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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
Match Up | Pick | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Phillies vs Mets | Phillies -113 | Premium | 5-4 | Win | 100 | Show |
PICKS IN PROGRESS
*3 Star Play Over* The Tampa Bay Rays bullpen has been one of the biggest disappointments of the season thus far. They are dead last in the majors in FIP allowed so far this year. Aaron Civale starts this game, and he has struggled badly this season. Civale has failed to complete 5 innings pitched in four straight starts. He has a 5.88 ERA on the season thus far.
Nick Pivetta has a career 4.85 ERA pitching at Fenway Park. Pivetta also has a terrible 5.35 ERA in night games in his career (3.84 ERA in day games). This one will be under the lights at Fenway.
The wind is expected to be blowing straight out at Fenway at about 12 mph at the time of the first pitch in this one. Overs at Fenway Park with the wind blowing out at least 8 mph have an ROI of 11.1% since 2006.
I think both offenses will have a lot of scoring opportunities in this one.
Take the over.