ASA

#903 ASA PLAY ON Milwaukee Brewers -110 over St Louis Cardinals, Friday at 8:15 PM ET - Brewers are 7-2 on the road this season and the Cardinals are only 3-3 at home.  Milwaukee is hitting .277 this season with a .445 slugging percentage! St Louis is hitting only .226 with a .353 slugging percentage. Brewers are currently without Yelich but, including the game he got hurt and had only one at-bat, Milwaukee has scored an average of 5.5 runs per game without him.  Brewers have other guys who have been swinging hot sticks so far this season.  St Louis, on the other hand, mostly has guys that are struggling at the plate and veteran Matt Carpenter (who could be in line for a solid season being happy to be back in St Louis) has been out with an injury. The pitching match-up here is Peralta versus Gibson.  Milwaukee's Peralta has been fantastic with a 2.55 ERA and has allowed only 10 hits in 18 innings plus has fanned 26!  Veteran starter Kyle Gibson is struggling for the Cardinals early this season.  He has allowed 5 homers in his 3 starts and been charged with 11 runs in 12 innings in his last two starts.  A lot of value with the Brewers here as there has been an overadjustment with Yelich currently out of the lineup.  Take advantage of a low pick'em price with the road team having a big pitching edge and overall hitting edge in this one!  Brewers get the call here Friday.  

#913 ASA PLAY ON Baltimore Orioles -135 over Kansas City Royals, Friday at 7:40 PM ET - The Royals are off to a solid start this season just like the Orioles. However, couple of key differences here.  First off, Baltimore is coming off a big season and plays in a tougher division while KC generally struggles and plays in, arguably, the weakest division in MLB.  Secondly, the key here is who KC has played in their 12-7 start. Kansas City has won 3 series against the Astros and White Sox (twice). However, Chicago and Houston enter tonight's games with a combined 9-29 record.  The Royals are 9-1 in their 10 games against those struggling clubs. However, they have had 3 other series including at Baltimore, and they went a combined 3-6 and lost every single one of those series. The Orioles enter this series having won 4 straight games and those were at home BUT they also have won 3 straight on the road!  Baltimore has scored  6.3 runs per game last 9 games.  The Royals have had one huge game at the plate in their last 6 games but have scored an average of only 1.8 runs in the other 5 games!  Kremer off a tough start but had been solid in his first two while Marsh has struggled in each of his last two starts. Lay it with the road team here!  Orioles get the call in this one Friday.  

ASA top play on 10* New Orleans Pelicans +1.5 vs. Sacramento Kings, 9:30 PM ET - We can’t pass on the Pelicans as a home dog here. We’ve seen it happen a million times, when a Super Star gets injured, in the very next game, someone shines in their absence. New Orleans is coming off a very tough home loss to the Lakers (outscored by 15 at the FT line) and will bounce back here. Sacramento on the other hand is off a huge win over the Warriors who eliminated them from the postseason last year. These two teams met in Sacramento on April 11th in a ‘must win’ for both teams and the Pelicans never trailed in a 12-point win. The Kings were -1.5-points in that game at home and are now favored on the road? This is a matchup problem for the Kings as they’ve lost 5 straight times this season to New Orleans. The Pelicans are far superior defensively with the 7th best defensive efficiency compared to the Kings who rank 15th. We are expecting a close game throughout but like the Pelicans to get it done at home.

ASA top play on 10* OVER 210 Sacramento Kings at New Orleans Pelicans, 9:30 PM ET - The oddsmakers have over-adjusted this number with the injury status of Zion Williamson. These two teams have met 5 times this season and put-up huge numbers in each of those games. They have combined to total 222 or more points in every clash this season and most recently amassed 258 total points just 7-days ago. The five meetings this season between these two have averaged 237.5PPG. We don’t see things changing here as both look to extend their seasons. We should get an average pace of play with the Kings ranking 13th in possessions per game and the Pelicans ranking 18th. The Kings do their scoring with volume as they attempt the 6th most field goals per game this season and 3rd most 3’s. The Pelicans do their damage offensively with the 9th best FG% and the 3rd best 3PT%. Sacramento is not a great defensive team to begin with so the Pels shouldn’t have any problems putting up a big offensive number here. The Kings held the Warriors to 94-points in their last game, but Golden State literally couldn’t throw it in the ocean, shooting 41% overall and 31% from Deep. The Pelicans scored 106 but attempted 93 field goal attempts. Had the Lakers not gotten to the FT line every other possession (surprise) this could have been a much higher scoring game if the Pelicans could have gotten into a rhythm. This number is simply too low and we expect a game closer to the league average of 227.4 total points.