Fargo’s Tennessee at Houston Predictions

Matt Fargo has been on an incredible 19-9 run with his football predictions, and he’s really been building up the bankrolls of his clients.  Don’t sit on the sidelines as he continues to beat the football betting lines week after week, get signed up with this expert football handicapper today.  Want to see how confident he is in his selections?  Read the detailed analysis below on why he took the Titans over the Texans on Monday night.  Want a book we are confident in and that offers a $100 FREE signup bonus?  Check out Bodog!

Tennessee is out for some payback on Monday night and it could not have come at a better time. The Titans, after starting the season 0-6, have won three straight games and this team has not given up on anything yet. In the first meeting this season, Tennessee lost at home by a field goal despite winning the yardage battle but this team is in a much better place this time around. They have not lost since Vince Young took over as quarterback and nothing against Kerry Collins, but they are playing loose and with confidence that was not present on the field before. After winning seven straight meetings, the Titans have lost two straight in this series by a combined four points. A win here puts Tennessee two games back in the Wild Card race and with a relatively easy schedule to end the year, it is not over yet. The Texans are in a position to make their first ever playoff appearance and a win here gets them back into a tie for the Wild Card. They are coming off a bye week following that difficult loss against Indianapolis and even though that game ended in defeat, the Texans had some solid momentum going and the week off probably came at the wrong time. Houston is 1-3 in its four games following an off week under head coach Gary Kubiak and it is going to be interesting to see how this team responds following that Colts loss as well as playing on the big stage. Quarterback Matt Schaub has made the greatest difference in leveling the Texans-Titans playing field as over those last two victories, he has thrown for 641 yards and five touchdowns without an interception. He has the offense moving along great right now and he will have to get it done with his arm again as the Texans do not have a running game. The Titans have gotten much better in passing defense and even though the competition has had a lot to do with that, personnel changes have also been a factor and Tennessee should be better suited this time around. The defense needs to think pass first and get pressure on Schaub. Tennessee has allowed only seven sacks on the season while the rushing game is fifth in the NFL with 161.8 ypg but first with 5.3 ypc. That shows us that this is the best offensive line in football and the matchup does not bode well. Houston has only 13 sacks on the season which is 30th in the NFL and while the rushing defense has been solid, allowing 108.7 ypg which is seventh, the Texans are allowing 4.7 ypg which is tied for 28th in the NFL. That ypc average is a better indication of how the defense is really doing because they have only been run on 210 times which is the fourth fewest in the league. The revenge factor is big here even though it is on the road as the line value comes into play. Play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points revenging a loss as a home favorite with a losing record on the season. This situation is 31-10 ATS (75.6 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 9* Tennessee Titans

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