Bryan Leonard

326 Indiana at Penn State

The line on this game looks completely reasonable if you just look at the year to date stats. But a closer look at the opposition shows the Nittany Lions to have played a whopping 73 spot tougher schedule. The Hoosiers played one good team on the season, a 51-10 loss to Ohio State. Penn State has faced the likes of Pittsburgh, Iowa, Michigan and Minnesota. While this is a sandwich game for the host, off Minnesota and with Ohio State on deck. Indiana just became the final team from a power five conference to make the Top 25. And if you’ve followed teams getting into the Top 25 this year, you know they have faltered badly the following week. 

Penn State is the better coached and more talented squad, off a loss and playing at home. This line is cheap.

PLAY PENN STATE

322 Virginia Tech at Georgia Tech

Two teams playing much better ball as of late. The Hokies have won 4 of 5 with the only loss coming at Notre Dame. But over the past six contests the team has lost the combined yardage battle by 253, and the first down battle by 21. Turnovers have been a major key to winning with a +2 margin. Tech has also just one road victory on the season, and in that win the Hokies were outgained by 226 yards.

Georgia Tech has played a 30 spot tougher schedule. While the team is just 2-7 on the season, it’s been very competitive in the first year of a new coach and system. With the Yellow Jackets playing its last three games at home, we look for Georgia Tech to make solid strides to end the season. An outright victory here is not out of the question.

PLAY GEORGIA TECH

336 Minnesota at Iowa

Huge letdown spot for the Golden Gophers, who called last week's game against Penn State the biggest home game in the stadiums history. After that storm the field game we can easily see why Minnesota would have a hard time getting back up for this contest. 

Iowa on the other hand doesn't have nearly the same expectations, especially after coming up short last week at Wisconsin. But our numbers show the Hawkeyes to be the slightly better team, as Minnesota has taken advantage of a weak schedule.

PLAY IOWA

378 Texas at Iowa State

Triple revenge game for the Cyclones who took Oklahoma to the wire last week in a confidence building loss. With only Kansas on deck we look for this Iowa State team to win going away. This club has produced game scores of 100 or higher in 7 of its last 8 games. Much more impressive than its 5-4 record on the season. After three of four weeks on the road it will be nice to get back home here. 

As opposed to Iowa State, Texas has produced a game score of 100+ just once the past six games. That was last week hosting Kansas State. With a 6-3 record many would assume this line to be too high, but we firmly disagree. Texas has not been impressive this season as we expected, but have been very fortunate to fall on the right side of coin flip games. The Longhorns are 3-0 in games decided by six points or less. Iowa State on the other hand is 1-3 in games of six points or less. 

PLAY IOWA STATE