Free Football Picks: Panthers at Saints

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Take the Saints as a 3* graded play as defined by the Ai Simulator. AiS shows a 73% probability that the Saints will win this game by 14 or more points. Historically, Carolina led by HC John Fox, have owned the Saints and their defensive schemes and game plan have shut down the Saints offensive attack. In fact, the Panthers have won 6 of the past 7 meetings, BUT this Saints team is a far more complete team than of those previous 7 year editions. Looking at the statistical factors that support this graded play there is a strong reliable system that has gone 26-6 ATS for 81% winners since 2004. Play against dogs or pick that are poor teams outscored by opponents by 4 or more points/game and after scoring 30 points or more last game. Carolina is off a very impressive win against the Cardinals last week, but as is the case in the NFL, those great performances are often times followed a horrid one. Take Oakland’s win over Philadelphia. That win was followed by a 38-0 beat down. This is even a more reliable factor if the team has a losing record. AiS shows a 93% probability that Carolina will score 28 or more points in this game. In past games where they have allowed 28 or more points they have recorded a horrid 1-10 ATS mark over the past 3 seasons and an 11-44 ATS mark since 1992. As mentioned already, the Saints have an 88% probability of gaining 150 or more rushing yards on the ground. In past games where Carolina has allowed 150 or more rushing yards they have posted an imperfect 0-7 ATS mark. Take the Saints.

Another nice weekend of Football and actually nice week in all sports. Nailed 15* SEC Game of the Year winner on Tennessee Saturday. CFB now on a 67% ATS winning run sporting a 14-7 ATS mark. This comes on the heels of a 13-1 ATS mark in the 2008 Bowl Season. NFL went 2-0 ATS on Sunday winning a top rated 15* Titan on Minnesota and another 10* Titan Total winner playing UNDER Colts. The last TWO 10* Total play have won by 50 points to the number! NBA is off to a magical 7-1 ATS start and NHL has made 28.28 units entering Tuesday night action.

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