Kyle Hunter

23-7 last 30 CBB totals. 62-34 last 96 CFB totals. A big card up for Friday night.

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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS

Match Up	Pick	Rating	Score	Result	Profit	Analysis
James Madison vs Kentucky	UNDER 157½ -108	Premium	80-89	Loss	-108	Show
3 Star Play Under The Kentucky Wildcats have played much slower both in their season opener and through their exhibition schedule. Mark Pope has said by late in the season they will be pushing the pace, but they need an adjustment period with youngsters. Kentucky had three exhibitions that played to well under this total in regulation. The Wildcats have worked on their defense quite a bit in the offseason. They also then held Manhattan to just 57 points. I don't think James Madison will be able to do very much here in this one. James Madison prefers a slower pace with Spradlin as their coach. Take the under here.
Boston University vs Brown	UNDER 160½ -115	Top Premium	72-67	Win	100	Show
5 Star Top Play Under Brown is still being priced like a team that wants to run and gun, but Eric Reveno is looking for them to slow things down some. He said he wants the team to have discipline and stop turning the ball over so much. Boston University has been a slow it down team for many years and I think they will be again this year. This line is far above my projected line for this one. Take the under as a top play. A 5 star play down to 154- a 4 star down to 149.5 and a 3 star down to 145. Thanks and good luck
West Florida vs Florida International	OVER 154½ -110	Premium	75-85	Win	100	Show
3 Star Play Over FIU has a new coach who has said publicly his goal for their games to be played to a blistering pace of 90 possessions. That will be hard to do, but I do think they'll be pushing hard to press the issue and run and gun. FIU is likely to find a partner who wants to run in West Florida. Tanner Smith is the coach of West Florida, and he said the team's advantage is they will play a ton of people and aim to force turnovers and score with lightning speed before the defense gets back. As long as the shooting numbers are decent here- I think this one will be high scoring throughout. Take the over. I would play this all the way up to 159.5. Thanks and good luck
Tarleton State vs San Diego	UNDER 151 -110	Premium	90-96	Loss	-110	Show
3 Star Play Under The San Diego Toreros have a new coach in Coach Blount. He's made it clear that he wants the identity of this team to be a great defense that plays with physicality. San Diego was a run and gun type team that was poor on defense in the past, and I think they will be much improved at least in time on the defensive end. Tarleton State has a new coach in Coach Haut. I do think Tarleton will try to play fast, but I question whether they have be very efficient on the offensive end early on. They don't have a lot of clear go to scorers. I view San Diego as an under team and I think they slow the game down when they can. Take the under here. I would play this as low as 146. Thanks and good luck
TCU vs Arizona	UNDER 45½ -110	Premium	28-29	Loss	-110	Show
3 Star Play Under The TCU Horned Frogs are going in on running the football and playing at a slow tempo. TCU has played six games in a row below this posted total, and that even includes a game against West Virginia. Arizona's defense is 13th in success rate allowed. Gonzales is a great defensive coordinator and I think they'll have a good game plan to bother Craig and the TCU offense. TCU's defense is 6th in the nation in success rate allowed. They are 1st in standard downs explosiveness allowed. They are one of the most improved defenses in the nation. I see this being a tight lower scoring game. Take the under. I would play this down to 42.5 at the lowest
New Mexico vs Nevada	UNDER 42½ -110	Premium	31-3	Win	100	Show
4 Star Play Under The Nevada Wolf Pack defense has showed me a lot in recent weeks. Nevada held UCLA to 5.1 yards per play in their 27-0 loss. Nevada held North Dakota State to 4.9 yards per play in their loss to them as well. Nevada has quarterback problems due to injuries and poor play, and their offense is a mess. New Mexico is among the five slowest teams in the country in terms of pace. Jason Eck's team doesn't throw the ball well at all. They'll want to run it, and they'll have some success, but Nevada has been good at not allowing the explosive plays on the ground. A lot of running and moving clock in this one. Take the under. I would play this for 4 stars down to 41 and 3 stars down to 38. Thanks and good luck.
South Florida vs East Carolina	UNDER 45½ -110	Premium	17-20	Win	100	Show
3 Star Play Under The USF Bulls rank in the bottom 20 teams in the country in pace of play. Brian Hartline’s team is moving very slowly this season. The Bulls have struggled to score all season. They did score 30 this past weekend, but that was thanks to turnovers from UAB rather than the USF offense having much success. The Bulls only had 4.3 yards per play and 13 first downs in the game, so the offense struggled badly. E Carolina has already had a bunch of low scoring battles this year. The Pirates defense is far ahead of their offense. They just won 17-9 over Temple this past weekend, and Temple has been in a bunch of higher scoring games. I see both defensive fronts having success here and the opposing offense getting behind the sticks. Take the under. I would play this down to 42.5 but not lower. Thanks and good luck

