ASA

#930 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Arizona -1.5 on the Run Line over Kansas City, Tuesday at 9:40 PM ET - Laying -1.5 runs here knocks the money line down to about even money. Arizona throws their ace Zac Gallen vs the light hitting Royals tonight. Gallen has been fantastic all season and we just don’t see KC’s offense doing much of anything tonight. Gallen has allowed just 5 ER’s all season in 7 starts for an ERA of 1.14. He’s been even better at home allowing 2 ER’s in 24 innings for an ERA of 0.75. The Royals offense has struggled ranking 24th in runs scored per game and their run differential of -60 is the worst in the American League. They have lost 7 of their last 9 games and 6 of those losses have come by at least 2 runs. Arizona’s offensive numbers for the season are not impressive due to a terrible start to the season at the plate. They’ve looked much better as of late averaging over 5 RPG through their last 10 games. They’ve hit .270 and scored nearly 7 RPG during that 10 game stretch vs right handed pitchers. Tonight they face righty Johnathan Heasley who has been a career minor leaguer for the most part. He has a total of 23 IP in the Majors in his 5 year career. This season he has pitched 8.1 innings, walked 7 batters and allowed 15 base runners. The Royals lost both of his starts this year by a combined score of 6 to 1. He has an ERA this season of 4.32 but he’s been rather lucky has his xERA is above 6.00. If Heasley has a short stint tonight, the KC bullpen ranks 3rd worst in the Majors in ERA and over their last 10 games the relievers have an ERA of almost 7.00. We like Arizona’s offense to have success tonight while KC will struggle to put numbers up vs one of the top starters in MLB. We’ll lay 1.5 runs in this one.

ASA top play on 10* UNDER 215.5 Golden State Warriors @ Dallas Mavericks, Tuesday Game 4 - The Mavs are facing elimination in large part because of poor offensive execution and bad shooting. For all his greatness, Luka is a ball-stopper on offense and there is very little movement by the rest of the players. That’s why the Mavs were last in the league in average time of possession before taking a shot at 15.5 seconds. In the regular season this Dallas team had just 7,902 total possessions which was by far the lowest number in the league. The Mavericks were not a great shooting team during the regular season, ranking 18th at 46.1% overall and 19th in 3-point percentage at 35%. Against a very good Warriors defense they have really struggled at 41% overall and 32% from Deep in this series. Golden State is 3rd overall in the league allowing 105.5PPG, 2nd in FG% D at 43.8% and 3rd in 3PT% defense allowing 33.9%. Golden State is obviously known for their shooters and offense but their points haven’t come easy against this sold Dallas defense that makes them earn every point. Dallas was 6th in defensive efficiency during the regular season allowing just 1.094PPP and 104.7PPG. What we have seen in this series is a steady decline in total field goal attempts with 168 in Game 1, 160 in Game 2 and 156 in Game 3. Those are well below the league average. We like Under here.