ASA

ASA play on: Utah Jazz +8.5 over Houston Rockets, Wednesday 8PM ET – Game 5 - The money is clearly on the Rockets in this game with the vast majority of tickets and money siding with the Rockets. But based on the volume of wagering the line hasn’t moved as it should. That’s a clear indicator that smart money is on the Utah Jazz. The Utah Jazz finished the regular season on a blistering 30-11 SU run but public bettors have forgotten that after three straight Rockets wins to start this series. The 3-1 Houston lead in this series has led to tremendous value with the Jazz here in Game 5. The Rockets potential undoing this post season will be there defense which ranked 18th in DEFF on the season. Of all the playoff teams, only the Spurs and Clippers were worse. Utah on the other hand had the 2nd best defensive efficiency rating in the NBA this season and it showed in Game 3 and 4. In Game 3, even though they lost, the Jazz held the Rockets to 38.4% shooting and 104 points. In Game 4, the Jazz limited the Rockets to just 35.4% from the field and 91 points. Both those numbers are drastically lower than their season average of 44.8% and 111.1PPG. The Utah Jazz have been plus 8 or more points just two times this entire season which tells us exactly how good they are. We know how well the favorites are doing in the post season but the value on this game is just too good to overlook the dog. Play on the Utah Jazz plus the points.  

ASA PLAY ON New York Mets over Philadelphia Phillies, Wednesday at 7:10 PM ET

The Phillies Vincent Velasquez has decent numbers on the season but did allow 7 hits in 5 innings in his most recent start. Also, he is 1-4 with a 4.58 ERA in his 8 starts against the Mets the past 3 seasons. Philadelphia is a mess right now. Yesterday's shutout loss drops them to 0-3 in their last 3 games and though it may be tempting to back them to bounce back off a shutout loss, Philadelphia is a poor 6-14 when coming off a shutout loss. Additionally, the Phillies have been held to 3 or less runs in 7 of their past 8 road games. They just aren't hitting the ball well at all and the losses of Odubel Herrera and Jean Segura to injury have really hurt the lineup. To add insult to injury (literally), another hot stick recently got hurt too as Scott Kingery was so hot at the plate the Phillies had moved him into a starting role and then he went down with an injury. That is why, even though Jason Vargas has struggled early this season, the Mets should hold the upper hand in this match-up. In road games against left-handed starters this season the Phillies are 0-3 and have scored an average of just 2 runs per game. Vargas had a bad start versus Atlanta this season where he didn't make it out of the first inning but he has a 3.00 ERA in his other two starts this season. The Mets are 3-0 in Vargas starts against the Phillies in his career and he has compiled a 2.76 ERA in those outings. New York is 10-4 in night games this season and get another W under the lights against the slumping Phillies tonight. Bet the Mets in early evening action Wednesday