PICKS IN PROGRESS

Nov 07 '26, 12:00 PM

Play Type: Premium Pick

NCAA-F | BYU vs Utah

Play on: UNDER 49 -110 [Won: $100]

Game Analysis

*3 Star Play Under* The BYU Cougars and Utah Utes square off in The Holy War which kicks at noon eastern. An early kickoff here in Utah, but these guys will be ready to go. The intensity and physicality of this matchup is always top notch. This series has gone under this posted total in 8 of the last 10 meetings. There is a long history of lower scoring very tight matchups between these two teams.

Both of these teams are run heavy, and both of them play at a below average pace. They are 94th and 128th in pace of play. The two defenses are 22nd and 28th in YPC allowed. The two defenses are both in the top 15 nationally in explosiveness allowed.

I think this means that both offenses will gradually move the ball down the field and take a lot of time off the clock. This game clock should keep moving pretty quickly with all the rushing attempts.

These two teams know each other very well.

Take the under.

Pick Released on Nov 05 at 02:27 pm

Nov 07 '26, 2:30 PM

Play Type: Premium Pick

NCAA-F | Georgia State vs Appalachian State

Play on: UNDER 55 -108 [Lost: -$108]

Game Analysis

*4 Star Play Under* The Georgia State Panthers will be without star quarterback Cameran Brown again for this game. Brown is the key to their offense, and the drop off to the second string quarterback is drastic. Georgia State will have to try to win with their improved defense. I expect they will run the ball more than normal in this one too.

Appalachian State's offense has sputtered in recent weeks. They have put up 2.9, 4.9, and 4.9 yards per play in three of their last four games. The Mountaineers offensive line has been poor. They are 127th nationally in offensive line yards, and 125th in stuff rate allowed.

Georgia State is 44th in defensive success rate. They are 38th in red zone defense. This is a stop unit is a lot better than a year ago.

App State is pretty good against the run on defense. They are 41st in YPC allowed. They have struggled at times against the pass, but Georgia State is less likely to be able to take advantage of that with their QB situation.

The weather in Boone is helpful for lower scoring too. Sustained winds of 12 mph with gusts to 25 mph are in the forecast.

Take the under here.

*I would play this for 4 stars down to 53.5 and for 3 stars down to 51. Thanks and good luck*

Pick Released on Nov 05 at 02:04 pm

Nov 07 '26, 4:00 PM

Play Type: Premium Pick

NCAA-F | Rice vs North Texas

Play on: OVER 64 -110 [Won: $100]

Game Analysis

*3 Star Play Over* The North Texas Mean Green offense has been awesome this year. The Mean Green are averaging a whopping 43.8 points per game. They have been amazingly consistent. Other than their game against Indiana, they have scored at least 35 points in every other game.

The Rice defense is a weakness. The Owls are 109th in QBR allowed. They are 105th in passing explosiveness allowed. Rice is 100th in yards per carry allowed too. The Owls have been terrible in red zone defense. They are 101st in points per scoring opportunity allowed. That's important because North Texas is 11th nationally in points per scoring opportunity on offense.

The North Texas defense is 82nd in success rate allowed. They are 114th in points per opportunity allowed. Rice has an explosive new quarterback in Gael Ochoa. He is a dynamic runner. He averaged more than 20 yards per carry against Florida Atlantic. While I certainly don't expect that here, I do think Rice can move the ball and score a good amount.

Take the over.

Pick Released on Nov 04 at 04:07 pm

Nov 07 '26, 12:00 PM

Play Type: Premium Pick

NCAA-F | North Carolina vs Connecticut

Play on: OVER 53½ -110 [Won: $100]

Game Analysis

*3 Star Play Over* The UConn Huskies have played quickly this year. They are 26th in the nation in seconds per play. The Huskies have decided to push the issue tempo wise. North Carolina rates as about average in tempo. There should be quite a few possessions here.

UConn's defense isn't good enough against quality opposing offenses. UConn gave up 35 points to Air Force. They allowed 42 in overtime against Syracuse. They allowed 38 points against Maryland at home. I think North Carolina's improving offensive attack should do a lot of work on this Huskies defense.

UConn is 14th in PPA/rush and North Carolina is 116th in rushing play success rate allowed. I think UConn can run well here and mix in some play action to hit some big gainers.

I think total is several points low.

Take the over.

*I would play this as high as 57 points. Thanks and good luck*

Pick Released on Nov 02 at 04:48 pm

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