Kyle Hunter

*3 Star Play Under* The Dallas Cowboys rank first in the NFL in yards per play. Dallas has an above average offense, but they aren't the best offense in the NFL. They have played the weakest schedule of defenses of anyone in the NFL so far this year. Dallas has taken advantage of the Dolphins, Giants, and Redskins in 3 of their first 5 games. 

The New York Jets rank dead last in the NFL in yards per play. The Jets get Darnold back this weekend, but he isn't likely to fix this offense right away. Dallas' defense should come into this game upset after struggling last week against Green Bay. The Jets have the slowest pace of play in the NFL, and I expect them to try to run the ball a lot and keep the Dallas offense off the field.

The under is 26-10 in the Cowboys last 36 road games. 

With the move up during the week, I see value on the under.

Take the under here. 

*4 Star Play on the Bengals* The Baltimore Ravens have played a really weak schedule so far this year. Baltimore has played the 3rd easiest schedule in the NFL so far this year. Baltimore has played both Miami and Arizona already this year. They took on a Steelers team with severe injury troubles as well.

Perception of Baltimore in the marketplace got too high after their blowout over the Dolphins in week one. The Ravens struggled to beat Arizona at home. They were fortunate to win against Pittsburgh last week. 

Baltimore ranks second to last in the NFL in yards per play allowed. It's hard to win by a margin when your defense is as bad as the Ravens. They have a lot of injury issues on defense and it is showing up in a big way.

Cincinnati isn't a good team. The Bengals have played two very close games on the road though already this year. Those games were at Seattle and at Buffalo. The Bengals have played the 8th toughest schedule in the NFL this year. Cincinnati should be better offensively since the Ravens don't have a very good pass rush.

Baltimore should win here, but the Bengals are catching too many points in an AFC North battle.

Take Cincinnati. 

*4 Star Play on Rams* The San Francisco 49ers have had a really good year thus far. San Francisco is about to get their biggest test of the season though. The 49ers played the game on Monday night against Cleveland. The Rams had a bunch of extra time off since they played last Thursday against Seattle (in a game they should have won). 

The Rams aren't going to look past the 49ers in any way here. Sean McVay teams are 6-1 ATS when they have the rest advantage. They have the rest advantage here. Jared Goff has put up good numbers at home, and he still has good weapons around him. 

The 49ers have a couple very key injuries in FB Kyle Juszcyk and OL Mike McGLinchey who are out. The Rams pass rush should bother the 49ers a lot here.

This is a chance to buy low on the Rams and sell high on the 49ers. The 49ers are good and much improved, but the Rams are still better and are in the much better situational spot.

Take the Rams. 

*4 Star Play Over* The Arizona Cardinals offense had a lot of success against Cincinnati last weekend. I don't think the Cardinals offense will be all that good against quality defenses this year, but I do think they'll have a lot of success against the bottom of the barrel defenses. 

The Atlanta Falcons secondary is an absolute nightmare. Dan Quinn's defense is blowing assignments and giving up way too many big plays. Kyler Murray had a confidence building game last weekend, and I expect him to have a good game here.

Arizona's secondary is a big problem as well. Matt Ryan and the Falcons still have a lot of weapons on the outside. Look for Ryan to find a lot of open receivers on Sunday afternoon in Arizona.

A lot of tempo in this one and this number is too low.

Take the over.