Matt Josephs

This is the rare combination of a good offensive team against a really bad defensive team. Colorado State is averaging 96 points per game and is shooting 53% from the field. They have six guys who average double digit points in wins over Arkansas Pine Bluff and Colorado Christian. They want to get up and down the court and so far they have. Montana State's best player is Tyler Hall. They've lost 80-35 at Indiana and 101-71 to Utah State. The team's only win was 83-68 to a school called Presentation. I think we see both teams score tonight and this one sail over the total.

The money move is on the under, but I think there's some value now with the over considering how potent Toledo is. The Rockets are averaging 93 points per game while shooting nearly 56% from the field. They have a problem with defense as well so a team like Wright State who prefers a lower scoring game to put up some points. WSU has a 96-73 win over Western Carolina and is coming off a 73-54 loss at Murray State. I think this is a bit of a back and forth affair so I want to be on the over with late foul shooting potentially coming into play.

The two teams are going in different directions record-wise, but the talent levels are about the same. The Gamecocks have lost 92-72 to Samford and 76-61 to Penn State. They are led by double-double man Jason Burnell with transfers Detrick Mostella and Ty Hudson also picking up the load. Bradley is 2-0 with wins over SEMO and Wisconsin Parkside. They play a lower scoring style with a really good defense. I think JSU can keep this close so give me the underdog in this one.

Duke is going to be a hard team to put down offensively. They could struggle a little early against the 2-3 zone of EMU, but the Eagles don't have the athletes or the talent to keep up. The Blue Devils are shooting over 50% from the field and are averaging over 100 points per game. They will get up and down the court with relative ease against the lesser opponents. Their problem is going to be a commitment to defense which they struggled in the first half against Army. EMU has a decent offense with some returning talent. They have beaten up on two lower level teams along with Drexel. They are averaging 80 points per game. I think we could see Duke crack 100 again and get this easily.