Kyle Hunter

*3 Star Play Under* These two teams have been excellent defensively. In fact, in their last 8 games, the Warriors and Clippers rank #1 and #2 in defensive efficiency. These are two well coached defensive teams.

The Warriors and Clippers rank 15th and 16th in tempo in the last 8 games as well, so their pace isn't blazing fast by any means. 

This is an early tipoff on the West Coast and these weekend early tip offs on the West Coast have been very good unders in the past decade. 

Both of these teams are subpar when it comes to creating second chances. I think their initial shots will be covered better than normal in this one as well.

Take the under. 

*3 Star Play on Tampa Bay* The Tampa Bay Bucs have slowly gotten healthier. Both Devin White and Vita Vea are considered probable for this one. Vea in particular is crucial in this matchup against a great runner like Jonathan Taylor. 

The Tampa Bay offense is much better with Rob Gronkowski back on the field as well. Tom Brady and this Bucs passing attack should be able to do damage against a highly questionable Colts secondary. The Colts rank 21st in opponent QBR allowed. 

The Colts are at just a +0.16 yards per play margin on the year. The Bucs are at an impressive +1.01 yards per play margin. 

The narrative is going around that Tampa Bay can't win on the road, and these guys have heard this during the week. They are the far superior team here.

Indianapolis relies heavily on the run. The best run defense in the NFL is Tampa Bay. I think they slow down Taylor.

Take Tampa Bay. 

*3 Star Play on Vikings* The Minnesota Vikings play one score games that go right to the final whistle almost every single week. Getting these points is more valuable with the Vikings than it would be with most other teams. 

Mike Zimmer has been a great ATS moneymaker in the long run. He's 72-49 ATS overall. Zimmer has been particularly good in non-divisional games. He is 50-27-1 ATS in those spots.

Kyle Shanahan's teams have been money burners as home favorites. In fact, they are 3-15-1 ATS as a home favorite overall. They are 0-9 ATS in their last 9 as home favorites. 

The Vikings have two elite receivers in Jefferson and Thielen. I don't think the 49ers secondary is good enough to consistently slow them down. Kirk Cousins is playing with a ton of confidence right now.

Take Minnesota.