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At 2:30pm Wednesday, take the draw at +193 in the Friendly match between Albania and Morocco. The total is set at 2 and I think it ends 1-1.
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Jeff Allen's Free Play for Saturday, September 3rd is on the Ohio Bobcats
Ohio is loaded for Frank Solich who is now the the most successful active coach in the MAC. The Bobcats have not had a losing season since 2006 and are loaded this year and will compete for the conference championship. Texas State is off a disappointing year that forced Coach Fran into retirement and return just 10 starters. This figures to be a slow rebuild for the Bobcats and the schedule maker didn't do them any favors opening them vs. ground and pound Ohio on the road. Lay the points with a home team that generally takes care of business when it's supposed to.
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Play - Seattle Mariners w/Hernandez.
Edges - Mariners: Felix Hernandez 5-1 with 1.78 ERA last six team starts in this series; and 6-0 last six team starts during August. Rangers: Martin Perez 1-2 with 5.29 ERA last three team starts in this series. With the Mariners 5-0 in Hernandez’s last five starts, we recommend a 1* play on Seattle. Thank you and good luck as always.
> Wow. Marc has isolated a 100% Perfect Situation MLB Top Key Play on Wednesday night’s card. Put this beauty right at the top of your ticket now - don’t miss out!
This is a Free #NCAAF play on the Hawaii #Warriors.
The public loves Michigan this year, and it's easy to see why. The Wolverines completely turned things around winning 10 games last season, after going just 5-7 in 2014. While Jim Harbaugh's first year as Michigan's head coach has come with plenty of fan fair, I believe this team is way overrated. It's important to keep in mind that all 10 of last year's wins came against teams that finished the season unranked. They lost at Utah, at home to Michigan State, and they were blown out at Ohio State.
The Wolverines will host the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors in their season opener, and they are asked to cover an enormous number here. Despite the fact that they played their fair share of cupcakes last season, they didn't win any games by as much as 40 points. Hawaii was brutal last year, losing 10 of 13 games. Many of those losses were blowouts, but even against the likes of Ohio State and Wisconsin, the margin of defeat was less than 40 points.
They lost 38-0 at Ohio State in Week 2, and it's worth noting that Michigan didn't fair much better losing 42-13 when they traveled to Columbus. Hawaii has plenty of talent returning from last season, and this team might just be more competitive than it was a year ago.
The Warriors will get a chance to work out the kinks a week earlier when they play California in Australia. The Wolverines will not have that luxury, with a new quarterback under center in their first game of the season. Even if everything goes smoothly for Michigan, and they somehow manage to build a big early lead, expect Harbaugh to pull the starters which would likely allow Hawaii to get a back door cover.
This game went ‘Over’ last year, but the total is about a touchdown higher this year. FIU returns 9 on offense this year including their QB (64% 21-8 LY), all 5 O-Line starters (92 car starts). That should pave the way for the offense and Indiana has never been known for their defense. FIU’s defense is a mess with 16 sacks departing on the defensive line which makes this game good for the ‘over’ as the Hoosiers should be able to protect their QB and run their offense. The new QB is Richard Lagow and he looked good in spring (6-6 JUCO finished 11-of-17 for 135 yards). He threw two touchdowns in red zone-specific work. Top 3 WR’s are back to help out with the scoring. Simmie Cobbs 6’4 Jr will replace Jordan Howard at RB but had 226 carries LY as Howard was injured.
Indiana has a well balanced offense and will look to put up 35+ points here. The weakness for Indiana is that they lost all 4 defensive linemen from last year and there are no expected seniors to start on the defensive line which is a big concern for this game, especially playing their first game on the road against an experienced QB and offensive line of Florida International.(1* Over)
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The ACC opener for Georgia Tech and Boston College takes place in Dublin, Ireland on Saturday morning. The Yellow Jackets went 3-9 last year and it was mostly because of a poor defense that struggled at times. On the offensive side, the triple option got bogged down at times. In 2016, Justin Thomas is back to run things. This is the first time the Jackets open up with a FBS opponent since 2012 when they lost in overtime to Virginia Tech in Blacksburg. Boston College also went 3-9 last year, but you can point to their offense for that reason. The Eagles had the #1 defense in football in 2015, but lost Don Brown to Michigan. The good thing is that seven starters are back defensively. Hopefully Patrick Towles coming over from Kentucky can help jump start this offense and give Jon Hilliman a little room. There are a lot of reasons to stay away from this one especially since it's being played overseas. I really like giving a good defensive unit plenty of time to prepare for the triple option of Georgia Tech. I think the Eagles can get the win on Saturday and start their season off 1-0.
