Frank Sawyer is on a 23 of 35 (66%) NBA TOTALS TEAR -- and he furthers his SIZZLING 4 of 6 (67%) NBA Game of the Year/Month Totals run with his 25* NBA Eastern Conference Total of the Year!
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Take the Brooklyn Nets plus the points versus the Charlotte Hornets. Brooklyn (30-30) looks to rebound from their 113-99 loss to Portland on Thursday as a 3-point underdog. The Nets have then covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a double-digit loss at home. Brooklyn has also covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games on the road. Charlotte (28-30) comes off a 123-110 win over Washington last night as a 5-point favorite. But the Hornets have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games played without a day of rest. Charlotte has also played 9 of their last 13 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. Take Brooklyn plus the points. Best of luck — Frank.
Frank Sawyer’s Hollywood Sports is on a 23 of 35 (66%) NBA TOTALS TEAR that has fueled a 103 of 160 (64%) NBA long-term Totals mark! Now Frank furthers his SIZZLING 4 of 6 (67%) NBA Game of the Year/Month Totals run with ONE OF HIS TOP TOTALS PLAYS FOR THE ENTIRE SEASON with his 25* NBA Eastern Conference Total of the Year! DO NOT DARE MISS OUT!
PICKS IN PROGRESS
At 12:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between Crystal Palace (200021) and Leicester City (200022). THE SITUATION: Crystal Palace (7-6-13) returns to the pitch after a 1-1 draw with West Ham in their last English Premier League match back on February 9th. Leicester City (9-5-12) looks to bounce-back from a 3-1 loss at Tottenham back on February 10th.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Crystal Palace is unbeaten in their last five matches in all competitions — and they are getting it done with strong defensive play. The Eagles have scored only four goals in their last three EPL contests — but they have surrendered just two goals in those contests. Crystal Palace goes on the road where they are 4-2-7 this season while scoring 18 goals and surrendering 22 goals. But the deeper metrics indicate they should be playing lower scoring games when playing in hostile territory. Their Expected Goals scored number drops significantly to just 13.72 goals in those thirteen contests — and their Expected Goals allowed also drops to 18.66. Looking closer, a disproportionate number of the goals being scored when the Eagles are on the road are in matches versus the Power Six clubs. In their nine matches on the road against non-Power Six sides, Crystal Palace has scored 11 goals while allowing only 13 goals which is right on track for an Under in this contest. Leicester City is winless in their last five EPL matches. They are struggling to find the back of the net as they have scored only two goals over their last three matches. Manager Claude Puel chose not to start his best attacker, Jamie Vardy, in that last match against the Spurs. Vardy did come on as a substitute and scored the Foxes loan goal — but it is not clear if he is in the doghouse or if Puel is simply dissatisfied with his effort. Leicester City returns home where they are 4-2-6 this season. They have only scored 13 goals in their last twelve home matches which the fourth lowest in the EPL. But the Foxes have allowed only 13 goals at home as well so they are used to playing tight, low-scoring matches on their pitch. In their last three home contests, Leicester City has scored only one goal while surrendering four. Puel has his team playing a defensive-oriented strategy. In their seventeen matches against non-Power Six sides, the Foxes have allowed only 19 goals. Goals are even harder to come by when Leicester City is hosting a non-Power Six team. In those fourteen matches, the Foxes have scored 13 goals and allowed 13 goals to produce an average that is below 2.0 combined goals per game. Furthermore, in their last five home matches against non-Power Six sides, Leicester City has scored 5 times while allowing only 4 goals.
FINAL TAKE: Both of these teams do a good job of limiting their opponents shot opportunities. Crystal Palace is 7th in the EPL by allowing 12.5 shots per game. Leicester City is 5th in the league by allowing only 11.6 shots per game — and that number drops to just 10 shots per game when they are playing at home at King Power Stadium which is the 4th best mark in the English Premier League. 25* EPL Saturday NBC-TV O/U Special Feature with Under the Total in the game between Crystal Palace (200021) and Leicester City (200022). Best of luck for us — Frank.