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Free picks
Cubs vs Reds MLB Free Pick
The Angle(s): This looks like a good spot to back the Chicago Cubs after getting shut out in the series opener. Public perception often overadjusts to a zero-run performance, but sharp handicappers know that backing a disciplined lineup following a shutout loss yields excellent long-term value.
The Cincinnati Reds hand the ball to left-hander Nick Lodolo (3-2, 4.68 ERA). While Lodolo has individual flashes of pitching well lately, the team results tell a highly alarming story. The Reds have dropped five of his last six starts.
The Cubs turn to right-hander Javier Assad (6-1, 4.15 ERA), who isn't just a solid arm, he consistently benefits from a high-functioning relationship with his offense. The Cubs' dugout routinely fills up the box score when he takes the bump, leading Chicago to an impressive seven wins across his last eight starts.
The moneyline is tempting, but the real value is on the runline at plus-money.
The Bet: Cubs -1½ (3%).