Matt Josephs

I really like KSU this season and they've won six of their last eight. The Golden Flashes are led by Jaylin Walker who can score from all over the court. Jalen Avery and Antonio Williams are good complementary pieces. This team is 4-2-1 against the spread this season as an underdog. They are starting to play a little defense and will need it against Toledo. The Rockets have won three straight after a two game losing streak. Toledo is not as strong on the road losing at Buffalo and Wright State. They do have wins at Western Michigan, Marshall and Oakland with the last two by one point. I'm playing a hunch here in a higher scoring game that the home team can get the win in this one. 

Akron has lost three of their last four and has not covered a game in their last five. As a matter of fact, they've covered just two contests since December 1st. At home, they've failed to cover in four of their last five as the inconsistent offense continues to plague them. They scored 86 against Central Michigan at their place, but have scored 65 or less in five of their last seven. The Zips have a nice balance of scorers, but they aren't a great shooting team. The Chippewas have won eight of their last 10 games and have road wins at NIU, Miami-Ohio and Youngstown State. CMU has five double digit scorers and Dallas Morgan adds seven points per game. My worry is their lack of defense because it's shown often. They've covered in three of their last five. I think they are worth a look here. 

Virginia is going to be quite ornery after losing to Duke at their place. The Cavaliers shot the ball well from 2 point range, but didn't make the stops when they needed to and that led to the Blue Devils getting the win. Wake Forest is beyond terrible. There really isn't a ton of analysis needed for this one. Virginia will hold Wake to like 40 or 50 points and find it rather easy to score on the Deacs. This one will get ugly in Charlottesville. 

Fresno State isn't the deepest team in the world but they are led by Braxton Huggins and Deshon Taylor who average 35 points per game combined. They've got two other double digit scorers and two others who contribute as well. This team saw a streak of 12 of their last 13 games scoring 70 or more snapped last time out in the loss to Nevada. Their defense has been very hot and cold this season giving up 70+ to their last two opponents. San Diego State's defense has improved a bit, but they also just faced some weak competition in the Air Force and Wyoming. Against teams with a pulse especially on the road, they've been very porous. Their offense isn't very good so that's a concern, but I think they can hold their own in this one. Give me the over.