Handicapper Art Aronson of AAA Sports Plays Free Picks & Best Bets

This is a 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK is on the UNDER Braves/Phillies.

We expect these competent pitchers to battle into the latter frames and for this total to sneak below the posted number once it’s all said and done. The visitors turn to Mike Foltynewicz (3-2, 2.87 ERA) who comes in off a gem against the Cubs on Tuesday, giving up one run off three hits over five innings to go along with ten strikeouts. To go along with his solid ERA, the 26 year old also own an elite 10.9 K/9. The home side goes with Nick Pivetta (3-2, 3.72) who gave up one run off two hits and a walk over seven frames while striking out 11 in a victory over Baltimore on Wednesday. Pivetta comes in on top form, as he’d generate 23 swinging strikes in the win. Note that the right-hander has been especially tough at home on opposing teams with a 2-1, 2.48 ERA record. This battle just screams “pitchers duel.” This number is a little high, play the UNDER.

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This is a 10* PLAYOFFS GAME OF THE YEAR on the Washington Capitals.

It’s do or die for the Capitals. Washington jumped out to a 2-0 lead, but it’s now fallen short in three straight. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. This particular play is based primarily on common sense. We just feel this is a fantastic price considering how hard the home side will be playing tonight, risking life and limb getting into shooting and passing lanes. The Capitals know how to win at home and the Lightning’s weakness all year has been their play on the road. The stars and the planets have aligned for a blowout of epic proportions. Lay the price, play on the CAPITALS.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* PLAYOFF TOTAL OF THE YEAR on the OVER between the Celtics/Cavs.

We had a play on Boston in Game 3 and that was obviously a loser (we also had the C’s in Game 2, a winner.) So far all three games of this series have fallen below the posted number, but we feel that the conditions are now finally right for more of a high-scoring affair. So far it would appear that home court advantage will play a significant role in this series. Cleveland was stymied in Boston, but it exploded for 116 points at home in Game 3. Boston was unstoppable at home, but the wheels would finally come off the bus in Game 3. We thought the Celtics would carry over their momentum, but they looked like a deer caught in the headlights. With that awkward outing out of the way though, we simply have a hard time seeing the hungry visitors not being a lot more prepared this time around. And it’s essentially do or die for Cleveland still, so there’s no reason not to expect an identical game-plan from the home side in Game 4 as was it deployed in Game 3. Note as well that Boston has seen the total go OVER the number in four of its last six after allowing 115 points or more, while Cleveland has seen the total go OVER the number in five of its last seven after scoring 115 points or more in its previous outing. This one has shootout written all over it, play the OVER.

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