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Free Football Picks: West Virginia at South Florida

October 30, 2009

The West Virginia Mountaineers will try to keep their Big East title options alive as they visit the South Florida Bulls this Friday night at 8:00 PM ET at Raymond James Stadium.  Taking a look at the college football odds for this one, West Virginia is a 3-point favorite with the total set at 47.

In the last two games the Mountaineers has needed second-half comebacks to win them. Despite suffering a concussion in the previous game, West Virginia QB Jarrett Brown played and had a rushing and passing touchdown in the win 28-24 over Connecticut.

Brown’s season so far has been on and off and he hasn’t found the consistency that WV needs.  That’s why the Mountaineers have been relying on the running game with RB Noel Devine as their best weapon with 912 rushing yards and 10 TD. He’s up for a treat against a South Florida defense rank second worst in the Big East against the run.

On the other hand the Bulls also struggled offensively against the Panthers.  Freshman QB BJ Daniels went 4 for 8 for 54 yards and two interceptions in the horrible loss 41-14 to Pittsburgh last week.

Considering West Virginia’s run defense is 9th in the nation Daniels may need to improve his game if they want to pull this one.

College football betting trends to consider

* West Virginia is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
* West Virginia is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
* The total has gone OVER in 4 of West Virginia’s last 6 games
* West Virginia is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games on the road
* South Florida is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
* South Florida is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

My free pick: Mountaineers will cover the spread.

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