Mike Lundin

Senators vs Red Wings NHL Free Pick

The Angle(s): This looks like a good spot to fade the Ottawa Senators, who are 2-0 after a 4-1 win in Boston last night, and at the same time back the undervalued 0-2-0 Red Wings after two home losses. The Sens are in a rough schedule spot: this is the second night of a back-to-back with travel, and their third road game in four nights after wins over the Leafs and Bruins. The Wings have been sitting at home since Sunday afternoon's 3-2 loss to the Jets, so they get the rest edge and a tired opponent walking into their building.

The market is reacting to the records more than the play. The Wings have only scored twice in two games, but both losses were tight, low-scoring games against the Rangers and Jets, not blowouts.

The Sens have outscored two opponents 7-3 and are getting full credit for it, which is why this number is sitting near a coin flip with the home team rested. We'll take the desperate home side in its third straight at Little Caesars Arena to get in the win column.t Red Wings after two home losses. Expand... 

The Bet: Red Wings ML (3%). 

16-6 since Sep 30, 2026 in All Sports! 

35-18-0 since Sep 19, 2026 in All Sports! 

Mike has 3 premium picks (1 MLB, 2 NHL) posted for Tuesday. Grab an all-sports subcription and bet like a pro, with a pro. 

MAGIC MIKE'S 4% BOOKIE BU$TER TOP PLAY

The Angle(s): The New York Rangers (3-1-0) host their cross-town rivals at Madison Square Garden looking to build on their hot start to the season. Franchise netminder Igor Shesterkin (2-1-0, 1.67 GAA, .934 SV%) gets the start in goal after an impressive early-season stretch. The Rangers offense has found rhythm and top-line stalwarts Mika Zibanejad and Alexis Lafrenière, give them a distinct depth advantage on home ice.

The New York Islanders (1-1-0) counter with star goaltender Ilya Sorokin (1-1-0, 1.02 GAA, .968 SV%, 1 SO), who has been stellar out of the gate. ut has received limited goal support. While the Islanders swept the four-game regular-season series at MSG last season, the Rangers' revamped blue line has drastically tightened up defensive zone exits, forcing opponents into low-danger shot attempts.

The Bet: Rangers ML (4%). 

4% NHL TOP PLAY of the Day

The Angle(s): St. Louis goaltender Joel Hofer (24-13-5, 2.71 GAA, .909 SV% last season) gets the call in net as the Blues look to exploit a struggling Chicago club. Hofer established himself as a rock-solid, highly dependable netminder across 46 appearances last season, and the Blues' top scoring line provides a notable edge in offensive cohesion and top-six execution.

Chicago counters with goaltender Spencer Knight (19-25-11, 2.80 GAA, .902 SV% last season), who faces a daunting assignment behind a depleted roster. The Blackhawks are off to a brutal 0-3 start this season. To make matters worse, Chicago is missing superstar center Connor Bedard, stripping their offense of its primary playmaking engine and leaving a talent-depleted forward group that averages under 2.6 goals per game.

The Bet: Blues ML (4%). 

4% Brewers v Padres MLB TOP PLAY of the Day

The Angle(s): Brewers righty Dustin May (7-9, 4.70 ERA) takes the mound looking to carry forward the relentless momentum of Milwaukee's 103-win campaign after taking a commanding 2-0 series lead. While May’s full-season ERA appears elevated on first glance, he has flashed elite put-away stuff (144 strikeouts over 145 2/3 innings) and gives Milwaukee a battle-tested arm capable of handling postseason intensity. The Padres turn to right-hander Nick Pivetta (3-2, 2.86 ERA), who made only eight regular-season starts in 2026. While Pivetta has allowed one earned run or less in four of his last five appearances, his limited durability and a 1.50 WHIP in October action leave San Diego's bullpen heavily exposed early.

The Bet: Brewers ML (4%).