff. It’s a whole different beast when you play this team on their home field at night. Especially when it’s a nationally televised game like this one. Tigers are 8-1 ATS at home in Weeks 5 through 9 over the last 3 seasons. Take LSU!
This is a 1* Free Play on the Texas Tech Red Raiders
Oklahoma might win this game but they have a defense that has struggled all season long, due to inexperience and injuries and will have a tough time winning this game by more than 2 scores. Injuries are still a factor for the Sooners defense Saturday night in Lubbock. I expect Texas Tech head coach Kliff Kingsbury to have his team ready for this game in this ‘Blackout’ that will have one of the largest crowds in program history.
Texas Tech scores points at home. Before last week’s 17 point disappointing game against West Virginia, the Red Raiders had scored 50+ points in 9 consecutive home games. Texas Tech ranks 2nd in total offense in the nation and 5th in scoring at 48.8 ppg this year. While the Sooners are going to score, I expect Texas Tech to be able to trade scores.
The Sooners will be without stud running back Samaje Perine and this is a big dropoff in my opinion as Joe Mixon is not as polished and durable as Perine. Mixon can tote the load, but the Sooners don’t have any depth under Mixon and for a guy that also returns kicks and punts, fatigue might be an issue in the 2nd half or possible mental mistakes. Speaking of mistakes, Oklahoma is ranked 122nd in the nation with a -7 turnover margin. Texas Tech has been much more efficient having only lost 1 fumble this year and I look for them to take care of the ball here.
Texas Tech covered in 2014 as a home underdog of 14 points against Oklahoma in a 42-30 games. This spread today matches the most points they have gotten at home in the last 4 years.
The total for this game is set high, but the OVER is 11-1 in Oklahoma’s L12 road games when listed as a road favorite. They have scored 52 points or more in their L4 road games when laying points. Earlier this year, there were 98 points scored when they played TCU. While my advised play is on Texas Tech, I think a wager on the ‘Over’ is also a possibility.
In closing, Oklahoma has not shown that they are capable of playing a perfect game for 40 minutes and I think the Sooners are overrated and not nearly as talented on defense as some think. The Red Raiders are going to score against this Sooners defense that has serious issues in the secondary. I am not calling for an upset, but I think we see a back and forth game with a final score in the 52-42 range. (1* Texas Tech)
*3 Star CFB Free Pick* The TCU Horned Frogs aren't a team I'm extremely high on for the year. Still, I like them in this spot. TCU won 24-23 over Kansas on the road in their last game. TCU was very fortunate to win that game. Gary Patterson was really disappointed with his team's effort in that game. TCU is coming off a bye week now, and I think TCU likely had two solid weeks of practice here.
West Virginia is starting to feel good about themselves. The Mountaineers are thinking about some lofty goals and are coming off a big win at Texas Tech. While West Virginia is better than I thought they would be this year, I think they still have a lot to prove. They haven't really beaten anyone very good this year.
Gary Patterson is a better coach than Dana Holgorsen. How about this statistic? TCU is a whopping 13-0 ATS in their last 13 games in the regular season when they had more than a week to prepare. They are 12-1 straight up in those 13 games. Basically, Patterson is great at getting his team ready when he has extra time to prepare.
I'll take TCU plus the points here.
*33-14 last 47 college football plays. HUGE 26-8 run in my last 34 college football totals selections. Saturday CFB All in One ENTIRE Card for just $11 per pick this week. BIG Game Hunter Trio is also up. 5-0 last 5 TOP Rated selections. Join this red hot run today!*
Free Pick - Rickenbach CFB Game #383 Saturday - UTEP Miners (+) @ UTSA Roadrunners @ 7 ET - This is not one of my actual star rated releases; this is an opinion play for Saturday's CFB. However, I certainly do like this situation quite a lot. Here are the details: The Roadrunners are simply over-valued in this spot. Even though they have won back to back games, UTSA has been outgained in all 5 of their games against FBS foes this season! Put in another way, UTSA has been fortunate! They were lucky to sneak by Rice last week in their non-covering win over the Owls. Now the Runners face another desperate and hungry foe as 1-5 UTEP comes to town. The Miners have lost 5 straight games but they are off of their bye week and that helped them to heal up both physically and mentally. QB Ryan Metz will be back after missing the Miners last game and leading rusher Aaron Jones is also feeling much better as his high ankle sprain has had extra time to heal up. The road team is a PERFECT 3-0 both SU and ATS in the series between these teams and an outright upset would not surprise. The Roadrunners almost got upset by Rice last week and they now face another team that is desperate for a victory this week. UTSA is over-rated right now because they've had some wins and some covers while consistently losing the yardage battles. That said, they shouldn't be a double digit favorite in this spot and yet they are. That means it is time to step in. UTSA is only 3-9 ATS as a favorite. Also, the Runners are on an 0-4 ATS run in home games with a posted total between 42.5 and 49 points. The Miners are on a 7-2 ATS run when off of a loss in conference action. UTEP is also 4-0 ATS when off of a SU loss as a favorite and playing with rest. The Miners lost 25 to 6 in El Paso last season and it is now payback time at the Alamodome in San Antonio. Free Pick on UTEP plus the big points Saturday. Best of luck, Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach