Frank Sawyer is on a RED HOT 8 of 12 (67%) Game of the Year/Month run in All-Sports -- and now he UNLEASHES his 25* NBA-TV Game of the Year for Tuesday night!
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PICKS IN PROGRESS
At 8:05 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Utah Jazz (517) and the Houston Rockets (518). THE SITUATION: Utah (51-35) staved off elimination on Monday with their 107-91 upset win at home as a 2-point underdog against the Rockets (56-30). This series returns home to Houston for Game Five with the Rockets have another opportunity to close out this series.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Jazz have found success in this series by amping up their physicality on the defensive end of the court. Despite losing a heartbreaker on their home court last Saturday, Utah held the Rockets to just 38.4% shooting in Game Three before limiting them to only a 35.4% field goal percentage on Monday. The Jazz have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after an upset victory as a home underdog. Utah has also played 19 of their last 29 games Under the Total after a win on their home court. Furthermore, the Jazz have played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. And in their last 19 games against Western Conference opponents, Utah has played 13 of these games Under the Total. Houston has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total after a double-digit loss — and they have played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a loss by at least 10 points on the road. The Under is also 6-0-1 in the Rockets’ last 7 games after a straight-up loss — and they have played 5 straight games Under the Total after a point spread loss. Now Houston returns home where the Under is 7-2-1 in their last 10 games — and the Under is also 4-1-1 in the Rockets’ last 6 home games against teams with a losing record on the road. Furthermore, Houston has played 16 of their last 21 playoff games Under the Total when attempting to close out a series.
FINAL TAKE: The Rockets have played 9 of their last 13 games Under the Total when playing with revenge from a double-digit loss. These two teams have now played 6 of their last 8 meetings Under the Total. 10* NBA Wednesday Daily Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Utah Jazz (517) and the Houston Rockets (518). Best of luck for us — Frank.
At 8:05 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the Houston Rockets (518) minus the points versus the Utah Jazz (517). THE SITUATION: Utah (51-35) staved off elimination on Monday with their 107-91 upset win at home as a 2-point underdog against the Rockets (56-30). This series returns home to Houston for Game Five with the Rockets have another opportunity to close out this series.
REASONS TO TAKE THE ROCKETS MINUS THE POINTS: The Jazz entered the 4th quarter trailing Houston — but the Rockets missed their last thirteen shots from behind the arc which opened the door for the Jazz to earn their first win in this series. But Utah has failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after pulling off an upset victory. This Jazz team has also failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. And in their last 6 games in the Western Conference Quarterfinals, Utah has failed to cover the point spread 5 times. Houston should respond with a strong effort to close out this series as they are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games after a straight-up loss — and they are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games after a point spread loss. The Rockets played one of their worst offensive games of the season in that loss as their 35.4% shooting percentage was tied for the lowest for them in their last 75 games. The last two games of this series have finished Under the Total — but Houston has covered the point spread in 12 of their last 13 home games after playing at least two straight Unders. The Rockets are also 7-0-1 ATS in their last 8 games at home — and they have covered the point spread in 12 of their last 17 home games with the Total set in the 210 to 219.5 point range.
FINAL TAKE: Houston has covered the point spread in 11 of their last 14 games at home when looking to avenge a loss on the road. The Jazz are just 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings with the Rockets. Together, these team trends produce our specific 66-16-4 combined angle for this situation. 20* NBA Utah-Houston TNT-TV Special with the Houston Rockets (518) minus the points versus the Utah Jazz (517). Best of luck for us — Frank.
At 7:38 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the money-line on the Washington Capitals (24) versus the Carolina Hurricanes (23). THE SITUATION: Carolina (49-32-7) forced a climactic Game Seven on Monday with their 5-2 victory at home against the Capitals (51-29-8). This series returns to Washington for the final game tonight.
REASONS TO TAKE THE CAPITALS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Washington should respond with a strong effort after being outplayed on Monday. The Capitals have won 35 of their last 52 games after a loss by at least three goals. Washington has also won 29 of their last 43 games after a loss on the road — and they have won 8 of their last 10 games after allowing at least five goals in their last game. And while the Capitals have lost three of their last four games in this series after winning the first two games at home, they have then won 22 of their last 27 games after losing three of their last four games. Even without the injured T.J. Oshie, the reigning Stanley Cup champions have too much star power for the Hurricanes. This team will also be playing in its twelfth playoff Game Seven in the Alex Ovechkin era — so they have a significant experience advantage over this Hurricanes team that entered this series with just 342 combined games of playoff experience (as compared to the 1282 combined playoff games of experience for the Capitals). Washington is very tough at home where they have won 40 of their last 58 games with the Total sent at 5.5. The Capitals have also won 7 of their last 8 home games when priced as the favorite in the -110 to -150 price range. Carolina has lost 10 of their last 12 road games off a victory of at least three goals. This Hurricanes team remains undermanned with Andrei Svechnikov still out after suffering a concussion at the hands of an Ovechkin's fist — and Micheal Ferland also remains out with an upper-body injury. Carolina has lost 6 of their last 8 games on the road — and they have lost 9 of their last 13 road games with the Total set at 5.5. The Hurricanes have also lost 38 of their last 52 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% on their home ice. Furthermore, the Hurricanes have lost 13 of their last 16 games as an underdog priced in the +110 to +150 price range — and they have lost 6 straight playoff games as an underdog.
FINAL TAKE: Washington has won 28 of their last 40 games when avenging a loss on the road to their opponent. With their playoff experience, a significant edge at goalie between Braden Holtby versus Petr Mrazek and the best two players on the ice in Ovechkin and (albeit an underachieving) Evgeny Kuznetsov, the Capitals have too many advantages for this upstart Carolina team. 20* NHL Carolina-Washington NBC Sports Network Special with the money-line on the Washington Capitals (24) versus the Carolina Hurricanes (23). Best of luck for us — Frank.