Now on an 18-8 overall run as Davidson continues our run on Top Plays. We kick this Saturday College Basketball card off early with a Noon Eastern start. Big matchup issues for one of these clubs, and the opponent h
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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
| Match Up | Pick | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davidson vs Rhode Island | Davidson PK -110 | Premium | 75-66 | Win | 100 | Show |
PICKS IN PROGRESS
602 Northern Illinois at Toledo
20-6 Rockets are off back to back losses with road games at Ball State and Central Michigan on deck. Huskies have had a full week off, so it may come out a bit rusty to start this game. Northern Illinois allows 48.2% of opponents shots to come from behind the arc. That’s not a good thing when we see the Rockers making 37.1% from long range on the season. Great spot for the Rockets and the matchup favors Toledo to dominate from distance on its own home court.
PLAY TOLEDO
632 Indiana State at Missouri State
The Bears are off an embarrassing loss, being held to just 43 points against Northern Iowa, a team they lost twice to this season. That offensive output was 12 points worse than in any other game this season. Missouri State matches up well in this contest, as the Bears weakness is allowing 40.6% success from 3 point range, but Indiana State only attempts 28.3% of its shots from long range.
The Sycamores attempt way to many midrange shots, and Missouri State funnels its defense to force the opposition to take 38% of its shots from that low percentage area. Missouri State is also excellent defensively at the rim allowing only 23% of opponents shots to be taken in that high success area.
PLAY MISSOURI STATE
607 Virginia at Louisville
The Cavaliers haven’t lost to a team other than Duke all season. This team is even better on the road than at home, a clear sign of a team that can go deep in the big dance.
This is a terrible matchup for the Cardinals who take 43.4% of its shots from long range. Virginia allows only 25.8% success defensively from beyond the arc. We saw how bad Louisville struggled last time out against a defense that made them one dimensional, as Syracuse held them to 49 points in a 20 point loss.
PLAY VIRGINIA