Stephen Nover

I have had only two losing season in pro football in my handicapping career. I have the best sources in the business thanks to more than 25 years as a sportswriter, handicapper and analyst.

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Stephen Nover's MLB Day Game Dominator

Earn a tidy profit before even sitting down for Thursday dinner courtesy of long-time baseball pro Stephen Nover. There's a day game that should not be missed. Tremendous value. Right pitching matchup. Ripe spot. All the boxes get checked here making this a true Day Game Dominator!

Stephen Nover's MLB Day Game Dominator

Match Up	Pick	Rating	Score	Result	Profit	Analysis
Mariners vs A's	Mariners +128	Free	4-1	Win	128	Show
Small market. Late start times. No marquee stars. These are among the reasons why the Mariners don't get the respect they deserve. All the Mariners have done is go 82-69. They have a winning road mark and have earned more money for bettors than any team in the American League. This is the third of a four-game series between Seattle and Oakland. The Mariners have been 'dogs the first two games - and won them both. Now they are underdogs again. Since the All-Star break the Mariners have beaten the A's seven of eight times. I'm compelled to ride Seattle in another underdog role here. Oakland was 6-3 in its previous nine games heading into this series. However, the A's had compiled that record against the Rangers, Royals and Angels. Those three teams are a combined 62 games below .500. It can be tough to play at Oakland Coliseum. But the A's are drawing small crowds and Seattle is used to playing in a pitcher's park. So the A's don't hold the home advantage they should in this matchup. The pitching matchup is Chris Flexen (12-6 with a 3.66 ERA) versus Cole Irvin (10-13, 3.94 ERA). But this is an action play for me.
Twins vs Cubs	Cubs +106	Premium	5-4	Loss	-100	Show
I'm going to side with veteran Kyle Hendricks at a plus price pitching at home against rookie Joe Ryan. Hendricks is having a disappointing season, but he's a proven commodity and he knows how to navigate tricky winds at Wrigley Field. Those are the weather conditions in today's games with winds at 23 mph blowing in. Hendricks won't lack motivation as this likely will be his final home start. Ryan has looked good for Minnesota - but the sample is short. This is his fourth big league start. Two of them came against the weak-hitting Indians. The other was against these same Cubs, who got to him for three runs in five innings on Sept. 1. So the Cubs are familiar with Ryan. Note the Twins are 0-5 the past five times they've been interleague favorites.
#Royals vs #Indians	#Royals -107	Premium	0-0	Push	0	Show
The price is right to back the Royals, who have the better starting pitcher. Kansas City's Carlos Hernandez is 6-2 with a 3.90 ERA. He's been at his best on the road where he's 3-0 with a 2.60 ERA. Cleveland is pitching lefty Logan Allen, who is 1-7 with a 7.11 ERA. Allen has surrendered nine runs on 15 hits during his last starts spanning nine innings. The Royals are 17-8 in their last 25 games versus lefty starters. They rank third in the American League in batting average against southpaws.
Dodgers vs Rockies	UNDER 11 -115	Top Premium	5-10	Loss	-115	Show
Playing on marketplace perception, the oddsmaker has a tendency to set a higher total than what should be at Coors Field. The Under has cashed in 22 of the Rockies' last 32 home games. I'm expecting another Under in today's game at Coors Field between the Dodgers and Rockies, who have gone below the total the past six times they've met. The pitching matchup is Walker Buehler versus German Marquez. I don't doubt Buehler will come in with a strong performance being a Cy Young Award candidate with a 14-4 record and 2.39 ERA. He has a 2.77 ERA in two starts at Coors Field this season. Buehler has yielded two earned runs or fewer in 14 of his last 16 starts. I see Marquez holding up his end, too. He's 8-2 with a 3.16 ERA at home this season. He also has a 2.52 ERA in 10 career starts versus the Dodgers.

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