Big Al McMordie

At 6:35 pm, our selection is on the Baltimore Orioles over the Toronto Blue Jays.  There's no doubt that Baltimore's trade for Corbin Burnes in the off-season was one of the biggest acquisitions of this past winter.  And through his first five starts it seemed the 29-year-old RH could do almost nothing wrong -- and the Orioles as well when he was out there.  Burnes went 3-0 in those first five while the O's went 5-0.  But Baltimore has lost Burnes' last three starts as the team has managed just two total runs in those games (and been shut out in the last two of them).  So although he's still been pitching very well, Burnes has hit a bit of a rough patch due to a lack of run support.  Perhaps a start against the Blue Jays -- the second of his career -- will turn things around.  Teams tend to score runs in bunches against Toronto lately.  In the Jays' last six games they've allowed a total of 40 runs (almost seven per game).  Toronto is 4-12 this season as an underdog.  And Burnes won his only previous start vs. Toronto, allowing three runs on five hits in 7 2/3 IP in a 5-4 Milwaukee victory in 2022.  Take the O's.  As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma City Thunder over the Dallas Mavericks.  OKC lost narrowly, 105-101, in Game 3 at Dallas.  The Thunder, though, have been sensational off a straight-up loss, when playing with revenge, as they've gone 59-33-2 ATS.  Meanwhile, Dallas is 32-56-2 ATS off a SU win, if it was playing a .333 (or better) revenge-minded foe.  OKC has gone 9-5 ATS vs. the Mavericks since 2022, and 35-16-2 ATS off a loss by 6 or less points.  And NBA teams off narrow SU/ATS Playoff losses by 6 or less points have rebounded to go 44-19 ATS.  Take the Thunder.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, on Monday, our selection is on the UNDER in Game 4 between the Boston Celtics and Cleveland Cavaliers.  We played on the under in Game 3, and easily cashed, as it went under by 12.5 points.  We will come right back with the under in Game 4, as Cleveland is 15-4 Under its last 19 playoff games, including 11-1 under when the O/U line was > 203 points.  And Boston has gone under its last 5 road playoff games.  Finally, the under falls into an NBA Totals system of mine which is 217-133 since 1990.  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.