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Bills at Jets Free Football Picks

October 15, 2009

John Ryan cashed another 10* Monday Night Football winner with Miami as they genuinely discovered the holes in the Jets defense. It wasn’t just the Wild Cat either that had it’s way on that defense that allowed THREE lead changing touchdowns in the fourth quarter. Short week for preparation and a bit of adversity for this Jets team may offer the best chance for the Bills to acquire some much needed respect with a solid demonstration in New Jersey.  The current football spreads on this game show the Jets are 9.5 point favorites.  If you are going to do any football betting on this game or any other, then take a look at the $500 signup bonus being offered by BetUS!

The Dolphins did a solid job on nose tackle Kris Jenkins. He commands double teams on most every running play, but what the Dolphins did was to use zone blocking to get him moving laterally. This gave the backs cut back lanes or plainly solid gaps in the middle of the line. Buffalo has been awful in protecting their quarterback on 3rd and long spots. No question they will see what the Dolphins did to get the ground game in high gear and that will keep them out of third and long spots. This will also grant Edwards additional time by using play action and those are the positions that can get TO in man coverage and high percentage pass chances.

The Jets are averaging 4.1 rushing yards per carry, but is not a genuine indication of the rushing game. They had 38 yards rushing on 2 fake punts against the Dolphins and they have used a sizeable array of gadget and reverse plays. They are NOT a dominating running team between the tackles. With injuries to the Bills LB starters, the Jets will certainly try to run the ball between the tackles, but I do not see it working and the Buffalo defensive perimeter has done an excellent job staying disciplined in pursuit.

Combine the fundamental research with an Ai Simulator grading of 3 stars and you have the likelihood for a very tight game. AiS shows a 70% chance that Buffalo will lose this game by 10 or fewer points. Here is a supporting system that has gone 109-59 for 65% winners since 1983. That’s a 26-year track record of reproducible winners broken out by a 47-27 10-year mark and a 26-15 5 year mark. Play on visiting teams that are bad teams being outscored by opponents by 7 or more points/game after a loss by 6 or less points. Yes, this is new coaching, but this is the first 2 game losing streak for coach Ryan. Note that the Jets are just 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons. Take the Bills.

John Ryan has now hit 71% ATS of his football picks over the past 52 premium releases. I am hitting 60% winners in hockey and all of the predictions have been DOGS so far this year. Plus, he won his 15* NLDS Game of the Year play. He went 15-5 in the 2008 MLB playoffs so his best opportunities are still yet to come.

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