Nick Parsons Miami at Carolina Predictions

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Ronnie Brown’s absence could limit the effectiveness of the Dolphins’ wildcat formation Thursday night in Charlotte, while the Panthers will try to get back in the wild-card mix without star tackle Jordan Gross paving the way for their tailback tandem; a couple of teams on the cusp here, but I believe the Dolphins are the sharp move in this instance:

Carolina ranks 25th against the run and I expect the Dolphins to continue their running attack even without Brown in the lineup as the offensive line continues to be a strength for the Fish.

If pressured, Jake Delhomme turns into a turnover machine (13 so far this season) so I look for the Dolphins secondary to get into the backfield and harass the Panthers QB all night.

Tony Sparano also says that Joey Porter would be in the line-up despite ESPN reports to the contrary.

Chad Henne looked sharp in his final drive last week vs. Tampa Bay and I look for the rookie to continue to improve.

Miami is 4-2 ATS its last six overall and dating back to last season is 8-3 ATS its last 11 on the road.

On the other side of the field: The Dolphins figure to be in better position to stop the run, considering they feature the league’s seventh-best rush defense (97.6). Carolina allows 128.1 yards per game on the ground to rank 25th.

Although the Panthers have played their best football of the season the past three weeks, the reality is it will be tough to maintain that momentum if they continue to lose star players to injuries.

It’s true that Carolina is 4-1 ATS its last five overall, but its just 1-4 ATS its last five at the Bank of American Stadium.

Bottom line: Simply too many injuries to the Panthers; I expect the Dolphins to continue to run the wildcat behind Ricky Williams and pound the suspect run defense of the Panthers and for Henne to have another quiet/efficient game; look for MIAMI to improve to 2-0 ATS this year as a road dog of 3 1/2 points or less and for Carolina to fall to 1-4 ATS off of a division contest!

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