D’Amico’s Week 12 NFL Picks

November 29, 2009

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Indianapolis -3 @ Houston

This is one of the biggest games on the board for me. I have the winner of the INDY/Houston matchup.

Cleveland +14 @ Cincinnati

At first glance, Cincy looks like the play. But after scoping deeper, we can see that if they were to lay 2 TD’s, the Bengal’s would have only covered one game this season. These two teams met in Week 4 with Cincinnati winning 23-20. Last week we watched as Brown’s QB Brady Quinn looked like his old college self as he tossed 4 TD’s against the Lion’s. Although Bengal’s RB Cedric Benson is slated to play, they are still 1-6 ATS their L7 as a home favorite. While the ‘dog is 5-0 ATS their L5 meetings. Two TD’s is way too much for Cincy to lay. Take the Brown’s plus the 14 points.

Minnesota -11 over Chicago

This is my NFC Game of the Month.

Philadelphia/Washington UNDER

Washington will be without a running game with Portis most likely sitting with a concussion and Betts out. This will hinder the already stagnant offense that is averaging a mere 14.6 PPG. Injuries prevent me from backing them. Although the Skin’s are 0-5 SU on the road, they have lost only one game this season by 10+ points. I expect that QB Donovan McNabb and WR DeSean Jackson will hook up frequently here, but without all purpose back Brian Westbrook to control the clock, I feel Washington’s “D” will keep it competitive. The UNDER is 4-1 ATS their L5 meetings. Take the UNDER..

Miami -3 @ Buffalo

This is my AFC East Game of the Month

Tennessee -3 over Arizona

Both teams come into this game red-hot. The Card’s have won 6 of their L7 SU and the Titan’s have come off their early season schnide to win and cover 4 in a row. This line opened up Arizona -1 and now is Tennesse -3. This has the makings of a trap. The Titan’s burned all all earlier this year but I can not argue with the incredible dual role of rushing and receiving success of RB Chris Johnson and the OL that has begun to protect their QB. This game is a bit shaky but I must side with Temmessee.

Seattle -3 @ St. Louis.

In their first meeting in Week 1, the Seahawk’s prevailed 28-10. This is a tough game to figure. Seattle is 0-5 SU and ATS on the road and San Fransisco is 0-5 SU at home. QB Kyle Boller is scheduled to start and RB Steven Jackson is expected to play for the Ram’s. History has Seattle 5-0 ATS their L5 in this series, but there are too many “if’s” here. There are better games on the board. I will take a pass.

Atlanta -12 over Tampa Bay

The Falcon’s are a perfect 4-0 SU and ATS at home this year. They will probably be without RB Michael Turner but backup Jason Snelling is an able stand-in. Defensive Coordinator Brian Van Gorden will have his stop unit primed and prepared as they go against newbie QB Josh Freeman who was overwhelmed last week vs. New Orleans, throwing 3 INT’s. The defense will blitz, blitz, blitz. While QB Matt Ryan and the 8th ranked scoring offense will light up the scoreboard. Tampa Bay is being outscored by 13 PPG. Lay the 12 with Atlanta.

Carolina +3 @ New York

This is my NFL TouchDown Play.

San Fransisco -3 vs. Jacksonville

Jacksonville is back in the playoff picture at 6-4, with 3 straight wins. While San Fran has dropped 5 of their L6. Would side with a Jag’s team that features RB Maurice Jones-Drew(13 TD’s and 926 YR). On paper, supposed to take the hot Jacksonville squad, but they are too erratic to back. Also never know how hyped HC Mike Singletary can get his 49er’s crew. Too tough to call. I’d stay away from this one.

Kansas City +14 @ San Diego

In their first meeting, San Diego shellacked KC 37-7. Since then, the Chief’s have a new RB and have covered 3 straight, including a 27-24 shocking win over Pittsburgh. I expect the Charger’s to be able to pass on the Chief’s and back-to-form RB Ladanian Tomlinson now makes them a balanced attack. However they are 0-2 ATS TY laying DD’s. The road team is 4-1 ATS their L5 and the ‘dog is 11-5-1 ATS their L17. When you have nothing to lose, you are dangerous. KC plus the 2 TD’s is the smart play.

Baltimore -2 1/2 over Pittsburgh

This is my Member or Free Play

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Posted by Steve Janus · Filed Under Football Picks 

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