San Francisco is my pick to cover against the Seattle Seahawks this Sunday. Going into this NFC West matchup the 49ers are 4-0 and Seattle is 3-1. As mentioned earlier the 49ers have been playing some great football. With Brock Purdy throwing like he knows what he's doing and avoiding all negative plays the San Francisco offense has been elite. Their line hasn't given up one sack all season. This will come into play against a tough Seattle defense.

Another thing about the San Francisco offense is how multiple ways they can attack. With Christian McCaffrey they have a great running back and receiver. On top of that they have George Kittle and Mike Evans. Seattle may have one of the best defenses in the league but they should have no problem moving the ball and controlling time of possession. On defense the 49ers will be missing Nick Bosa. But they should be able to limit the run game and force Sam Darnold to beat them through the air.

The 49ers are also looking to avenge their last two games against Seattle. They will definitely have this game circled. I think San Francisco has a great chance to come out on top. Taking the points should be a good bet.

Jim’s Play: 469. 49ers

Las Vegas should be an enticing play as a road dog this Sunday against the Patriots. Coming into this game Vegas is 3-1 while New England sits at 2-2. Vegas has covered all of their games this season. I think what can give Las Vegas the edge is their pass offense. Kirk Cousins has had a great start to his season throwing for 11 touchdowns. Allowing Vegas to score 28.8 ppg this season. TE Brock Bowers is going to be a mismatch against linebackers and DB's. If Las Vegas can take advantage of some of the injuries on the Patriots secondary with CB's Christian Gonzalez and Carlton Davis III out they should be able to gain some yardage in the air.

On defense I think the Raiders will have plenty of opportunities to harass Patriots QB Drake Maye. They have had some inconsistency in their passing attack and Maye has thrown 7 INTs to only 4 TD passes. Vegas has allowed for the 6th lowest defensive EPA per pass attempt. So expect some pressure from Maxx Crosby and co. Against a Patriots offensive line that has struggled in pass protection. New England has also lost some depth at WR with A.J. Brown being injured. And having their top receiver Mack Hollins go on IR as well. So expect Vegas to continue to apply pressure and maybe get some takeaways against Maye.

I know the Patriots came away with a big win over Buffalo last week. But this should be a tough matchup for them against a more efficient offense. Las Vegas will need to stop the run better and not let New England control the clock. But with Kirk Cousins playing good football and Brock Bowers making plays I think the Raiders can pull this one out and cover the number. 

Jim’s Play: 461. Raiders

I'm going with the Chicago Bears as my NFC North Game of the Month this Sunday. They'll be heading to Lambeau Field to take on the Green Bay Packers. Chicago comes into this game 3-1 and the Packers sit at 2-2. One of the things that stands out about Chicago is their rushing attack. The Bears currently lead the league in rushing with an average of 196.3 yards per game and the Packers allow one of the most rushing yards per game in the NFL. With Kyle Monangai out with injury the Bears still have a very potent running back in D'Andre Swift that can help them run the ball down the Packers throats. Chicago also leads the league in time of possession which should come in handy in this matchup against their division rival.

With Caleb Williams out with an injury we can expect to see Tyson Bagent take the field once again. He showed great ability last week when playing against the Jets. Bagent went 25/34 for 268 yards and was able to rack up 492 yards of offense in a 23-12 win. On the defensive side the Bears have only given up 28 points over the last three games. They should be able to get some pressure on Jordan Love as well since the Packers offensive line will be missing some players due to injuries. The Packers have had trouble gaining yards on y ground as they are currently averaging 58 yards per game which is the lowest in the NFL. This may lead to more pass plays by the Packers which will allow the Bears defense to step up. I think we can see another win for the Bears over the Packers. They've already beaten them 2 times this past season. Including one in the NFC wild card round. Expect the Bears to dominate at the line of scrimmage and control the time of possession to give them yet another win over their division rival. Bears will be my NFC North Game of the Month pick.

Jim’s Play:473. Bears 

I'm going to take the OVER here on Sunday between the Detroit Lions and the Arizona Cardinals. Detroit has gone over in every game they've played this season. They have a great offense and their defense can't seem to keep teams under. They are averaging close to 30 points per game so far this year. Jared Goff has passed for 1,214 yards 9 TD and 0 INT this season. He has many weapons to throw the ball to such as Jahmyr Gibbs, Amon-Ra St. Brown and Sam LaPorta. The Arizona defense has given up at least 31 points in their last 3 games. They haven't been able to put much pressure on the quarterback which will allow Goff to continue to have great games.

Detroit can also score plenty of points against Arizona's defense. They allowed 32 points to the Panthers last week and lost 32-26. Arizona lost 36-24 to the Giants last week. They have some good weapons to help Jacoby Brissett out like Trey McBride, Michael Wilson and Jeremiyah Love. Arizona will be missing Marvin Harrison Jr. but should still be able to gain some points against Detroit's weak defense. If Detroit goes out and takes an early lead Arizona will be forced to throw the ball more. Detroit can score close to 35 points by themselves and Arizona will definitely add to that number. I believe these two teams will score a combined 57+ points. This number went up from 49.5 to 54.5 which makes this play harder but I still think we see 57 points.

Jim’s Play: 471. Lions/Cards Over

I think the Pittsburgh Steelers will be able to get a big win over the Indianapolis Colts on Sunday. They have won their last two games at home so they should have an advantage playing in front of their home crowd. With how bad Indianapolis' defense has been this year I feel like Pittsburgh can exploit them with their run game with Jaylen Warren and then throw to Aaron Rodgers who will be able to target a soft Colts defense. Rodgers has passed for 999 yards and 7 touchdowns this season and he should be able to get some big plays out of DK Metcalf as well. Pittsburgh should be able to score a lot of points against Indianapolis who have allowed 26 points per game this season.

On defense the Steelers will have to stop Jonathan Taylor and force Daniel Jones to beat them through the air. Jones has already thrown 4 interceptions this season and I think Pittsburgh will be able to pressure him with their pass rush. They will also have more time to study Indianapolis because they played last Thursday against Cleveland. Pittsburgh should also have the advantage with the Colts not having Arden Key playing on defense. Pittsburgh was able to beat Indianapolis last year by creating turnovers and I think we will see that again this Sunday. The Steelers should be able to keep the game under control and make Jones throw another pick or two to win this game. 

Jim’s Play: 454. Steelers

The Giants have been playing some good football this year so far. I think they can cover the spread on Sunday against their division rival the Washington Commanders. NY comes in 3-1 and has won back to back. Washington has dropped their last 3 games to fall to 1-3. I think the Giants will continue to play physical football under coach Harbaugh. Being able to control the game with the clock and run the ball with Skattebo should go a long way against a Washington team that's giving up 30.5 points a game. Jameis Winston has the talent to beat this Commander's defense. He has Malik Nabers in his corner which should be enough to get the job done. I think we will see some good drives from the Giants on Sunday.

I also think the Giants defense will be able to key in on this Washington team that is missing many pieces. QB Jayden Daniels will be back after sitting out 2 games due to a dislocated elbow. He will be playing with a brace on his arm which should slow him down. There will also be no Stefon Diggs and Terry McLaughlin is listed as questionable. This will allow the Giants defense to focus on stopping the run from Daniels and force them to use their other receivers. The Giants have played very well on defense and rookie linebacker Arvell Reese can create plays for them as well. Coming off a 30-13 loss in London vs Indianapolis should be a tough week for them to turn around. I think with rain coming we will see a gritty NFC East game. Field position and turn overs will play a big role in this game. I believe the Giants can cover and win this game. 

Jim’s Play: 464. Giants