Jack's Free Pick Sunday: Detroit Tigers -118

The Detroit Tigers have scored 4 runs or more in seven of their last eight games overall, including 6 runs or more five times.  They are really starting to rake right now.  Not only do they have the advantage at the plate today, they have a huge advantage on the mound and should be bigger favorites as a result.

Casey Mize is 3-5 with a 2.63 ERA and 0.97 WHIP in 12 starts for the Tigers this season.  He has only allowed 19 earned runs and 4 homers in 65 innings with 68 K's.  Mize has posted a 2.57 ERA and 0.71 WHIP in three career starts against the Rangers, allowing just 4 earned runs and 10 base runners in 14 innings.

Kumar Rocker is 1-5 with a 4.00 ERA and 1.38 WHIP in nine home starts this season.  He allowed 6 earned runs in 3 1/3 innings to the Twins in his last home start.  Rocker also allowed 5 earned runs in 2 innings in his lone start against Detroit this season back on May 2nd.  Bet the Tigers Sunday.

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15* MLB Sunday Total DOMINATOR on White Sox/Guardians UNDER 8.5

Rain is possible with light winds blowing in from center in Cleveland today.  This is one of the most pitcher-friendly parks in baseball, and these are two of the worst lineups in baseball in their current state.  This total of 8.5 has been set too high today as a result.

The White Sox will make this a bullpen game starting with Chris Murphy, who has a 3.79 ERA this season while allowing just 8 earned runs and one homer in 19 innings.  They have a decent bullpen with a 4.13 ERA this season, including a 2.98 ERA in division games.

Tanner Bibee is 2-9 in spite of a 3.69 ERA and 1.11 WHIP in 18 starts for the Guardians this season.  He is 1-5 with a 3.45 ERA and 1.10 WHIP in 10 home starts.  Bibee has pitched well, but he's not getting much run support which is the reason for his poor record.  Bibee has owned the White Sox pitching 15 shutout innings while allowing just 6 base runners in his last two starts against them.

The UNDER is 7-2 in the last nine meetings between the White Sox and Guardians with 7 or fewer combined runs in seven of those nine meetings.  This total of 8.5 has been set too high today.  Bet the UNDER in this game Sunday.

20* MLB TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Twins/Yankees OVER 8

The Minnesota Twins are a dead nuts OVER team.  They have gone 57-32-1 OVER in all games this season.  That includes 25-10-1 OVER in their last 36 games overall with 9 or more combined runs in 24 of their last 33 games, and 10 or more in 22 of those.  They Twins are scoring 4.9 runs per game and allowing 5.2 runs per game this season.

The Yankees are finally getting healthier and getting some important bats back in the lineup.  Despite all their injuries, they are still scoring 4.8 runs per game.  They have gone 4-2 OVER in their last six games overall finishing with 9 or more combined runs in four of those.

Joe Ryan is 2-2 with a 4.09 ERA in eight road starts this season.  Ryan has been rocked in his last two starts allowing 10 earned runs in 10 innings.  He has allowed 5 earned runs in 12 innings in his last two starts against the Yankees.  Ryan is backed by one of the worst bullpens in baseball with the Twins having a 5.28 ERA this season.

Ryan Weathers is 3-6 with a 4.08 ERA in 16 starts for the Yankees this season allowing 16 homers in 88 1/3 innings.  Weathers has allowed 5 earned runs or more in four of his last eight starts.  Temps will be in the 80's in New York today so the ball should be flying out again.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on Pirates/Nationals OVER 9.5

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 9.5 ticket between the Pirates and Nationals today.  Temps will be in the 90's with light winds blowing out to center.

The Nationals are a dead nuts OVER team going 52-35-3 OVER in all games this season.  They are scoring 5.3 runs per game and allowing 5.2 runs per game.  The Pirates are also an OVER team thsi season going 52-36-2 OVER in all games this season.  They have one of the most underrated offenses in baseball scoring 5.2 runs per game.

Bubba Chandler has been a gas can this season going 3-8 with a 4.62 ERA and 1.38 WHIP in 16 starts.  Chandler allowed 5 earned runs in 6 1/3 innings to the Phillies in his last start.  The Pirates have a 4.41 ERA as a bullpen.

Cade Cavalli is 5-4 with a 3.69 ERA and 1.33 WHIP in 18 starts for the Nationals this season.  Cavalli has allowed 7 earned runs in 6 1/3 innings in two career starts against the Pirates.  One of those came earlier this season when he allowed 4 earned runs in 1 1/3 innings of a 16-5 loss to the Pirates.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.