Steve Merril Football Picks

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HUGE Saturday's L4 weeks going 13-4 (76% ATS) in college football. Steve Merril is making his clients BIG $$$ right now! +$48,582 in 2014 - AWESOME 439-347 ATS in All-Sports!
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Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Nov 23, 2014
Washington Redskins vs. San Francisco 49ers
Washington Redskins
Play Type: Premium

Washington comes into this game off an ugly 27-7 home loss to Tampa Bay.  The Redskins went into that game off their bye, so the loss was even more embarrassing.  The best thing for Washington is to get out on the road, and get away from all the distractions.  The Redskins are in a good spot to bounce back with a strong effort today.  Washington’s defense has allowed just 5.6 yards per play on the road this season.  The Redskins also have a strong run defense that is allowing just 101.8 yards per game on 3.8 yards per rush.  That defensive strength will be a huge factor in this game, especially since the 49ers’ best offense is their ability to run the football.

San Francisco is off a pedestrian 16-10 win over the Giants last week.  The 49ers should have won that game much more decisively since they had 5 interceptions in the game.  San Francisco’s offense generated very little against a bad New York defense; the 49ers had just 333 yards of total offense despite holding the ball for over 34 minutes.  Over their last three games, the 49ers have a +5 turnover margin yet they own wins of just 6 points and 3 points (in overtime).  San Francisco is not blowing teams out right now, and there’s no way they should be laying more than a touchdown into any team, especially considering how bad their offense has played this season.  The 49ers’ offense is averaging just 21.1 points per game on 5.5 yards per play versus opponents allowing 23.6 points per game on 5.9 yards per play.  Since four of San Francisco’s six wins have come by 6 points or less, we’ll take the generous points with Washington in this game on Sunday afternoon. 

9* Play REDSKINS (+).

Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Nov 23, 2014
St. Louis Rams vs. San Diego Chargers
San Diego Chargers
Play Type: Premium

St. Louis was in a terrific scheduling and situational spot for their home game against Denver last week.  The Rams were catching Denver on their third consecutive road game while the Broncos were also off a 24-point win in their game before.  The Rams took advantage of a disinterested Denver team and won 22-7.  That was not a true result considering the significant difference between the Rams and Broncos.  But off that win, St. Louis is getting a lot of respect in the pointspread, especially since they are an underdog of less than a touchdown.  In their last three road games, the Rams were underdogs of 7, 7.5, and 10.5 points.  Overall, St. Louis has underperformed on both sides of the ball this season.  The Rams’ offense is averaging 18.5 points per game on 5.4 yards per play versus defenses allowing 21.8 points per game on 5.5 yards per play.  St. Louis’ defense is allowing 25.8 points per game on 6.0 yards per pay versus offenses averaging 23.8 points per game on 5.7 yards per play.            

San Diego is 6-4 on the season, including a 4-1 record at home.  All four of their home wins have come by 7 points or more.  San Diego is playing their second consecutive home game since their bye, so they’ve been basically home for the whole month of November.  To compare, St. Louis will be playing their fourth road game over the last five weeks.  That’s a huge scheduling edge in favor of the Chargers.  San Diego’s defense has been dominating at home this season.  The Chargers are only giving up 12.8 points per game on 5.0 yards per play against offenses that average 21.3 points per game on 5.4 yards per play.  The Rams’ offense has been awful on the road as they are only scoring 16.2 points per game on 5.2 yards per play.  We’ll lay the points with San Diego in this game on Sunday afternoon.

9* Play CHARGERS (-).

Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Nov 23, 2014
Arizona Cardinals vs. Seattle Seahawks
Seattle Seahawks
Play Type: Premium

Arizona has the best record in the NFL at 9-1.  However, that record is phony as the Cardinals have not played remotely close to an elite level.  Arizona ranks just 15th overall in efficiency metrics with the #23 offense and #6 defense.  The Cardinals’ offense is even worse now that Drew Stanton is playing for the injured Carson Palmer.  In their 14-6 win over Detroit last week, the Cardinals were shutout in three quarters while only gaining a total of 352 yards of offense.  Stanton and the Cardinals must now take to the road and play in the toughest stadium in the NFL against a Seattle team that is coming off a loss.  Arizona’s defense has been worse on the road this season where they are allowing 21.2 points per game on 5.7 yards per play compared to their seasonal numbers of 17.6 points per game on 5.6 yards per play.  

Seattle comes into this game with only a 6-4 record, and because of that, the Seahawks appear to have regressed from last season.  However, Seattle ranks #7 in overall efficiency metrics despite the so-so record.  The Seahawks will come with a strong effort after losing in Kansas City last week.  Seattle has played above average football on both sides of the ball.  The Seahawks’ offense is averaging 6.0 yards per play versus defenses allowing 5.7 yards per play.  The Seahawks’ defense is allowing 5.2 yards per pay versus offenses averaging 5.7 yards per play.  Seattle’s defense has been even better at home this season where they are only giving up 4.9 yards per play.  Arizona’s offense has been atrocious on the road as they are only averaging 4.9 yards per play, and most of those games were with Carson Palmer.  Seattle is the better team in a focused spot, so we’ll lay the points with the Seahawks in this game on Sunday afternoon.

10* Play SEAHAWKS (-).

Steve Merril is often believed by many to be as the greatest football betting analysts in the world. He credits his history of winning to practicing a variety of different handicapping techniques such as statistical analysis, trends and systems, and fundamentals such as matchups and emotion. By relying on handicapping methods, Steve proceeds to beat the odds on a consistent basis in both NCAA and professional football, basketball, and baseball. Steve was the first individual to ever win the reputable $100,000 Insiders Handicapping Invitational and his unmatched knowledge and understanding of the gambling industry is what separates him from other handicapping services. Steve has spent the past 15 years studying the numbers and probabilities associated with all configurations of gambling such as poker, casino games, and even stocks. Steve has transferred this unequaled knowledge and understanding of statistics and probabilities into the sports world, which has enabled him to profit on a consistent basis. The most favorite part of Steve Merril�s award-winning predictions is how he endorses each game with a full detailed account and analysis. You get a strong pick, plus the reason why the play will win. This includes elaborated statistical analysis and Steve�s powerful team trends and systems. You will be educated while you earn with Steve Merril�s daily selections as each report is packed full of detailed information. Sign up today with the most knowledgeable handicapping expert in the industry and make more money than ever before by betting on his football picks.