Handicapper Art Aronson of AAA Sports Plays Free Picks & Best Bets

10* UNDER A's/Mariners (ASSASSIN)

Both teams have been involved in seeral higher-scoring games of late, but all signs point to a "duel" here finally between these AL clubs in what will be a perfect night weather wise in the PNW. Joey Estes has been recalled from Triple A to make this start. He posted a poor 6.04 ERA in the minors, but he's been brought up out of necessity. The bottom line here is though that we aren't going to lay the steep chalk with Bryce Miller and the Mariners, but we just don't see the A's posting much offense here. Miller is 3-2 with a 2.61 ERA and 0.92 WHIP. He gave up four runs over six innings in a no-decision vs. the Astros last time out, but he still enters with a sharp 42:13 K:BB. Seattle almost assuredly wins this one, but we still don't see a lot of runs being plated; this number is high, the play is indeed on the "under!" 

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10* UNDER Stars/Avs (2ND RND WEST-CONF TOY)

While the first two games of this series flew well "over" the number, we're now finally expecting much more of a defensive battle here with the shift in venue. Colorado has in fact seen the total go "under" the number in seven of its last ten as well after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. Previous to this series the Stars had played to three straight "unders" vs. Vegas and now we also believe that fatigue will play a major role in the final combined outcome of this contest. With each side doubling down defensively in this crucial Game 3 like we suspect, all signs do indeed point to the "under" as the correct call as far as the total is concerned in our opinion!

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10* OVER Celtics/Cavaliers (2ND RND EAST-CONF TOY)

Game 1 went "over" the number in the Celtics 120-95 victory, while the total went "under" in the Cavaliers 118-94 upset victory in Game 2. Now with the shift in venue over to Cleveland, we're expecting the Celtics to respond here and to be aggressors from start to finish. Note that Boston has in fact seen the total go "over" the number as well in eight of its last 11 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss as favorite vs. an opponent in which it was held to 95 or fewer points. With each team pushing the pace like we suspect, all signs point to this one flying OVER the number sooner, rather than later in our opinion!

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10* Real Salt Lake/LA Galaxy OVER (MLS TOW)

Both teams have been involved in some lower-scoring games of late, but we're finally expecting more of an offensive affair here for a couple of different reasons. Real Salt Lake is 6-2 and off a 1-0 win at home over KC. Previous to that it was a 2-1 win at Philadelphia. Look for the visitors once again push the pace here and to find the back of the net at least twice on the road this time around as well. LA is 5-2 after a 0-0 draw with Seattle and previous to that it was a 2-0 loss to Austin. After being shut out in back-to-back contests, everything points to the Galaxy opening things up big time on the offensive end this weekend. With each side pushing the pace from start to finish like we anticipate, everything does indeed point to this total flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later!

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10* Union (MLS GOW)

No need to overanalyze this one in our opinion, as the home field advantage can't be overlooked as a very real deciding factor once it's all said and done in our opinion. Orlando is just 2-5 after back-to-back losses, most recently a 1-0 home loss to Cincinnati. Philadelphia is 3-2-1 after a 2-2 draw in the nation's capital last weekend. These team's tied 2-2 in Orlando last Summer, but we expect Philadelphia to take care of business in regulation this time around on home soil; lay the price, the play is on the Union!

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10* Burnley/Tottenham UNDER (EPL TOW)

As primarily situational cappers, these are exactly the types of games that we're constantly keeping our eyes on the look out for. Tottenham is 18-11, but after four straight losses, we're expecting the home side to risk life and limb to secure a victory here, and that means risking life and limb getting into shooting and passing lanes as it looks to smother Burnely from the "get go." Burnley has nothing to play for except possibly trying to play spoiler at 5-22. Burnely has only managed a single goal in each of its last two games, and we have a hard time seeing the visitors even getting one in this one; when you add it all up, this O/U line is indeed high, so the play is the "under!" 

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10* West Ham (EPL GOW)

We base our picks on many different things, but this one is based upon the "situation." This is a great situational play, and we'd consider ourselves primarily situational cappers. Luton is about to be relegated, sitting in 18th spot in the table. West Ham is 13-13 though and ninth overall with this, and one last tough road game at Manchester City to close out the regular season. After the tough 5-0 loss at Chelsea last weekend, look for the Hammers to come in focused on the task at hand; lay the price, the play is West Ham!

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