Frank Sawyer

At 7:15 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the Tennessee Volunteers (677) plus the points versus the North Carolina Tar Heels (678). THE SITUATION: Tennessee (4-2) has lost two games in a row after their 69-60 loss to Kansas as a 1.5-point underdog in the Maui Invitational last Wednesday. North Carolina (5-1) rebounded from their overtime loss to Villanova in the Battle 4 Atlantis with an 87-72 win against Arkansas as a 3.5-point favorite in that tournament on Friday.

REASONS TO TAKE THE VOLUNTEERS PLUS THE POINTS: Tennessee faced a gauntlet in the Maui Invitational with a victory against Syracuse before losing to Purdue and then the Jayhawks — two teams that rank in the top-eight teams in the nation using Ken Pomeroy’s metrics. Pomeroy ranks their schedule as the 15th most difficult in the nation so far this season. They should play better tonight even against a very good Tar Heels team. Their 31.0% shooting percentage against Kansas was their worst shooting effort of the season. And while the Jayhawks’ 51.9% shooting percentage was the highest opponent’s shooting percentage against them this season, they still rank number one in the nation in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency using Pomeroy’s metrics. The Volunteers only made 33.3% of their shot against the Boilermakers — but they have covered the point spread in 9 of their last 14 games after failing to make at least 37% of their shots in two straight games. They have covered the point spread in 11 of their last 18 games after a straight-up loss — and they have covered the point spread in 55 of their last 88 games after losing two games in a row. And while they did not cover the point spread in those final two games in Maui, Tennessee has then covered the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games after failing to cover the point spread in two straight contests. North Carolina nailed 49.1% of their shots against the Razorbacks which was the best shooting effort in their last five contests. The Tar Heels have scored at least 81 points in three straight games — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 14 games after scoring 80 or more points in two or more games in a row. They have failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 13 games after winning four or five of their last six contests. And while this is their third game since last Thursday, they have failed to cover the point spread in 12 of their last 19 games when playing for at least the third time in the last seven days. This is not a great matchup for this North Carolina team that may be without starter Cormac Ryan who missed the Arkansas game with an ankle injury. The Volunteers launch 41.3% of their shots from behind the arc — and the Tar Heels rank 312th in allowing open 3s. North Carolina is making 36.9% of their shots from 3-point range — but now they face a Tennessee team that ranks 27th in the nation with their opponents making only 26.7% of their 3-pointers. The Tar Heels only make 51.2% of their shots inside the arc, ranking 157th in the nation. And while North Carolina plays at a fast pace and averages 62 shots per game, the Volunteers have covered the point spread in 11 of their last 14 games against teams who average 62 or more shots per game. The Tar Heels have failed to cover the point spread in 16 of their last 20 games in November — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 13 of their last 16 games when listed in the +/- 3-point range.

FINAL TAKE: Pomeroy ranks North Carolina’s schedule as the 127th most difficult so far this season — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 18 of their last 27 games against teams with a winning record. And while Tennessee is outscoring their opponents by +12.2 net Points-Per-Game, the Tar Heels have failed to cover the point spread in 17 of their last 25 games against teams who are outscoring their opponents by +4.0 or more PPG. 10* CBB Tennessee-North Carolina ESPN Special with the Tennessee Volunteers (677) plus the points versus the North Carolina Tar Heels (678). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 7:40 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the Toronto Raptors (562) plus the points versus the Phoenix Suns (561). THE SITUATION: Toronto (8-10) has lost two games in a row after their 115-103 loss at Brooklyn as a 1-point underdog last night. Phoenix (11-6) has won seven games in a row after their 116-113 upset win at New York against the Knicks as a 6.5-point underdog on Sunday.

REASONS TO TAKE THE RAPTORS PLUS THE POINTS: Toronto only made 38.6% of their shots against the Nets which was the worst shooting effort in their last nine contests. The Raptors can struggle to make shots — especially in the half-court — but they should be able to get their offense going against this Nets team that is underachieving with their play on defense. Brooklyn ranks 18th in the NBA with an Adjusted Defensive Efficiency of 113.8. Toronto’s size coming from the four forwards in their starting unit helps them get second-chance scoring opportunities — they rank tenth in the league by pulling down 30.7% of their missed shots. The most encouraging development for this team has been with Scottie Barnes in his third season in the league. After struggling with his outside shot in his first two seasons, he is making 38.0% of his 3-pointers this year en route to his 18.9 PPG scoring average. With Fred VanVleet gone in free agency in the offseason, Barnes has stepped up to become the leader of this team — and a front-line of            Pascal Siakam, OG Anunoby, and Barnes is a formidable front line. Veteran point guard Dennis Schroder has been solid running the offense in VanVleet’s place. Toronto has covered the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games after a straight-up loss this season — and they have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 6 games after failing to score more than 105 points in their last game. They return home where they have covered the point spread in 18 of their last 29 games when listed in the +/- 3-point range. Phoenix’s upset win against the Knicks cashed the over for bettors who had tickets at 218.5 — and the Suns have failed to cover the point spread in 22 of their last 28 games on the road after playing a game that went Over the Total. The team is adjusting to their first-year head coach Frank Vogel — and his teams have failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 18 games when on a seven-game or more winning streak. Phoenix comes into this game at less than full strength with Bradley Beal still out for this team with a back injury. Kevin Durant is questionable with a foot injury that has kept him out the last two games — and Grayson Allen is questionable with an illness. The Suns have a big game on deck two days from now against Denver so they may be looking ahead as well.

FINAL TAKE: The Raptors are shooting 46.4% from the field this season — and Phoenix has failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games against teams making 46% or more of their shots from the field. 8* NBA Wednesday Daily Discounted Deal with the Toronto Raptors (562) plus the points versus the Phoenix Suns (561). Best of luck for us — Frank.