Toledo beat up on ASU two seasons ago in the GoDaddy Bowl, 63-44, and clobbered them by a 37-7 count in Toledo last season. The Rockets lead the all-time series, 4-0 SU and according to my own numbers and matchup statistics this years version of the Rockets are being vastly under rated here vs a Arkansas State side, that I am betting will not be as explosive as last season. With new QBs and wide recievers, it will take time for this Red Wolves team to jell . With that said, I expect the Red Wolves will struggle for cohesiveness vs a Toledo team that beat Arkansas last season, and blew out Bowling Green the eventual MAC Champions. With the Rockets offense getting back four starters on a line that allowed just four sacks, and opened up the lanes for 208 ypg rushing I expect this catalyst will be the key to us getting a cover on a value underdog line in this tilt .
Play on the Toledo Rockets to cover (comp selection)
Kent State completely overmatched here in the opener. Penn State should push the tempo here with this new offense and get this game out of reach by the 3rd quarter.
Free Play on Penn State to cover the number here on Saturday
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Free Play from Doc’s Sports. #208 Take Wyoming Cowboys over Northern Illinois Huskies (Saturday 10:30 pm CBSSN) The Huskies struggled to put UNLV away in their opening game last year in DeKalb and I expect similar results on Saturday night in Laramie. NIU put forth one of the most embarrassing performances in decades in their bowl game last year losing 55-7 and have just 33 total yards. This team is trending down and they are coming off a 6 loss season in 2015 and I just do not see things getting any better in 2016. Wyoming took a step back last year and this might be a make or break year for Coach Craig Bohl. I just do not see them getting blown out at home with a ton of returning starters back from last year. It is always a tough place to play in Laramie and Wyoming is 19-3 in their last 22 home openers. Take the points in this contest. Do not miss out on Doc’s Sports weekend football card highlighted by a full slate of winners you do not want to miss. Doc’s Sports went 7-0 with their opening card in 2013 (+$3,000) and they expect similar results in 2016. Sign-up now and let 45 years of handicapping experience work for you.
*3 Star Friday Night Free Play* The Georgia State Panthers offense was all about quarterback Nick Arbuckle the last couple years. Arbuckle threw for more than 7,600 yards in the past two years. This Georgia State team went from 0-12 in 2013 to 6-7 and a bowl berth last year. Arbuckle had a lot to do with that, and he will be missed.
Georgia State has no one experienced at quarterback ready to step in, and they also have almost no running game. The Panthers offense is going to have to find its way this year, and I think that will take some time. While Georgia State was 47th in tempo last year, I expect a slower pace to start the year with a new signal caller.
Georgia State's defense was much improved last year, and that was the other big reason for their overall improvement as a team. The Panthers have a defensive-minded coach in Trent Miles. Georgia State allowed 43.4 points per game two years and only 28.3 per game last year. This defense returns nine guys and is a senior-laden group. Look for further improvement here.
Ball State returned 10 guys on offense last year and still only managed 23.3 points per game. These two teams played last year at Ball State and the Cardinals only managed 19 points in a loss. Ball State returns 6 guys on offense last year, and like Georgia State I think they need to find an identity. It should take some time.
Defensively, Ball State returns nine starters from last year and star Darnell Smith who missed all of last year with an injury is back as well.
I see a sloppy low scoring game. Take the under.
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South Carolina/Vanderbilt U42.5 1.1% Free Pick
This is obviously already a low total at 42.5 at just over 6 touch downs, but I think we still have some value here when you look at the strengths of each teams which is their defenses. I actually would lean towards South Carolina on the side, I don't think there is much difference between these two schools, but I just can't get too pumped about the hiring of Will Muschamp or backing a team coached by him.
South Carolina was 120th in pace last year averaging just 66 plays per game, and I don't expect much to change when they break in 7 first time offensive starters. This offense is having to replace 3 starters on the offensive line and they are going up against Vanderbilt, a team whose defense returns 83% of their production. A team defense that's good enough to win the SEC East. Vanderbilt held conference opponents to 33% TD percentage in the red zone. They also held conference opponents to 25% third down conversions. I think this is a struggle for South Carolina, and I don't think they will try to do too much here on offense.
Vanderbilt on the other hand also has a poor offense that is unlikely to improve with just 59% of their production returning. This offense was 25th in time of possession, so expect them to run the ball (56% of the time), which falls into the strength of South Carolina's front 7. The front 7 of South Carolina should be much improved and they have attacking linebackers that should set up Vanderbilt in third and long. Vanderbilt has to replace two starters on the offensive line and while that does not sound like much they replace a total of 75 starts from Pulley and Bernstein. Not exciting news for a team that was 102nd in yards per carry a season ago. I think this is poised to be a very boring low scoring game and South Carolina could be in position to pull the upset.